Today’s Home Run Props & Odds: Will Cruz hit a home run at Coors Field?
Our top picks for Friday’s home run leaders, as determined by the odds from our recommended MLB betting sites, feature two exciting batter-pitcher duels, including one at the hitter-friendly Coors Field.
Oneil Cruz of the Pittsburgh Pirates doesn’t fit the typical mold of a shortstop – standing tall at 6-foot-7 with a powerful arm. What’s most impressive, though, is his ability to consistently crush baseballs.
He brings his powerful hitting skills to Coors Field, where the mountains often favor power hitters in favorable pitching matchups. Toronto Blue Jays’ Danny Jansen is embracing his true self and letting his pull-happy style shine.
Let’s also examine our home run props in addition to our Yankees vs. Red Sox player props.
Friday’s home run props
Odds for hitting a home run on our top sports betting platforms.
- Danny Jansen is listed at +400 on FanDuel for his matchup against Logan Allen and the Guardians at Rogers Centre.
- Oneil Cruz is facing off against Ryan Feltner of the Rockies at Coors Field, with odds of +340 according to FanDuel.
Keep in mind that betting on home run props can be very unpredictable and volatile. It is recommended to make smaller wagers on these bets compared to our other MLB picks.
Danny Jansen, a right-handed hitter, will face off against Logan Allen, a left-handed pitcher, at the Rogers Centre.
| Hitter stats | Pitcher stats |
|---|---|
| Home runs: 5 | HR/9: 1.9 |
| SLG%: .469 | HR/FB%: 14.3 |
| FB%: 35.7 | FB%: 27.5 |
| Hard hit %: 36 | Hard hit %: 47.5 |
This matchup has the potential to be a game-changer in the world of baseball.
In one corner stands Danny Jansen, the Toronto Blue Jays catcher who has embarked on a personal hitting transformation journey. He has embraced his identity as a power hitter and abandoned the idea of spraying the ball to all fields. By focusing solely on pulling the ball over the left-field fence, he has found joy and fulfillment in his game.
Jansen’s pull rate has increased quickly, going from 36.9% in 2022 to 44.6% in the current season. His line drive rate has also gone up, rising from 18.4% in 2023 to 26.8% now. Despite this, he remains disciplined at the plate, only striking out in 13.3% of his plate appearances, putting him in the top 5% of MLB players. When Jansen does swing, he does so with power and the goal of hitting a home run for the fans in the left-field bleachers. As a result, he has a strong .816 OPS, which would be the second-best of his career if the season were to end now.
The strategy works effectively with Cleveland Guardians pitcher Logan Allen, who has been giving up home runs generously and is currently tied for the most home runs allowed in MLB with 14. Allen, a left-handed pitcher, has a hard-hit rate of 47.5%, which ranks in the bottom 6% of baseball. He is particularly struggling against right-handed batters, giving up a high .936 OPS.
Make sure to place this bet on FanDuel, where Jansen is listed at +400. Betting $10 at this price will result in a $50 payout.
Top odds: +400 on FanDuel (implied probability of 20.0%)
Oneil Cruz, a right-handed hitter, will face off against Ryan Feltner, a right-handed pitcher, at Coors Field.
| Hitter stats | Pitcher stats |
|---|---|
| Home runs: 9 | HR/9: 10.8 |
| SLG%: .432 | HR/FB%: 8.3 |
| FB%: 19.7 | FB%: 27.3 |
| Hard hit %: 52.6 | Hard hit %: 38.5 |
It’s possible that Oneil Cruz will never become a consistent contact hitter, but that may not be a problem as long as he improves his discipline, reduces his strikeouts, and doesn’t completely focus on power.
However, his power is abundant. This is evident in his hard-hit percentage, which ranks 16th in the league, and his impressive barrels per plate appearance of 11.1, placing him eighth in MLB. Additionally, his increased contact in June has resulted in a .286 batting average for the month, a promising sign when paired with his frequent power hitting.
Now he is heading to Coors Field, also known as the launchpad. Cruz will have the opportunity to face Ryan Feltner and his 5.74 ERA. Feltner has surrendered nine home runs in 2024, with five of them coming in his last seven games. What makes this matchup even more appealing for Cruz is that Feltner’s home run to fly ball ratio has increased from 3.3% in 2023 to 8.3%, and his extra-base hit allowed percentage has also risen from 24% to 34%.
Make sure to choose FanDuel for this bet, as Cruz is only +300 on DraftKings. Betting $10 at these +340 odds will result in a $44 payout.
Top odds available: +340 at FanDuel, suggesting a 22.7% chance of winning.
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Related pages
- Top Live Betting Sites | Top Promotions (U.S. residents only)
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