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Baltimore Orioles shortstop Gunnar Henderson celebrates after hitting a three-run home run against the Tampa Bay Rays in the ninth inning at Tropicana Field as we look at our home run props for Friday.
Baltimore Orioles shortstop Gunnar Henderson celebrates after hitting a three-run home run against the Tampa Bay Rays in the ninth inning at Tropicana Field. Photo by Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports.

Based on the odds from our top MLB betting sites, Gunnar Henderson is expected to continue hitting home runs at an impressive rate.

When placing a bet on a home run prop, the method by which the baseball clears the fence is irrelevant. All that matters is that it successfully completes the journey.

On Friday, we are supporting two sluggers with contrasting approaches, yet they both consistently achieve the same outcome.

First up is the emerging talent Gunnar Henderson of the Baltimore Orioles, known for his disciplined approach at the plate and ability to strike with authority when the opportunity arises. Next is Brent Rooker from the Oakland Athletics, who may rack up strikeouts with his power-hitting style but can also frequently send the ball sailing into the upper deck.

Friday’s home run props are all about reaching the destination, not the journey.

Friday’s home run props are ready.

Get the best odds for home runs on our top sports betting sites.

  • Gunnar Henderson is facing off against the Rangers (Max Scherzer) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards, with odds of +450 via BetMGM.
  • Brent Rooker is favored at +350 by FanDuel in his matchup against Slade Cecconi of the Diamondbacks at Chase Field.

Keep in mind that home run prop bets are highly unpredictable in the betting market. It is recommended to wager with caution and make smaller investments compared to other MLB picks.

Left-handed hitter Gunnar Henderson will face right-handed pitcher Max Scherzer at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.

Hitter statsPitcher stats
Home runs: 26HR/9: 0.0
SLG%: .615HR/FB%: 0.0
FB%: 26.2FB%: 25.0
Hard hit %: 57.5Hard hit %: 16.7

Max Scherzer, approaching 40 years old, continues to defy age with his impressive athleticism. After recovering from a thumb injury, he made a stellar debut in 2024 by dominating the Kansas City Royals, pitching five innings with zero earned runs and four strikeouts.

Despite their impressive skills, pitchers are still human and face tough competition. A veteran making only his second start must now face the powerful Baltimore Orioles lineup, including star shortstop Gunnar Henderson. This matchup has led to a high home run price for Henderson due to Max Scherzer’s presence on the mound.

BetMGM is giving Henderson odds of +450, which is higher than the +320 odds offered by FanDuel.

Hurry over to BetMGM to support a powerful left-handed batter, as Henderson currently ranks second in MLB with 26 home runs. He also boasts the league’s fifth-highest hard-hit percentage and ninth-best adjusted average exit velocity at 97.1.

He will face a future Hall of Famer who has shown vulnerability against left-handed batters, allowing a career .712 OPS compared to a .575 OPS against right-handed batters.

Top odds: +450 from BetMGM, with an implied probability of 18.18%

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Brent Rooker, a right-handed hitter, will face Slade Cecconi, a right-handed pitcher, at Chase Field.

Hitter statsPitcher stats
Home runs: 14HR/9: 2.0
SLG%: .506HR/FB%: 12.8
FB%: 31.4FB%: 36.1
Hard hit %: 52.3Hard hit %: 35.5

Supporting a hitter like Brent Rooker, who has a high strikeout rate, can be frustrating. Rooker currently ranks sixth in MLB for strikeouts with 97 and has the third-worst strikeout rate at 34.6%.

However, that is important for many other batter props. In this area, we embrace a slugger who is fully committed to hitting for power with open arms. If Rooker is willing to strike out three times, we encourage him to do so. All it takes is one solid hit among those strikeouts, and Rooker thrives in his own unique way with that strategy.

According to Baseball Savant, Rooker’s hard-hit percentage is in the top 6% leaguewide, and he currently boasts a strong OPS of .845. In his last nine games, he has recorded hits in eight of them, with four being for extra bases, including a home run.

Now, Rooker has a chance to take a swing at Slade Cecconi, the Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher who has given up a home run in all but three of his 11 games in 2024. Cecconi relies heavily on his four-seam fastball, throwing it 55.2% of the time, but it is being hit hard with a .578 slugging percentage.

Top odds available at FanDuel are +350, which implies a 22.22% probability.

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