Predictions for the 2026 NFL season: The Chiefs strive for their sixth straight season with 12 or more wins.

Can Patrick Mahomes lead the Kansas City Chiefs to their sixth straight season with 12 or more wins, especially with their win total set at 11.5? As training camps get underway and the lines change, it’s worth looking at the win total picks for each NFL team on our top sports betting apps.

With NFL futures season upon us, we are seeing odds shift for the win totals of various teams. If you want to bet on your favorite team’s win total or take a stance on an undervalued team, it is recommended to place your bets early. As we get closer to Week 1 of the NFL season, the market will continue to adjust and lock in these numbers.

Even though I am a dedicated Minnesota Vikings fan, my allegiance will not cloud my judgment when it comes to analyzing betting opportunities. Let’s take a closer look at the win totals for two teams in the NFC North to see how this plays out.

Let’s examine the win totals for all 32 NFL teams by using our top sports betting sites.

Predictions and picks for the total number of wins in the NFL

The Arizona Cardinals are projected to win 4.5 games, with the over at +100 through BetMGM and the under at -105 through Caesars.

The Cardinals face low expectations in 2026 due to starting the season without their franchise quarterback, Kyler Murray, recovering from a torn ACL. With differing opinions on their win total, there may be an arbitrage betting opportunity. The team is favored to have the worst record in the NFL this season, with odds of +250 at bet365.

The Atlanta Falcons have an over/under win total of 8.5, with the over at -115 odds on FanDuel and the under at +115 odds on Caesars.

If the NFL was a flag football league, the Falcons would likely be strong contenders for winning the Super Bowl, especially with the addition of Bijan Robinson in the recent NFL Draft. The team is focused on acquiring offensive talent like Kyle Pitts, Drake London, and Bijan Robinson, but there are lingering questions about second-year quarterback Desmond Ridder. Many analysts believe the Falcons could win the NFC South this season, but with their win total set at 8.5 and the Under trading at +115, it may be wise to keep an eye on the Under.

The Baltimore Ravens are projected to win between 9.5 and 10.5 games with odds favoring the Over at -150 on DraftKings and the Under at -120 on FanDuel.

Despite initial concerns, the Ravens were able to successfully re-sign former NFL MVP Lamar Jackson, which greatly improved their chances. Losing Jackson in free agency would have had a significant impact on the Ravens’ win total for the season. There is no consensus on the ideal win total for the Ravens, but for those leaning towards the Over, DraftKings is offering the best price at 9.5 (-150). Conversely, for those considering the Under, FanDuel has the best price at 10.5 (-120).

The Buffalo Bills are predicted to win 10.5 games, with the over favored at -130 by Caesars and the under favored at +120 by DraftKings.

The Buffalo Bills’ win total may seem low despite their recent success, but it matches my projection of 10.5 wins. I slightly lean towards the Under for the Bills, especially considering the +120 odds at DraftKings. Overall, I believe the win total is appropriately priced and accurately reflects the team’s potential. Betting on the Under 10.5 wins (+110) at FanDuel is not advisable, highlighting the close competition around this number.

The Carolina Panthers are projected to win 7.5 games, with the over at -114 on FanDuel and the under at +110 on PointsBet.

During the offseason, the Carolina Panthers made significant changes by acquiring the first overall pick to select Bryce Young, a former Heisman-winning quarterback from Alabama, and hiring Frank Reich as their new head coach. I predict that the Panthers will win approximately 7.8 games this season, making the Over 7.5 wins bet at -119 appealing. However, I will continue to search for a better line than the -114 offered by FanDuel before placing my bet on the Panthers’ win total.

The Chicago Bears are predicted to win 7.5 games with the Over bet at -112 on FanDuel and the Under bet at +115 on Caesars.

Justin Fields has yet to lead the Bears to more than six wins in each of his first two seasons as quarterback. The last time they exceeded this win total was during Mitch Trubisky’s tenure. Despite efforts to upgrade the offense by acquiring DJ Moore, there are doubts about Fields’ passing ability. While there is optimism for improvement this season, I remain skeptical that they will reach more than 7.5 wins. Caesars has enticing odds of +115 for the Under, which I am leaning towards.

BetRivers has the Cincinnati Bengals at 11.5 wins with the over at +115 and the under at -125 at BetMGM.

The Bengals have quietly established themselves as a dominant force in the NFL, consistently exceeding expectations. Over the last two seasons, they have shown their strength by winning playoff games away from home and reaching both the Super Bowl and the AFC Championship. With rising stars like Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, and Tee Higgins, it’s clear that the Bengals are on a trajectory of improvement. I predict that their days of road playoff games are behind them, and I’m confident in their ability to finish with the best record in the NFL. In fact, I’m placing my bet on them with odds of +750 from bet365.

According to Caesars, the Cleveland Browns are projected to win 9.5 games with the over at +125 odds, while BetMGM has the under at -130 odds.

The Browns face strong competition in the AFC North, with no easy games in the division this season. Deshaun Watson’s performance will be crucial to their success after a disappointing debut as starting quarterback. My prediction is that the Browns will win approximately 8.9 games this season, with odds favoring the Under 9.5 wins at -145. I lean towards the Under with -130 odds at BetMGM.

The Dallas Cowboys are predicted to win 9.5 games, with the over favored at -152 by BetRivers and the under at +145 by Caesars.

The Cowboys have varying win totals in the betting market, with some sites offering them at 10.5 wins and others at 9.5 wins. While it may seem logical to bet the Under 10.5 wins, my projection of the Cowboys winning 9.6 games suggests that the Under 9.5 wins actually has higher expected value due to the juice. Specifically, the Under 9.5 wins at +145 at Caesars has an expected value of 16%, while the Under 10.5 wins at -150 via BetMGM only has an expected value of 5%.

The Denver Broncos are predicted to win 8.5 games this season, with the over bet at +106 on FanDuel and the under bet at -106 on BetRivers.

In the initial season of Russell Wilson’s time with the Broncos, it was a complete catastrophe. But with the addition of Sean Payton as head coach in the second year, expectations have soared. The question now is, are you jumping on the Broncos bandwagon for the second consecutive offseason, or are you considering placing a bet on the Under, given Wilson’s leadership? Personally, I’m inclined towards the Under, especially with attractive odds of -106 at BetRivers.

The Detroit Lions are predicted to win 9.5 games, with the over bet at -122 on FanDuel and the under bet at +105 on PointsBet.

Surprisingly, the Detroit Lions are currently the biggest risk for multiple sportsbooks in terms of Super Bowl futures. The question now is how will they adapt to going from underdogs to favorites? The pressure is on when you’re leading the pack. The Lions are favored with +145 odds to win the NFC North, but their overall win total is uncertain. The market pricing seems fair, so it’s hard to predict their success at this point.

The Green Bay Packers are predicted to win 7.5 games, with the Over being favored at -103 on BetRivers and the Under at +100 on FanDuel.

As a Minnesota Vikings fan, I find it interesting to consider betting the Over on the Packers’ win total. I believe there is a positive narrative at play where the Packers may be undervalued due to the quarterback transition from Aaron Rodgers to Jordan Love. This change is not necessarily a reason to bet the Under, as it is already accounted for and possibly exaggerated. My projections suggest that the Packers could win around 8.2 games this season, making the Over 7.5 wins at -150 a potentially favorable bet.

The Houston Texans are projected to win 6.5 games, with the over at +120 odds through Caesars and the under at -130 odds through DraftKings.

Despite being one of my lowest power-rated teams, the Houston Texans should not automatically be considered an “Under” bet for their season win total of 6.5. With a new coach in Demeco Ryans and a franchise quarterback in C.J. Stroud, there is still potential for success. Despite a poor power rating, there is value in betting the Texans to go Over 6.5 wins at a price point of +120. My projection has the Texans winning 6.7 games this season, making the Over 6.5 wins a favorable bet at -109.

The Indianapolis Colts are expected to win 6.5 games this season, with the Over favored at -125 by Caesars and the Under at +115 by PointsBet.

Assessing the win total for the Colts in the upcoming 2026 season is particularly challenging due to the uncertainty surrounding rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson. While my initial inclination is to lean towards the Over on the 6.5 win total at -125, I would advise avoiding making any definitive decisions on this particular bet. The lack of clarity surrounding Richardson and the Colts makes it difficult to accurately predict their performance.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are predicted to win 9.5 games, with the over favored at -150 by BetMGM and the under at +130 by PointsBet.

In his first year coaching Trevor Lawrence, Doug Pederson led the Jaguars to victory in the AFC South and a playoff win against the Chargers. As they head into the 2026 season, the team faces higher expectations, evident in their adjusted win total. Despite the perception that the AFC South will be an easy division for the Jaguars, I am inclined to bet on the Under 9.5 wins at +130 odds.

The Kansas City Chiefs are predicted to win 11.5 games with the over at -125 and the under at +125. This information is from BetRivers and Caesars.

Since Patrick Mahomes became the starting quarterback in Kansas City, the defending Super Bowl champions have consistently exceeded 11.5 wins each season. While it may be tempting to bet on the Over for the Chiefs, I believe there is value in betting on the Under this season. Despite the star power on the team, my projections suggest that the Chiefs are more likely to win 10.8 games, making the Under 11.5 wins a bet worth considering at -145 odds.

The Las Vegas Raiders are predicted to win 7.5 games, with the Over option at +170 odds through Caesars and the Under option at -180 odds through DraftKings.

The uncertainty surrounding Jimmy Garoppolo’s potential as the Raiders’ starting quarterback has created confusion in the betting markets for the team’s win total. With Garoppolo in the lineup, my projection for the Raiders is 7.6 wins. This makes betting the Over 7.5 wins at -102 a smart choice, offering favorable expected value at a +170 price point. However, it’s important to be cautious as Garoppolo’s role is not guaranteed. While some 6.5 win totals are available, my projection suggests that betting on the Over/Under for 7.5 wins is more advantageous due to the lower juice.

The Los Angeles Chargers are predicted to win 9.5 games, with the Over being favored at -120 by BetMGM and the Under at +110 by Caesars.

As the season approaches, now is the ideal moment to join the Chargers’ fan base and believe that this year could be their year. With a rejuvenated Justin Herbert and the talented Quentin Johnston joining the team through the draft, excitement is palpable. However, despite the positive outlook, I am not swayed by the hype. My analysis suggests that betting on the Under may offer better value for the Chargers in the upcoming season.

The Los Angeles Rams are projected to win 6.5 games, with the over bet at +105 through Caesars and the under bet at -110 through PointsBet.

Last year, the Rams encountered difficulties when key players like Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp were lost to injuries. Despite these obstacles, they were able to secure five victories while competing against tough opponents. While the Rams may not be seen as top contenders for the Super Bowl, I have confidence that they can exceed 6.5 wins this season, especially with a less challenging schedule. My projections indicate that the Rams will win 7.4 games, leading me to recommend betting on the Over 6.5 wins at -162.

The Miami Dolphins are projected to win 9.5 games, with the over at +105 on BetRivers and the under at -110 on FanDuel.

The Dolphins showed their dedication to winning a Super Bowl by acquiring Jalen Ramsey in a major offseason trade, aiming to secure a championship before Tua Tagovailoa’s rookie contract ends. Despite their strong power ranking, the Dolphins are still projected to win only 9.5 games due to tough competition in their division and schedule. I predict the Dolphins will win exactly 9 games this season, leading me to lean towards betting the Under on their win total.

The Minnesota Vikings are predicted to win 8.5 games, with the Over favored at -121 on BetRivers and the Under at +116 on FanDuel.

How can a team that won 13 games last season only have a projected win total of 8.5 this year? Let me clarify. The Vikings were lucky to have 13 wins last season, but their power rating suggests their true abilities align with a win total of 8.5. In fact, considering the juice for the Under at +116, I believe betting on the Vikings to have fewer than 8.5 wins is the better choice.

The New England Patriots are predicted to win 7.5 games this season, with the over bet at +105 on DraftKings and the under bet at -110 on PointsBet.

Bill O’Brien rejoining the New England Patriots as their offensive coordinator is a welcome change, especially after Mac Jones’ difficulties last season with Matt Patricia as play caller. Despite a strong defense, the Patriots only managed 8 wins last season due to their underperforming offense. I predict the Patriots will win around 7.8 games this season, and with DraftKings offering +105 odds on the Over, I would suggest betting on the Patriots exceeding that win total.

The New Orleans Saints are predicted to win 9.5 games, with the over bet at +120 on FanDuel and the under bet at -120 on PointsBet.

Derek Carr has taken over as the starting quarterback for the Saints, replacing Andy Dalton. The team signed Carr in the offseason, and there are mixed opinions on how he will impact the roster, as shown in the fluctuating betting market. The win total for the Saints is set at 8.5, with odds for both the Over and Under. Personally, I have set the Over 9.5 wins at +122 and the Under 9.5 wins at -122, indicating that I believe the total is accurately priced.

The New York Giants are projected to win 7.5 games, with the Over bet at +100 on DraftKings and the Under bet at -105 on PointsBet.

In his debut season as head coach of the Giants, Brian Daboll guided the team to the playoffs, much to the delight of quarterback Daniel Jones, whose success under Daboll’s leadership earned him a lucrative contract. Despite exceeding expectations last season, the Giants are predicted to have a win total of 7.5 for the upcoming season, which may seem low to some fans. With my projection of 7.7 wins and the favorable odds of +100 on the Over at DraftKings, I am leaning towards betting on the Over for the Giants’ win total.

The New York Jets are predicted to win 9.5 games, with the Over being favored at -122 by FanDuel and the Under at +115 by Caesars.

Aaron Rodgers has joined the New York Jets, sparking hopes of a Super Bowl run for the team. The big question is whether Rodgers can help the Jets improve on their 7-win season last year. My prediction is that the Jets will win 8.8 games, falling short of the 9.5 win total. The odds favor betting on the Under at -149. The Jets are not rated poorly in my rankings, but their tough schedule is a major factor in this forecast.

The Philadelphia Eagles are projected to win 11.5 games, with the over bet at +110 odds from Caesars and the under bet at -110 odds from DraftKings.

The Eagles surpassed their previous season’s win total of 10 by winning 14 games, tying with the Chiefs for the most wins in the NFL. They were given odds of +1600 to have the best record. The Eagles are ranked third in my power ratings, the highest in the NFC. However, my projection suggests they will only win 10.4 games, falling short of their expected 11.5 wins. As a result, the Under 11.5 wins can be priced at -178 based on this projection.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted to win 8.5 games, with the over bet at -135 on DraftKings and the under bet at +130 on PointsBet.

Kenny Pickett is in his second year as the starting quarterback for the Pittsburgh Steelers, and they have added Allen Robinson to their roster to give Pickett an additional weapon. The Steelers have won nine games in each of the past two seasons, but the question is whether they can do it again to surpass their win total. While my projections indicate they may achieve this, the odds are close, with the Over line set at -105. However, the betting markets have the Over line at a much higher -135, making it challenging to place a bet on the Steelers to exceed their win total.

The San Francisco 49ers are projected to win 10.5 games, with the over favored at -120 on DraftKings and the under at +130 on Caesars.

Kyle Shanahan seems to have a special ability to win games no matter who his starting quarterback is, whether it’s Brock Purdy, Trey Lance, or Sam Darnold. Despite facing numerous injuries last season and constantly changing quarterbacks, the 49ers still managed to secure an impressive 13 wins. Will they be able to exceed that win total this season? It’s going to be a close call, but my prediction has the 49ers winning 10.3 games.

The Seattle Seahawks are predicted to win 8.5 games, with the over favored at -130 on DraftKings and the under favored at +145 on PointsBet.

Last season, the Seahawks were a standout pick for me when it came to win total bets. They easily exceeded expectations and brought me significant earnings. Will I be repeating that success this season with another Over bet on the Seahawks’ win total? It doesn’t seem likely. My analysis indicates that the Seahawks are projected to win 8.4 games, suggesting that there may be more value in betting the Under, particularly with a favorable +145 odds offered at PointsBet.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are predicted to win 6.5 games, with the Over bet having odds of +135 on PointsBet and the Under bet having odds of -130 on BetMGM.

After Tom Brady’s retirement, Baker Mayfield has stepped in as the starting quarterback for the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay. Many see this as a downgrade at the position, reflected in the team’s projected win total of 6.5 for the season. Despite public sentiment being against Mayfield in the betting markets, there may be an opportunity to bet on the Over due to this narrative. My projection suggests the Buccaneers will win 7.2 games this season, with the Over 6.5 trading at +135 on PointsBet.

The Tennessee Titans are projected to win 7.5 games, with the over being favored at +115 odds on BetRivers and the under being favored at -130 odds on BetMGM.

The Titans appear to be exploring options to potentially replace Ryan Tannehill, as evidenced by their selections of Malik Willis and Will Levis in back-to-back drafts. With highly touted quarterbacks like Drake Maye and Caleb Williams available this year, coupled with plans for a new stadium, some may question if a rebuild is on the horizon. Despite my projection of 7.8 wins, I would advise caution when considering this win total as there may be additional factors at play that are not fully reflected in the numbers.

The Washington Commanders are projected to win 6.5 games, with the Over bet at +110 on BetMGM and the Under bet at -118 on FanDuel.

I am confident in stating that convincing me the Commanders are not purposely tanking this season will be a difficult task. With the highly talented quarterback prospect Caleb Williams coming from the Washington D.C. area, it seems like the Commanders are aiming for a high draft pick. I firmly predict that the Commanders will finish with the worst record in the NFL this season, and you can even find odds of +1100 for that outcome on bet365.

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Super Bowl FAQs

Who is the favorite to win the Super Bowl?

According to BetMGM, the Kansas City Chiefs are the top favorites to win the 2026 Super Bowl with odds reaching as high as +650.

Which team emerged victorious in the Super Bowl last year?

In Super Bowl 57, the Kansas City Chiefs emerged victorious with a 38-35 win over the Philadelphia Eagles.

What is the date of the 2026 Super Bowl?

The date for Super Bowl 58 is set for Feb. 11, 2026.

In what location will the 2026 Super Bowl take place?

The 2026 Super Bowl is scheduled to be held at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada.

Here’s how to tune in for the 2026 Super Bowl.

CBS will broadcast Super Bowl 58 nationwide.

These are our top Super Bowl betting sites:

• Use the Caesars Promo Code SBRBONUS1000 and check out our Caesars Review.
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• Use the promo code SBRBONUS at BetRivers and check out our review of the site.
• Check out our FanDuel Review and use our FanDuel Promo Code
• Check out our DraftKings Review and use our exclusive DraftKings Promo Code

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