Predictions and picks for Monday’s NFL player props in Week 3
Perry Odelia and Stewart Serena, betting analysts at Underscoreg Review, have selected their top Week 3 NFL player props based on the latest NFL odds from our top prop betting sites. Following a challenging second week, they aim to bounce back with their picks.
We resembled the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 2, managing to avoid a shutout but still getting thoroughly beaten.
Everyone loves a comeback story, and just because our numbers were down in Week 2 doesn’t mean they won’t bounce back in Week 3. Just ask Stewart Serena, who had faith in his Tua Tagovailoa and Rhamondre Stevenson bets.
Beginning Week 3 with four consecutive victories, we aim to finish strong by selecting our fifth and final pick for Monday Night Football in hopes of completing a sweep of the board.
Check out our top NFL player prop bets for Week 3, with odds from our recommended NFL betting sites. Confidence level for each pick is rated on a 1 to 5-star scale.
Week 3 NFL player props
- BetMGM is offering +120 odds on Mike Evans having over 4.5 receptions, which is a four-star pick.
- Bet365 has listed Mike Williams with over 61.5 receiving yards at -110 odds. This bet is rated three stars and is considered a good pick.
- Kyle Pitts will have over 33.5 receiving yards, with odds of -110 on bet365. This bet receives a 4-star rating and is likely to be successful.
- Jared Goff to throw for less than 271.5 passing yards (-110 odds on bet365) ⭐⭐ ✅
- Bet on Daniel Jones to complete over 20.5 passes with +105 odds on DraftKings. This bet has a three-star rating and is a good pick.
This review is not meant for use in MA. Please note that Underscoreg Review may earn advertising commissions for visits to a sportsbook.
Week 3 NFL player props for Monday’s game.
BetMGM is offering +120 odds on Mike Evans recording over 4.5 receptions, and this bet is rated four stars.
A surprising standout of the NFL season has been Baker Mayfield’s impressive performance for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, particularly his instant connection with wide receiver Mike Evans. In just two games, Evans has racked up 237 receiving yards on 12 catches out of 18 targets.
I think many people may be inclined to overlook Evans on Monday Night Football because of his matchup with Eagles DB Darius Slay. However, I am confident in Evans’ chances and believe the odds are in our favor.
The bonus bets will expire within 7 days of being issued. This offer is only available to new customers. Please note that further terms and conditions may also apply.
Despite expectations for the market to favor Chris Godwin, it is actually Mike Evans who has seen a surge in popularity at Pinnacle, with his odds for Over 4.5 receptions being adjusted to -103. Luckily, we can capitalize on this market information with minimal risk at BetMGM, which still offers +120 odds.
Evans is expected to catch 4.9 passes against the Eagles, so we can bet on him to catch over 4.5 passes at -118 odds. However, we can get better odds at +120 through BetMGM, giving us a positive expected value of 19% on this bet.
BetMGM and BetRivers are offering the best price for this prop with Over 4.5 receptions at +120. FanDuel is close behind at +114, but betting with them would decrease your expected value to 16%.
Choice selected by Perry Odelia (SBR | Twitter/X)
Propositions for NFL players in Week 3 on Sunday.
Mike Williams to have more than 61.5 receiving yards at -110 odds on bet365 with a three-star rating. This bet has been confirmed.
If you want to bet on player props with high scores in Week 3, I recommend checking out the game between the Los Angeles Chargers and Minnesota Vikings on Sunday. The total has gone up by 4.5 points from 49.5 to 54 at bet365, indicating a belief that there will be a lot of scoring in this matchup. Now the question is, which player props present the best opportunity for success?
When the over/under total increases from 49.5 to 54, the trio of Justin Herbert, Keenan Allen, and Mike Williams become the key players to watch. Of the three, Williams presents the best opportunity for profit in terms of yardage props.
Williams is expected to gain 72.4 receiving yards against the Vikings, so we can set the Over/Under at 61.5 receiving yards with odds of -125. This bet has a positive expected value of 6%, which is a better opportunity compared to the yardage props for Herbert or Allen.
When betting, the focus is on identifying probability discrepancies in the betting lines. However, your certainty in placing a bet on this player prop increases when you consider the performance of the Vikings’ secondary this season. The PFF player grades for starting cornerbacks Byron Murphy Jr. and Akayleb Evans are 53.9 and 63.1, indicating subpar performance.
Allen Byron’s prediction for the Eagles-Buccaneers game is that Tampa will keep it close, making it a good opportunity for spread betting.
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
The selection was chosen by Perry Odelia (SBR | Twitter/X)
Bet365 is offering Kyle Pitts to have over 33.5 receiving yards at -110 odds. This bet is rated four stars and is recommended.
If you’re a fantasy football player who picked Pitts, I can’t offer much advice – you may have been deceived yet again. However, for those of us betting on player props, there is a silver lining. Despite his lackluster performance thus far, Pitts’ receiving yards total has been adjusted accordingly, making it easier for us to win by simply outperforming that number for one week.
This week seems like the ideal time for it to occur since the Lions allowed over 33.5 receiving yards to three tight ends from the Seattle Seahawks last week. Yes, you heard that right; Noah Fant, Colby Parkinson, and Will Dissly all surpassed 33.5 receiving yards against the Lions. Furthermore, the Lions will be missing their starting safety, C.J. Garder-Johnson, in the secondary due to an injury.
I find it hard to believe that Pitts would only have 33.5 receiving yards in a game against the Lions. Despite the Falcons’ hesitancy to target their top offensive player, Pitts could easily surpass that total with a single play. In Week 1, he had a 34-yard reception against the Panthers, proving his big-play potential. In order to pull off an upset as 3-point underdogs against the Lions, the Falcons will need to keep their offense firing on all cylinders and get Pitts more involved.
According to projections, Pitts is expected to have 45.3 receiving yards against the Lions. This means that the Over 33.5 receiving yards bet is priced at -150, but bet365 is offering it at -110. Other top sports betting sites have the total at 33.5 with odds of -120, so it is recommended to take advantage of the better price at bet365 to increase your potential edge.
In his Week 3 predictions for the Falcons-Lions game, Phil Wood is keeping a close watch on another Atlanta playmaker.
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
Perry Odelia’s selection (SBR | Twitter/X)
Jared Goff to throw for under 271.5 passing yards, with odds of -110 on bet365. Rating: ⭐⭐ Result: ✅
The Detroit Lions are dealing with multiple injuries on offense, while the Atlanta Falcons have been relying heavily on their running game. This does not bode well for Goff and the Detroit passing game.
I predict Goff will throw for 260.4 passing yards and would bet the Under at -139 odds. Despite exceeding this total with 323 passing yards against the Seattle Seahawks last week, I anticipate a slower game and fewer points scored against the Falcons in Week 3.
Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER
My projections show a positive expected value of 11% when compared to the -110 odds offered by bet365.
In his analysis of the Falcons-Lions matchup, our Green Finnian is focusing on a player prop related to Bijan Robinson’s performance out of the backfield. Be sure to check out all of our NFL predictions for Week 3 as well.
Stewart Serena’s pick (SBR | Twitter/X)
Propositions for NFL players in Week 3 on Thursday.
Bet on Daniel Jones to complete over 20.5 passes at +105 odds on DraftKings. This bet has a three-star rating and is a winner.
The outcome of this bet depends on the Giants’ game plan, as they face a 10-point spread against the 49ers in Thursday Night Football. If the Giants fall behind or are dominated, they will likely rely on passing plays, while the 49ers may allow short completions to control the clock and limit big plays.
The Giants’ offensive line is facing challenges, especially against the 49ers’ tough front, which may lead to quick passes for easy completions. The passing game will be crucial with Saquon Barkley out injured.
Jones is expected to complete 21.1 passes against the 49ers, just slightly over the total of 20.5 pass completions. However, the advantage lies in the odds. We can bet on Jones completing more than 20.5 passes at -110, giving us an edge over the +105 price offered by DraftKings.
If the +105 bet on DraftKings is no longer available, it may be worth looking into the Over 19.5 (-130) option on BetRivers. While you will be paying more juice, the expected value of the Over 19.5 bet at BetRivers is actually higher than playing the Over 20.5 (-102) at FanDuel, for example.
Terms and conditions apply.
Choice selected by Perry Odelia (SBR | Twitter/X)
Attention Kentucky bettors: Get ready, sports betting will be available soon!
Don’t miss out on pre-launch offers for Kentucky sports betting, launching on Sept. 28! Take advantage of Kentucky sportsbook promos and discover the top Kentucky sports betting apps before it’s too late!
Must be 21 or older and currently located in Kentucky. If you have a gambling problem, please contact 1-800-GAMBLER.
NFL betting odds pages
Explore our top NFL betting websites:
- Use the Caesars Promo Code SBRBONUS1000 and check out our Caesars Review.
- Check out our BetMGM Review and use the bonus code SBRBONUS
- Use the bonus code SBRBONUS on bet365 and check out our review of the site.
- Use the BetRivers promo code SBRBONUS and check out our BetRivers review.
- Check out our FanDuel review and use our exclusive promo code!
- Get the latest DraftKings promo code and check out our in-depth DraftKings review.
*Bonuses are not available in Ontario. If you are 21 or older and have a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Related pages
- Top Sports Betting Websites with the Best Promotions (available in the U.S. only)
Related Articles
