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Boston Celtics forward Jayson Tatum reacts after a basket against the Indiana Pacers during the second quarter of Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals in the 2024 NBA playoffs at Gainbridge Fieldhouse as we look at our Jayson Tatum player props.
Boston Celtics forward Jayson Tatum reacts after a basket against the Indiana Pacers during the second quarter of Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals in the 2024 NBA playoffs at Gainbridge Fieldhouse. Trevor Ruszkowski/USA TODAY Sports.

In this analysis, we delve into the reasons why Jayson Tatum should take pleasure in his role as a facilitator in Game 2 of the NBA Finals on Sunday. Additionally, we provide our top player prop recommendations for Tatum based on the latest NBA odds.

Jayson Tatum displayed his versatility in a strong 107-89 win against the Dallas Mavericks in Game 1 of the NBA Finals. Despite scoring only 16 points, grabbing 11 rebounds, and dishing out five assists in 42 minutes, Tatum made a significant impact. His contribution played a key role in improving the Boston Celtics’ chances of winning the NBA championship.

As the Celtics prepare for Game 2, they are once again confronted with a familiar obstacle: losing the second game in two of their last three playoff series. This puts extra pressure on Tatum to step up his game on Sunday in order to prevent a repeat of history and improve his chances of winning the NBA Finals MVP award.

Here are our top Jayson Tatum player props predictions for Sunday’s NBA Finals Game 2, to complement our Mavericks vs. Celtics player props.

Player props for Game 2 include Jayson Tatum.

Get the latest NBA odds from our top betting sites and rate your confidence level on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

  • Jayson Tatum is expected to have over 5.5 assists with odds of +100 on FanDuel, earning a four-star rating.
  • Pick: Jayson Tatum to have at least 5 assists and Celtics to win (odds -115 on DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • Jayson Tatum is predicted to score under 26.5 points, with odds of -115 on DraftKings. This bet is rated three stars.

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Jayson Tatum is predicted to have more than 5.5 assists with a four-star rating.

The market may be overreacting to the series opener, with the Over on 5.5 assists going from -111 to +100. This change in price significantly impacts the expected win rate for bettors like us.

In Game 1, Tatum recorded five assists, but he had the highest number of potential assists at 14 during the dominant win. Throughout the 2024 postseason, Tatum is averaging 5.9 assists on 10.1 potential assists.

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I predict 5.9 assists and believe a reasonable bet on the Over would be at -111 odds. Given the accuracy of these lines in the NBA Finals, I am prepared to bet on the Over at +100 odds or higher.

Greatest chances: +100 at FanDuel

Jayson Tatum with over 5 assists and Celtics to win Moneyline with a 4-star rating.

This particular same-game parlay offers an enjoyable opportunity to bet on Tatum surpassing his statistics while Boston continues to dominate Dallas. I believe a fair price for this SGP is -125, so be cautious and avoid paying more than -115.

In nine out of his last 10 games, Tatum has recorded five or more assists. This accounts for 60% of Boston’s wins in the 2023-24 season, with Tatum achieving this milestone in 73% of the team’s last 30 victories.

I expect Game 2 to be a closer matchup, but I am confident in placing my bet on the team that is arguably the best in the NBA since Kevin Durant’s Golden State Warriors, to take a 2-0 lead on Sunday.

DraftKings offers the best odds at -115.

Jayson Tatum is expected to score less than 26.5 points according to DraftKings, with a rating of three stars.

If we are supporting Tatum more as a facilitator, it would be wise to consider fading his scoring prop. This decision is further justified by the fact that the Under has a fair price of -123 with a projected score of 26 points.

Pinnacle, known for its superior trading team compared to other top sportsbooks, has adjusted the line on this Under from -112 to -124 since it opened.

Tatum has scored 26 points or fewer in 73% of his last 15 games and 63% of his last 30 games. This prediction is considered three-star and should only be bet on if the odds are -115 or higher.

The most favorable odds are -115 from DraftKings.

At 2:15 p.m. ET on Friday, player prop picks for Jayson Tatum were made.

Information and odds for Mavericks vs. Celtics Game 2.

  • When: Sunday, June 9
  • Tipoff: 8 p.m. ET
  • Where: TD Garden, Boston
  • How to watch: ESPN
  • Top choice: Bet on the Celtics to cover the spread of -7.5 points according to BetMGM.

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