Friday’s MLB player props and expert picks: Will Adames hit a home run for the second day in a row?
With almost every Major League Baseball team playing on a busy Friday schedule, we present our top MLB prop picks and best bets for the day using the most favorable MLB odds available.
The MLB action kicks off on Friday at 2:20 p.m. ET at Wrigley Field, where the New York Mets will take on the Chicago Cubs. The Mets are hoping to bounce back from their loss on Wednesday and resume their winning streak of seven games.
In other news, a potential preview of the World Series odds unfolds in the Bronx during the first game of a three-game series between the Atlanta Braves and New York Yankees. The day will end with a matchup between teams from Los Angeles at 10:10 p.m. ET at Dodger Stadium, where the Los Angeles Dodgers will take on the Los Angeles Angels.
Check out our MLB player props and expert picks for Friday, with MLB picks determined by odds from our top MLB betting sites and pick confidence rated on a scale from 1 to 5 stars.
Friday’s MLB expert picks
Our MLB picks are determined by odds from top MLB betting sites, with confidence levels rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.
- Bet on Chris Sale to allow less than 2.5 earned runs at -150 odds on DraftKings. Three-star rating.
- Bet365 has George Kirby as the favorite to win at -105 odds, with three stars indicating a high confidence level in this outcome.
- BetMGM offers +170 odds on Ryan McMahon to have over 0.5 RBIs, with a four-star rating.
- There is a +540 odds on FanDuel for Willy Adames to hit a home run ⭐⭐⭐
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MLB player props
Chris Sale allows less than 2.5 earned runs, receiving a three-star rating.
Information on the game between the Atlanta Braves and the New York Yankees: Moneyline odds favor the Braves (-110 with bet365) and the total is set at 8.5 with bet365. The game is scheduled to start at 7:05 p.m. ET.
Sale, who previously played for the Red Sox, is now a National League pitcher visiting Yankee Stadium for the first time. He is hoping to boost his 2-6 record and 3.96 ERA in 12 appearances at the stadium. Sale has limited current Yankees hitters to a .238/.302/.516 slash line. Aaron Judge and Gleyber Torres, two of New York’s top hitters, are a combined 5-for-40 against Sale with only two extra-base hits and 22 strikeouts.
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Sale leads all Braves starters with a 0.94 WHIP, is tied for the most quality starts (eight), and is second in WAR (2.1). This makes him a standout performer on the team. In a three-star play, the Yankees have struggled against left-handed pitchers in June home games, ranking 30th in BABIP (.186). Despite having the best BB/K ratio of all 30 teams in that span, Sale’s impressive 4.0% walk rate is on pace to be the best of his career. This means he is unlikely to allow the Yankees many free bases in the upcoming game.
The most favorable odds are -150 on DraftKings.
George Kirby clinches a victory ⭐⭐⭐
Information on the game between Seattle Mariners and Miami Marlins: Moneyline odds favor Mariners (-160 on bet365), Over/Under set at 7.5 on bet365, game starts at 7:10 p.m. ET.
Kirby has won two out of his last four starts, but he could have been on a four-start winning streak if not for two no-decisions in other games. In those games, both Mariners wins, he allowed just two earned runs over 13 innings and had a 12:0 K:BB ratio.
Kirby’s odds for a victory are looking good despite his 1-4 record in road starts and tendency to give up most home runs away from home. The Miami Marlins, who have struggled against right-handed pitchers at home in June, are not likely to pose a major challenge for him.
Miami ended their six-series winless streak by winning two out of three games against the St. Louis Cardinals. However, they have only won one series against a team with a winning record. We predict that Kirby and the Mariners will come out on top, leading the team to their 30th victory in the 47th game against teams with losing records.
Top odds: -105 at bet365
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Ryan McMahon to have at least 1 RBI ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Information about the game between the Washington Nationals and the Colorado Rockies: Moneyline odds favor the Rockies (-110 according to bet365) and the total points expected is 11 according to bet365. The game is scheduled to start at 8:40 p.m. Eastern Time.
Coors Field has continued to live up to its reputation as a hitter-friendly park in recent weeks, with the Rockies averaging 6.4 runs in their last eight home games. Third baseman McMahon has recorded four RBIs in his last five games, making him a strong candidate for a five-star play. However, his OPS has been on a downward trend for the fourth month in a row, which is a cause for concern.
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McMahon is the top Rockies hitter against left-handed pitchers, boasting a .939 OPS and 43 total bases in a minimum of 33 games played. He has been averaging 1.4 hits per game in the last week. We anticipate him to have success against Washington Nationals rookie DJ Herz, who is making his first MLB road start and has struggled to pitch deep into games in his limited appearances. McMahon is likely to drive in at least one run against Herz.
Top odds: +170 at BetMGM
Willy Adames is expected to hit a home run ⭐⭐⭐
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | +425 | +540 | +450 | +450 | +450 |
Matchup: Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres | Moneyline: Padres favored (-155 on bet365) | Over/Under: 7.5 on bet365 | Game starts at 9:40 p.m. Eastern Time.
Padres pitcher Dylan Cease started the season strong with a 2.19 ERA, 0.75 WHIP, and .128 OBA in his first eight starts. However, in his last seven starts, his performance has declined with a 6.27 ERA, 1.50 WHIP, and .299 OBA. He has given up 19 hits and five home runs in his last 15 2/3 innings against teams with strong offenses.
Tonight, Willy Adames is set to face another favorable matchup as he brings his team-leading 13 home runs and 54 RBIs into the game. After breaking an eight-game streak without multiple hits in last night’s series opener, Adames has shown his power with four home runs in the last 10 games. This makes betting on his home run prop a better option than taking the Over on his total bases, especially at FanDuel where they offer better odds compared to other shops.
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FanDuel offers the best odds at +540.
Player props for MLB were set on Friday at 7:33 a.m. ET.
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Related pages
- Top Live Betting Sites | Top Promotions (U.S. only)
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