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Max Verstappen and his Oracle Red Bull Racing RB20 on track during Sprint Qualifying ahead of the F1 Grand Prix of Miami as we dive into our best Miami Grand Prix predictions.
Max Verstappen and his Oracle Red Bull Racing RB20 on track during Sprint Qualifying ahead of the F1 Grand Prix of Miami. Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images/AFP via AFP

In 2024, Formula 1 will make its debut in the United States with the Miami Grand Prix. Our predictions for the race are informed by the F1 odds provided by top F1 betting sites.

In 2024, the United States will be hosting the first of three F1 races at the Miami International Autodrome in Florida on Sunday. Max Verstappen has emerged victorious at the Miami Grand Prix for the past two years, making him the favorite for this year’s championship. With wins in four out of five races this season, Verstappen is clearly in top form.

Red Bull has continued to show its dominance on the track throughout the year, and Miami looks to be no exception, as Verstappen claimed the top spot in practice to kick off the weekend.

Although Verstappen’s pole position at the Miami International Autodrome does not guarantee his third consecutive win, the early signs are not looking good for the rest of the field. The race is set to begin at 4 p.m. ET.

Below are our selections and forecasts for the 2024 Miami Grand Prix, using the F1 odds for the Miami International Autodrome. The odds are sourced from our top sports betting websites, with pick confidence rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars. Additionally, you can explore the odds for the Monaco Grand Prix and Las Vegas Grand Prix in preparation for those upcoming races.

Miami Grand Prix picks

  • Top Pick: Max Verstappen is the favorite with odds of -550 at BetMGM. ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Unlikely bet: Carlos Sainz is a +2200 underdog according to FanDuel ⭐⭐⭐
  • Prop bet: McLaren will have the fastest pit stop, with odds of +350 on DraftKings. ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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Odds for the 2024 Miami Grand Prix

The odds were last updated on Sunday at 10:30 a.m. ET.

DriverDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Max Verstappen-800-700-700-700-900 ❄️
Charles Leclerc+600+750+600+800 +750
Carlos Sainz+1800+2500 +1600 ❄️+2200+2000
Lando Norris+2200+1800+1600 ❄️+1800+2200
Sergio Perez+2500+2900 +2200+2500+1800 ❄️
Oscar Piastri+8000 +7000+6600+8000+6600
Lewis Hamilton+10000+9500 ❄️+10000+12500 +10000
George Russell+10000+11000+10000+12500 +10000
Lance Stroll+25000+20000+50000+50000+25000
Fernando Alonso+30000+20000+50000 +30000+25000

Miami Grand Prix predictions

Top pick: Max Verstappen is the favorite to win at -550 odds according to BetMGM. ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️

Max Verstappen has won four out of five races this season and has stood on the top step of the podium 46 times in the last 71 races since the 2021 season. He has only missed a top-three finish 11 times during that period. Verstappen has made his mark in the sport’s history and he is still not at his peak.

Considering this, he is such a strong contender that you will need to wager a substantial amount in order to see a worthwhile profit. However, there is a slight possibility that he may encounter difficulties, similar to his experience in Australia where he finished in 19th place due to brake problems early in the race.

Nevertheless, the most probable outcome is a victory for Verstappen, as he is the sole driver to have previously won this race and has also claimed pole position. Placing a $100 bet on his victory would result in a profit of $18.18, with the odds indicating an impressive 84.62% probability of success.

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Unlikely bet: Carlos Sainz is listed at +2200 odds on FanDuel, earning a three-star rating.

With the exception of Verstappen, Carlos Sainz is the sole driver to secure a race win this season. The Spanish driver achieved podium finishes in three out of his four races in his Ferrari. His triumph in Australia followed a successful recovery from an appendectomy. In the previous season, Sainz was the only non-Red Bull driver to claim victory in a race.

In the 2022 Miami race, Sainz secured a podium finish after starting in fifth place. In the previous year, he started in third but dropped back to fifth by the end of the race. This time, he will once again start in fifth position on the grid. FanDuel offers the most favorable odds of +2200 among our top sports betting sites. Placing a $10 bet at these odds could result in a $220 profit, with a winning probability of 4.35%.

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Proposition: McLaren will have the fastest pit stop, with odds of +350 according to DraftKings.

Red Bull dominates with nine of the season’s top 10 fastest pit stops, with Ferrari rounding out the list at the bottom. Our top sports betting apps have Red Bull’s line set at -175, a solid bet given their consistent success in races, only missing out in Bahrain.

Considering McLaren as a strategic choice is a reliable option for those seeking a new potential outcome. In the past two races, Lando Norris has consistently had the third-fastest pit stop times, with McLaren closely trailing behind the Red Bull team. This positions McLaren as a strong contender to take the lead should any issues arise for Red Bull.

DraftKings has the best value at +350 odds, with an implied probability of 22.22% and a potential profit of $35 on a $10 bet.

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Past winners of the Miami Grand Prix

YearDriverTeam
2023Max Verstappen Red Bull 
2022Max Verstappen Red Bull 

Miami Grand Prix info

The event will take place on Sunday, May 5 at 4 p.m. ET at the Miami International Autodrome in Miami, Fla. You can watch it on ABC. Max Verstappen is the defending champion.

Picks for the Miami Grand Prix will be made on Friday at 6 p.m. ET.

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