MLB Player Props and Expert Picks for Saturday: Can Henderson Extend Orioles’ June Power Surge?
This weekend is filled with exciting Major League Baseball games, and we have selected our top MLB prop picks and best bets for Saturday based on the most favorable MLB odds.
Whenever Pittsburgh Pirates right-handed pitcher Paul Skenes steps onto the mound, it promises to be an exciting event. Skenes will be aiming to improve his chances for Rookie of the Year as he takes on the Atlanta Braves at 4:10 p.m. ET at Truist Park.
The San Francisco Giants and the Los Angeles Dodgers, two of Major League Baseball’s biggest rivals, will face off for the seventh time this season. The Dodgers have emerged victorious in five out of the seven previous meetings.
The highly-anticipated series in the American League this weekend is the rematch between the Baltimore Orioles and Texas Rangers in the ALDS. The Rangers swept the Orioles, who had 101 wins, on their path to winning the World Series title.
Our Saturday MLB player props and expert picks are now available.
Saturday’s MLB expert picks
Our MLB picks are determined by odds from our top MLB betting sites, with confidence levels rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.
- BetMGM is offering odds of -120 on Nestor Cortes allowing over 2.5 earned runs, giving it a three-star rating.
- Tanner Bibee to record more than 5.5 strikeouts, odds at -102 on FanDuel, rated 4 stars.
- Alex Bregman is predicted to score at least one run with odds of -103 according to Caesars, earning a four-star rating.
- Gunnar Henderson has +340 odds to hit a home run according to FanDuel, earning a three-star rating.
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MLB player props
Nestor Cortes allows more than 2.5 earned runs – 3 stars
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | -120 | OFF | -120 | -123 | -120 |
Information for the game between the New York Yankees and Toronto Blue Jays: Moneyline odds have the Yankees favored at -125 through Betway, with the total set at 8.5 also via Betway. The game is scheduled to start at 3:07 p.m. Eastern Time.
The Yankees’ strong starting rotation played a major role in their early success, with the team on track for 110 wins after a 32-15 start. However, the rotation’s struggles have contributed to the team’s recent slump, going 3-9 in the last 12 games leading up to Friday.
The Yankees rotation started off strong in the first 75 games, posting impressive numbers with a 2.86 ERA, .213 OBA, .646 opponent’s OPS, and averaging 5.67 innings per start. However, in the last eight games leading up to Friday, the rotation struggled with a 10.25 ERA, .333 OBA, 1.114 opponent’s OPS, and averaged only 4.50 innings per start.
Out of the last eight starts, the rotation as a whole has given up five or more earned runs in five games. Although Cortes did not contribute to these poor performances, he has struggled significantly on the road this season with an 0-3 record and a 5.57 ERA, in contrast to his impressive 1.84 ERA at Yankee Stadium.
This play is rated three stars because the Over has hit in 11 of Toronto’s last 16 home games, and the Blue Jays’ ability to score against Cortes is the main factor in our prediction for it to hit again.
The most favorable odds are -120, available through BetMGM.
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Tanner Bibee with more than 5.5 strikeouts earns four stars.
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | -145 | -102 | OFF | -135 | -115 |
Cleveland Guardians will face off against the Kansas City Royals with a pick ’em moneyline (-110 via Betway) and a total of 7.5 via Betway. The game will start at 4:10 p.m. ET.
Since the beginning of May, Bibee has been performing exceptionally well as a starting pitcher. He currently ranks fifth among all qualified starting pitchers with an impressive 11.41 K/9 rate. In addition, he has achieved back-to-back quality starts and demonstrated his skill by inducing 14 whiffs and a 27% CSW% in his most recent start against the strong Orioles offense. In his last seven starts, Bibee has maintained a remarkable 33.7% strikeout rate while pitching to a 2.41 ERA, a 0.90 WHIP, and a .190 opponent batting average.
Bibee has achieved over seven strikeouts in six out of his last seven starts. With one standout performance against the Kansas City Royals on June 6, where he induced 16 whiffs on 49 swings and had a 31% CSW%, we are confident in backing his Over as a four-star play.
Furthermore, the Royals have struggled offensively in their last 6-12 games, hitting a collective .200/.262/.333 while striking out in 20.7% of their at-bats. Fans who expect Bibee to have another strong seven-strikeout performance may find better value with FanDuel’s +200 odds for their alternate strikeout line, compared to bet365’s +180 odds for the “Pitcher Strikeouts Milestones” prop bet.
The most favorable odds are -102 on FanDuel.
Only new customers are eligible for this offer. To qualify, you must deposit a minimum of $5 and place your first bet of $5 or more. If your bet wins within 72 hours, you will receive $200 in Bonus Bets.
Alex Bregman to score at least one run ⭐⭐⭐⭐
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | -105 | -155 | -105 | -103 | -110 |
Information on the game between the Houston Astros and the New York Mets: Moneyline odds favor the Astros (-120 through Betway) with a total score over/under set at 8.5 via Betway. The game is scheduled to start at 4:10 p.m. ET.
Jose Altuve, typically seen as the catalyst for the Astros offense, has scored 50 runs this season, which is 15 more than Bregman. However, the odds favor Bregman’s chances of scoring a run at -111 at Caesars, particularly considering his recent performance.
Bregman has crossed home plate in five out of the last seven games, during which Houston has scored an average of 6.6 runs per game. In the past week leading up to Friday, Bregman has posted a .333/.391/.476 slash line. Surprisingly, his .339 on-base percentage against right-handed pitchers surpasses Altuve’s .333 OBP.
The Astros are expected to have a strong offensive performance against Mets righty Tylor Megill, who ranks in the lower percentiles in xERA and barrels and hard-hit rate. With this in mind, betting on Bregman to score at least one run is a solid four-star play.
Caesars offers the best odds at -103.
Terms and conditions apply.
Gunnar Henderson is expected to hit a three-star home run.
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odds | OFF | +340 | OFF | OFF | OFF |
Information about the game between Texas Rangers and Baltimore Orioles: Orioles are favored to win with a moneyline of -160 from Betway, the total score is set at 9.5 also from Betway. The game starts at 7:15 p.m. ET.
With two days remaining in June, the Orioles have already set a new franchise record for home runs in a single month with 58, exceeding the previous record of 56 set by the 2016 team.
Henderson has hit eight home runs this month, making him second on the team. We believe he has a better chance of hitting more home runs than his teammate Anthony Santander, who has hit 12 home runs. This is because Rangers pitcher Michael Lorenzen has given up a .389 OPS to left-handed batters, but a .898 OPS to right-handed batters.
According to Just Baseball on X, Henderson is on track to achieve the highest fWAR for a shortstop in a single season since 1900. With eight lead-off home runs already this season, there is a strong possibility of cashing in on this three-star play as early as the first at-bat. This is especially likely considering Lorenzen’s HR/9 rate has been increasing for the fourth consecutive season, and he has given up two or more home runs in two of his last four starts.
Only FanDuel currently has odds for any Orioles hitter to hit a home run, indicating possible news about the Rangers’ pitching. Keep an eye out for updates and compare Henderson’s home run odds with other top sportsbooks once the numbers are confirmed.
The best odds are +340 from FanDuel.
MLB player props were set on Saturday at 7:38 a.m. ET.
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