Propositions for the NBA Finals Series: Who will be the top scorer, rebounder, assist leader, and three-point shooter in the matchup between the Mavericks and Celtics?

We have top NBA Finals series props and expert predictions for Mavericks vs. Celtics stat leaders, using the best NBA odds available from our top sports betting sites.

As we head into the 2024 NBA Finals, all eyes are on the top players from the Boston Celtics (64-18) and Dallas Mavericks (50-32) as they prepare to battle it out in Game 1 tonight at 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC.

Jayson Tatum and Luka Doncic are the top picks for NBA Finals MVP, expected to lead in points, rebounds, and assists. While they are highly ranked in predictions, other All-Stars in the supporting casts also have the potential to impact the series.

In addition to our NBA Finals odds and betting preview, we are sharing our top predictions for the series leader in the Mavericks vs. Celtics matchup.

Expert picks for the NBA Finals stat leader odds.

Select confidence level on a scale of 1 to 5 stars; compare odds from top NBA betting websites.

• FanDuel has Luka Doncic as the favorite to score the most points in the series at -180 odds. ⭐⭐⭐
• Jayson Tatum favored to have the most assists in the series (+1200 odds on DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
• According to bet365, Jayson Tatum is favored to lead the series in rebounds at -110.
• Luka Doncic favored to lead series in three-pointers (+110 odds on BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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Chances of leading the NBA Finals in points

To be frank, the competition is primarily between Luka Doncic and Jayson Tatum, who are the top scorers for their teams and the frontrunners in this betting market.

Both Doncic and Tatum were the top performers for their teams in the conference finals. Doncic averaged 32.4 points against the Minnesota Timberwolves’ top-ranked defense, while Tatum scored 30.3 points per game against the less formidable Indiana Pacers defense. Tatum has been struggling with his shot throughout the postseason, but Doncic is starting to find his rhythm at the perfect moment.

I strongly believe that Doncic will be the top scorer in this series, but the more important question is whether he offers good value. According to our odds converter, Doncic’s best odds give him a 64.29% chance of leading in points, which seems like a fair enough reason to bet on him despite the low price in this market.

Forecast: Luka Doncic is favored to win at -180 according to FanDuel ⭐⭐⭐

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Chances of leading the NBA Finals in assists

In this market, Luka Doncic is the clear favorite with odds as low as -700 at our top sportsbooks. Even his longest odds are still too high for me, especially considering the tough challenge posed by the Celtics defense, which excels at switching and disrupting passing lanes.

This leads me to lean towards the other side in this matchup, specifically focusing on Jayson Tatum (+1200). He quietly leads Boston in assists per game (5.9) in the postseason. Tatum had eight assists in each of his team’s last two victories in Indiana. Additionally, he led the way in the 2022 NBA Finals, averaging a team-high seven assists against the Golden State Warriors, despite struggling with his shot.

I anticipate that Tatum will not struggle offensively like he did in that series, but I believe he can have a significant influence as a playmaker rather than simply trying to outscore Doncic. You can also place a bet on Tatum to have the most assists among players not named Doncic at +140 odds on bet365, which would pay out 8.6 times more.

Forecast: Jayson Tatum is a strong contender with odds of +1200 according to DraftKings. ⭐⭐⭐

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Chances of leading in rebounds in the NBA Finals

After a strong regular season performance in which he led the Celtics in rebounding with 8.1 RPG, Jayson Tatum (-110) has emerged as the favorite in a betting market that suits his strengths. Tatum has continued his impressive play in the postseason, averaging 10.4 RPG and recording at least 10 rebounds in 11 out of 14 games so far.

Luka Doncic is a contender in the market with odds of +180 as the Mavericks’ top rebounder in the playoffs with an average of 9.6 rebounds per game. However, my focus is on Dereck Lively II, with odds of +1200, who has quietly impressed by ranking third in total rebounding rate (19%) and offensive rebound rate (13.6%) in this series, the highest in both categories.

Ultimately, it seems like there is great value in betting on Tatum at -110 odds, which suggests a 52.38% chance of winning and a potential $9.09 profit on a $10 bet. If Lively sees more playing time, he could also be a strong contender. I suggest placing bets on both players in this series, but Tatum is the top choice and should receive a larger wager.

Projected Outcome: Jayson Tatum is favored to win at odds of -110 according to bet365, earning a 4-star rating.

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Chances of leading the NBA Finals in three-pointers made

This market is the most unpredictable on paper due to the fluctuating nature of 3-point shooting from game to game. The most effective strategy to combat this unpredictability is to shoot a high volume of shots.

Luka Doncic is currently the favorite at -130 to lead the field in triples, according to NBA betting expert Richardson Lilliana. With 166 attempts and 57 makes this postseason, Doncic will be crucial for the Mavericks to win the series.

It is worth noting that Derrick White has made an average of 3.42 three-pointers per game, slightly more than Doncic’s 3.35, despite playing three fewer games. He is currently priced at +250 to lead the field in 3-pointers. White has made multiple three-pointers in his last five games and has done so in 12 out of 14 postseason games. With plenty of open looks expected in this series, White is in a good position to continue his hot shooting streak.

I am interested in the long odds on Al Horford at +5000, particularly if Kristaps Porzingis at +2200 is unable to play extended minutes due to a calf strain. Horford showed his skills in the 2022 NBA Finals by hitting 15 threes and has been a standout performer this postseason. The Mavericks may struggle against big men like Horford who can shoot from long range.

In this market, spreading a small amount of money on several underdogs might be a wise strategy. However, if you’re only making one bet, the best choice is Doncic at +110 odds, which will earn you $11 in profit for every $10 bet.

Forecast: Luka Doncic is favored to win at +110 odds according to BetMGM, earning a rating of four stars.

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Predictions for Game 1 and the entire series of the NBA Finals.

Game 1 predictions

• Player props for the Mavericks vs. Celtics game.
• Mavericks vs. Celtics parlay
• Player props and odds for Luka Doncic
• The odds and player props for Jayson Tatum

Series predictions

• NBA Finals expert picks
• NBA Finals consensus picks
• Predictions for NBA Finals MVP odds

Props for the Mavericks-Celtics series were created at 3 p.m. ET on Thursday.

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