Prediction for Alabama vs. UConn Player Props: Can Clingan take control in the Final Four?
Donovan Clingan and the UConn Huskies will be taking on Mark Sears and the Alabama Crimson Tide in the Final Four of the 2024 NCAA Tournament on Saturday. Here are our top player props for the Alabama vs. UConn matchup based on the latest Final Four odds.
The top-seeded UConn Huskies are on a roll, securing their second consecutive Final Four appearance after winning the 2023 NCAA Tournament. They are set to face the No. 4 seeded Alabama Crimson Tide in Saturday’s semifinal showdown, with UConn being the commanding 11.5-point favorites. The game will tip off at 8:49 p.m. ET on TBS, live from State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.
UConn has consistently been the top contender in the tournament, favored by March Madness odds due to the impressive play of center Donovan Clingan. With high expectations as a favorite for the March Madness MVP award, Clingan’s exceptional skills are anticipated to make a big impact in Saturday’s Final Four game, demonstrating his versatility on offense and defense.
Here are our top player props for the Alabama vs. UConn matchup, in addition to our expert picks for the men’s Final Four. We have assessed the odds from our top March Madness betting sites and rated our confidence in each pick on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.
Player props for the Alabama vs. UConn game
Donovan Clingan is projected to score over 25.5 points and rebounds. ⭐⭐⭐⭐
DraftKings offers the best odds at -105.
In my previous analysis of the game, I highlighted Clingan’s potential impact on defense as a key factor in determining the outcome of Saturday’s match. However, the UConn center has also proven to be a strong offensive contributor.
During the Elite Eight game against Illinois, the 7-foot-2 sophomore scored 22 points in only 22 minutes and grabbed 10 rebounds. In his last five games, he has been averaging 17 points and 11.2 rebounds, despite his team winning all five games by a large margin.
There is no doubt in my mind that Clingan can replicate his performance against Alabama, a team with a poor defensive record. With DraftKings offering a great value on this prop bet, I am confident in placing my bet.
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Mark Sears will score fewer than 23.5 points and assists, earning a four-star rating.
FanDuel offers the best odds at -108.
I predict that Alabama will score significantly less than their projected total of 74.5 in this game. Therefore, I am doubtful that the Crimson Tide’s top scorer will have a successful evening on Saturday.
Recently, Sears has been performing exceptionally well, scoring an average of 24.3 points and providing 3.8 assists in the tournament. However, in the Elite Eight game, he had to rely on seven 3-pointers to achieve his 23-point performance. It is doubtful that he will be able to replicate this success against UConn’s strong defense, which is ranked fourth in adjusted efficiency and has multiple skilled defenders aside from Clingan.
I am also focusing on Sears’ assist total because I anticipate his teammates will struggle to create scoring opportunities. In his last two games, the senior guard has only recorded four assists, and I believe this trend will continue against one of the top defensive teams in the country.
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Grant Nelson is predicted to score less than 10.5 points, with a rating of four stars.
FanDuel offers the best odds at -110.
After limiting Nelson to just eight points in the Elite Eight, following his 24-point performance in the Sweet 16, we are once again preparing to face him in the upcoming Final Four on Saturday.
Nelson solidified his place in tournament history with an impressive showing against UNC, sinking two three-pointers and making 10 free throws in what he described as the best game of his career. This standout performance was a stark contrast to his previous games in March Madness, where he had only scored more than eight points once in four rounds and attempted fewer than five shots in three of those games.
I don’t anticipate him being a main focus against Clingan and his team, and the top sports betting sites seem to agree, setting his point total at 9.5 consistently. The only outlier is FanDuel, offering a total of 10.5 that we should take advantage of.
Information for the Alabama vs. UConn game: Alabama is seeded 4th and UConn is seeded 1st.
- When: Saturday, April 6
- Tip-off: 8:49 p.m. ET
- The location is State Farm Stadium in Glendale, Arizona.
- How to watch: TBS
- Top choice: UConn favored by 11.5 points with -105 odds from Caesars.
Alabama vs. UConn odds
Player props for the Alabama-UConn game were released on Friday at 4:45 p.m. ET.
These are our top March Madness betting websites:
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- Use the BetRivers promo code SBRBONUS and check out our BetRivers review.
- Check out our FanDuel Review and use our exclusive FanDuel Promo Code
- Check out our DraftKings Review and use our exclusive promo code
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- Top Live Betting Sites | Top Promotions (Exclusive to U.S. residents)
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