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Jack Gohlke #3 of the Oakland Golden Grizzlies celebrates as we make our Oakland vs. NC State expert pick and prediction for the second round of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday.
Jack Gohlke #3 of the Oakland Golden Grizzlies celebrates after making a three pointer against the Kentucky Wildcats during the second half in the first round of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament at PPG PAINTS Arena on March 21, 2024 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Photo by Joe Sargent/Getty Images via AFP.

In the second round of the NCAA Tournament on Saturday, the 11th-seeded NC State Wolfpack will face off against the 14th-seeded Oakland Golden Grizzlies. We provide our expert pick and prediction for the Oakland vs. NC State matchup, taking into account the top March Madness odds available.

The No. 14 seeded Oakland Golden Grizzlies (24-11) and No. 11 seed NC State Wolfpack (23-14) are set to take each other on in an unusual March Madness matchup between double-digit seeds after both teams pulled off big upsets in the first round. The South Region showdown is scheduled to start at 7:10 p.m. ET on TBS from the PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh.

The Wolfpack are the favored team on our top sports betting sites after defeating Texas Tech in the first round, following their impressive performance in the ACC Tournament. Oakland also had a strong start, hitting 15 three-pointers to defeat Kentucky in a surprising upset that affected March Madness and Final Four odds.

As we make our March Madness predictions, here is our top expert pick for the Oakland vs. NC State match-up, with odds from our recommended March Madness betting sites and confidence rating on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Odds for Oakland vs. NC State

Expert pick for the South Region matchup between Oakland (14) and NC State (11): NC State is favored.

Oakland +6.5 ⭐⭐⭐

Odds: -115 via Betway

Although NC State is favored in this matchup due to their six-game win streak as an ACC school, I would caution against putting too much faith in them as they are not considered elite. This is especially true when facing a team like Oakland that has strong shooting capabilities.

The Golden Grizzlies made 15 three-pointers in their first-round victory against Kentucky, which tied their season-high. They had made at least eight three-pointers in 10 of their last 13 games, hitting 14 or more in four of those games. Jack Gohlke, who was a standout in the tournament, had made a total of 12 three-pointers in his last two games leading up to Thursday’s impressive 32-point performance.

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All of this seems to be a significant concern for NC State, whose defense on the perimeter is average at best and relied on Texas Tech’s poor shooting performance in the first round. I doubt that the Wolfpack, with one of the lowest 3-point attempt rates in the nation, is equipped to handle another high-scoring game after their tiring week.

Despite the hype surrounding DJ Burns (6-9, 275 lbs) as a difficult matchup for smaller opponents, he only logged 16 minutes on Thursday and managed to secure just one rebound while accumulating four fouls and four turnovers. If he continues to perform poorly against Oakland, NC State may not have an easy victory as the odds indicate.

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Analysis of the spread and Over/Under for the Oakland vs. NC State game.

NC State is favored by 6.5 points against Oakland, despite both teams pulling off unexpected upsets in the first round. The Wolfpack have struggled to cover the spread when giving that many points, with a 4-8 record and five consecutive ATS losses in that situation.

The total for this game is set at 144.5, slightly below the predicted score of 77-70 by KenPom. Both teams surpassed this total in their first-round victories on Thursday.

Game information for the Oakland vs. NC State matchup

  • When: Saturday, March 23
  • Tip-off: 7:10 p.m. ET
  • Location: Pittsburgh, Pa. at PPG Paints Arena.
  • How to watch: TBS

Prediction for the Oakland-NC State game was made on Friday at 3 p.m. ET.

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