Predictions, Picks, and Odds for NFL Receiving Props in 2026
For months, our top sports betting apps have been featuring NFL receiving props for the upcoming 2026 season. Betting analyst Stewart Serena from Underscoreg Review has carefully assessed the available markets and has provided a selection of picks based on the most recent NFL odds.
Exploring the NFL prop markets has been an enjoyable experience so far. However, when looking at passing and rushing props, I didn’t find many well-known players offering good value.
When analyzing the receiving props, I was surprised to find that many top wide receivers were being traded at lower prices than anticipated, and without a significant commission.
Take a look at my first picks for NFL receiving props and the odds offered by top NFL betting sites.
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Odds for the player with the most receiving yards in the NFL in 2026.
As of September 1, the odds for the NFL player with the most receiving yards are…
| Player | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Jefferson | +550 | +400 ❄️ | +550 | +600 | +450 |
| Ja’Marr Chase | +600 | +750 | +600 | +700 | +700 |
| Cooper Kupp | +800 ❄️ | +1200 | N/A | +900 | +1200 |
| Tyreek Hill | +900 | +950 | +700 ❄️ | +800 | +1000 |
| Davante Adams | +1200 | +2000 | +1200 | +1500 | +2000 |
| Garrett Wilson | +1800 | +2000 | +1500 | +1500 | +1800 |
| Stefon Diggs | +2000 | +1600 ❄️ | +1800 | +1800 | +1800 |
| CeeDee Lamb | +2200 | +1800 ❄️ | +2000 | +2500 | +2200 |
| Travis Kelce | +2200 ❄️ | +3000 | +3000 | +2500 | +2500 |
| A.J. Brown | +2500 | +1800 | +1800 | +1500 ❄️ | +1600 |
Odds for the most receiving touchdowns in the NFL in 2026.
As of September 1, the odds for the NFL player with the most receiving touchdowns are…
| Player | DraftKings | FanDuel | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ja’Marr Chase | +400 ❄️ | +650 | +450 | +650 |
| Travis Kelce | +500 | +750 | +500 | +800 |
| Cooper Kupp | +550 ❄️ | +1100 | +600 | +1100 |
| Stefon Diggs | +1200 | +1200 | +1000 ❄️ | +1100 |
| Justin Jefferson | +1200 | +1100 | +1000 | +900 ❄️ |
| Davante Adams | +1400 | +1100 | +1200 | +1000 ❄️ |
| A.J. Brown | +1500 | +1200 | +1500 | +1000 ❄️ |
| Mike Evans | +2000 ❄️ | +3000 | +2500 | +4000 |
| Tyreek Hill | +2200 | +1400 | +2000 | +1400 |
| Garrett Wilson | +2200 | +2000 | +1500 ❄️ | +1600 |
Predictions for NFL receiving props in 2026.
- A.J. Brown is predicted to have over 1,050 receiving yards, with odds of -110 according to DraftKings. This pick is given a three-star rating.
- BetMGM offers a -110 line for Christian Watson to surpass 799.5 receiving yards, earning a three-star rating.
- BetMGM is offering -110 odds on Justin Jefferson surpassing 1,249.5 receiving yards, earning a 4-star rating.
- Bet on CeeDee Lamb to surpass 1,075.5 receiving yards at -112 odds on FanDuel with a three-star rating.
- Bet on Chris Godwin to have more than 800.5 receiving yards with odds of -112 on FanDuel, rated three stars.
- DeAndre Hopkins is expected to have more than 850.5 receiving yards, with odds of -110 on DraftKings. ⭐⭐
- Treylon Burks is projected to have over 685.5 receiving yards, with odds of -115 from Caesars. This is a four-star bet.
- Calvin Ridley is projected to have over 825.5 receiving yards with odds of -112 on FanDuel, earning a three-star rating.
Breakdown of Handicaps for NFL Receiving Props in 2026
Here is a brief overview of how I handicap.
- Customize projections for yards gained and touchdowns scored through receptions
- Run my projections through my model 20,000 times to calculate the likelihood of a certain outcome.
- Change the probability into odds.
- Compare my chances with the statistics from our top live betting platforms.
Predictions for NFL receiving props in 2026
A.J. Brown is expected to have over 1,050 receiving yards according to DraftKings, with a three-star rating.
This bet meets all the criteria.
Brown has the potential to drop from his career-high of 1,496 receiving yards in 2026 and still surpass this milestone. Additionally, the exceptionally low DraftKings total only adds to the appeal.
Brown found the perfect fit in the Philadelphia Eagles offense and maximized his exceptional athleticism during his first year with the team.
I predict that Brown will end the season with 1,157 receiving yards, a decrease of 22.7% from his total in 2026.
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over total | 1,050.5 | 1,125.5 | 1,125.5 | 1,100.5 |
| Over odds | -110 | -112 | -110 | -115 |
| My Over odds | -149 | -111 | -111 | -122 |
| Expected Value | 14% | -1% | 0% | 3% |
By placing this bet with DraftKings, you gain an instant advantage. It wouldn’t be shocking if they adjust their total to align more closely with the odds at our other top sportsbooks.
Terms and conditions apply.
BetMGM is offering -110 odds on Christian Watson to achieve over 799.5 receiving yards, with a three-star rating.
After struggling with injuries and inconsistencies early in the 2026 season, Watson took some time to find his groove as a professional. However, once he did, the North Dakota State standout became a dominant force on the field.
In the last eight games of the 2026 season, Watson recorded 31 receptions for 523 yards and seven touchdowns.
I don’t anticipate him maintaining an All-Pro level of performance for an entire season, but with his explosive combination of size and speed, he should be able to have a strong second year.
The big topic of discussion is the Green Bay Packers’ decision to start first-year quarterback Jordan Love. However, I’m not convinced that there will be a significant decline from the performance of veteran quarterback Aaron Rodgers in 2026. Despite being a four-time MVP, Rodgers only averaged 6.8 yards per attempt and ranked as the 14th best quarterback, according to Pro Football Focus.
I predict Watson will have 881 receiving yards.
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over total | 750.5 | 850.5 | 799.5 | 850.5 |
| Over odds | -130 | -112 | -110 | -115 |
| My Over odds | -150 | -111 | -135 | -111 |
| Expected Value | 6% | -1% | 10% | -2% |
I am intrigued by the situation where a higher total with lower odds offers greater expected value, as is evident in the options provided by BetMGM and DraftKings. Both options are good bets, but one stands out as superior.
As of September 1, BetMGM has set Watson’s Over receiving yards total at 849.5 (-110).
Justin Jefferson is projected to have over 1,249.5 receiving yards, with odds of -110 on BetMGM. This pick is rated four stars.
The incorrect BetMGM total is not sustainable and will likely change.
Jefferson exceeded expectations as a rookie in 2020, and his receiving yards have increased every year since then. I believe my projection of 1,440 receiving yards for him in 2026 is actually quite conservative.
The Minnesota Vikings are in for a rude awakening after finishing with a 13-4 record in 2026. Their defense could potentially be even weaker than last season’s unit, which gave up an average of 25.1 points per game, ranking third-worst in the NFL.
Therefore, I anticipate quarterback Kirk Cousins will be throwing the ball more than ever, leading to Jefferson receiving over 150 targets for the third year in a row.
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over total | 1,350.5 | 1,400.5 | 1,249.5 | 1,375.5 |
| Over odds | -110 | -112 | -110 | -115 |
| My Over odds | -130 | -112 | -189 | -127 |
| Expected Value | 8% | 0% | 25% | 5% |
I believe it will be difficult to come across another receiving yards total this offseason that offers as high of a positive expected value as the one attached to this prop on BetMGM. My calculations are consistent with the FanDuel offering, which shows a difference of 150 yards.
Editor’s note: As of September 1, Justin Jefferson’s receiving yards total is set at 1399.5 (-110) according to BetMGM.
CeeDee Lamb is projected to have over 1075.5 receiving yards according to FanDuel, with a rating of three stars.
Lamb is likely to surpass this receiving-yards total unless he gets injured.
Since his debut in 2020, he has shown consistent statistical improvement each year and currently holds the top spot on the wide receiver depth chart for Dallas. In 2021, Lamb surpassed this number with only 120 targets, and the previous season he easily achieved 1,359 yards on 156 looks.
During the five games that quarterback Dak Prescott was sidelined last season, Lamb only accumulated 380 receiving yards. However, I am projecting him to reach 1,159 receiving yards in 2026.
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over total | 1,100.5 | 1075.5 | 1049.5 | 1150.5 |
| Over odds | -110 | -112 | -133 | -115 |
| My Over odds | -138 | -146 | -167 | -105 |
| Expected Value | 11% | 12% | 9% | -4% |
FanDuel has the best value for betting on the Over, while DraftKings and BetMGM are also offering favorable totals.
Editor’s note: As of September 1, FanDuel has adjusted the over/under for CeeDee Lamb’s receiving yards to 1100.5, with odds of -112.
Bet on Chris Godwin to have more than 800.5 receiving yards with odds of -112 on FanDuel. ⭐⭐⭐
Despite the uncertainty at quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, my calculations suggest that this is a low total. Additionally, Godwin has surpassed this number in each of the last five seasons, with an average of 1,028.2 receiving yards per season.
Despite missing time in each of the last four seasons, Godwin has still managed to start double-digit games, which makes me confident in his durability.
Given his established role in the passing game, I am confident in predicting that Godwin will achieve 902 receiving yards in 2026.
| DraftKings | FanDuel | Caesars | |
| Over total | 775.5 | 800.5 | 900.5 |
| Over odds | -140 | -112 | -114 |
| My Over odds | -202 | -177 | +100 |
| Expected Value | 15% | 21% | -6% |
This demonstrates how the lowest total may not always offer the best value due to the higher vig. Despite a slightly higher benchmark to clear, FanDuel offers the greatest advantage.
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DeAndre Hopkins is projected to have more than 850.5 receiving yards, with odds at -110 on DraftKings. ⭐⭐
Based on my analysis, Hopkins is likely to surpass 850.5 receiving yards in his debut season with the Tennessee Titans. Despite facing various obstacles such as injuries and a suspension, Hopkins has only managed to play 19 games in the last two years.
This is why we are reducing the total and moving to Tennessee provides the three-time All-Pro with a more favorable offensive setting. Additionally, he is in good health, and elite wide receivers often maintain high statistics well into their mid-30s.
I predict that Hopkins will gather 896 receiving yards, and I am offering a price of -131 for the Over on 850.5. This represents a positive expected value of 8% compared to the -110 number offered by DraftKings.
| DraftKings | FanDuel | Caesars | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over total | 850.5 | 850.5 | 900.5 |
| Over odds | -110 | -112 | -115 |
| My Over odds | -131 | -131 | +105 |
| Expected Value | 8% | 7% | -9% |
Editor’s note: As of September 1, DraftKings does not offer a prop bet for DeAndre Hopkins’ receiving yards. However, FanDuel has set the line at 850.5 yards with odds of -112.
Treylon Burks is projected to have more than 685.5 receiving yards with odds of -115 on Caesars, earning a four-star rating.
After being chosen as the 18th overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft, Burks’ luck took a turn for the worse. Expected to fill the shoes of A.J. Brown in the Tennessee Titans’ offense, he ended up missing six games and only saw action on 377 offensive snaps.
Despite this, Burks remained the preferred target of quarterback Ryan Tannehill during the organized team activities in May. This is attributed to the fact that the second-year wide receiver displayed impressive athleticism, making him a difficult matchup and a threat in open space when he was healthy in 2026.
I predict Burks will have 846 receiving yards, so I’m setting the Over on 685.5 at -257. This gives a positive expected value of 35% compared to the -115 line offered by Caesars.
As of September 1, Caesars does not offer a betting option for Treylon Burks’ receiving yards. DraftKings has set the line at 725.5 yards with odds of -110.
There is a bet for Calvin Ridley to have over 825.5 receiving yards with odds of -112 on FanDuel. The bet is rated three stars.
With Ridley coming back from a year-long suspension for gambling, it seems like a good idea to place a bet on his return. He was sidelined for the entire 2026 season and missed a majority of the games in 2021 as well.
However, Ridley does not have a worrisome injury history, and he had a breakout season with 90 receptions for 1,374 yards in 2020.
Ridley is beginning anew with the Jacksonville Jaguars after a successful season, setting him up for success once again.
I predict that the rookie Jag will have 903 receiving yards in his first year. Therefore, my price for betting the Over is -136, resulting in a positive expected value of 9% with the FanDuel odds.
Ridley is also experiencing a positive offseason with everything going well.
Editor’s note: As of September 1, FanDuel has adjusted Calvin Ridley’s receiving yards total to 950.5 (-112).
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