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Nate Oates gives instruction to his team against the Florida Gators as we make our Alabama vs. Charleston March Madness first-round prediction.
Nate Oates, the head of the Alabama Crimson Tide, gives instruction to his team against the Florida Gators during the quarterfinals of the SEC Basketball Tournamen. Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images/AFP

The high-scoring Charleston Cougars will face off against the Alabama Crimson Tide in an intriguing opening-round NCAA Tournament matchup. Our prediction for the Alabama vs. Charleston game is based on the top March Madness odds.

The No. 4 Alabama Crimson Tide have the top-scoring offense in the country, putting up an impressive 90.8 points per game. However, their quick tempo leads to defensive struggles, as they rank 348th in points allowed per game, giving up an average of 81.1 points per contest.

Can the Charleston Cougars use their high-scoring offense to pull off an upset win? They average 80.0 points per game and rely heavily on their offensive skills to secure victories.

In our March Madness forecast, we are sharing our top Alabama vs. Charleston prediction and college basketball picks, rated on a 1-to-5-star scale based on odds from the best March Madness betting sites.

Charleston vs. Alabama odds

Prediction for the West Region matchup between Charleston (No. 13) and Alabama (No. 4):

Reyne Smith excels with over 3.5 made 3-pointers ⭐⭐⭐⭐

FanDuel offers the best odds at +130.

Expect Reyne Smith, the top scorer of the underdog team, to have a standout performance shooting from long range in what is anticipated to be a high-scoring game. Smith has had some impressive games this season, such as going 10-of-15 from beyond the arc against the Campbell Camels.

Throughout this season, the majority of Smith’s output has originated from beyond the 3-point arc. While he has experienced some subpar performances, he has also taken at least 10 shots from beyond the arc in 14 games.

This season, the Crimson Tide are ranked 189th in allowing 3-pointers per game. As the game progresses and both teams begin to score in the 80s or 90s, Smith should keep taking shots from beyond the arc in an effort to keep his team competitive. Even if he shoots below his season average of 39.4%, he will likely have plenty of opportunities to score against a team that doesn’t focus on defense.

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The best odds for Charleston vs. Alabama

FanDuel (+130)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Over 3.5 Over 3.5 Over 3.5 N/AOver 3.5 
+110+130+110 N/A+115

The price of this prop is excellent no matter where you place your bet. A $10 wager would result in a profit of more than $10. Currently, FanDuel is offering the best price, indicating that Smith has a 43.48% chance of hitting four three-pointers in this game.

That is much lower than DraftKings’ implied probability of 46.73%. We believe there is a 50% chance of him hitting this prop, making the value offered worth seizing immediately. A successful $10 bet at FanDueul (+130) would result in a $23 payout.

Analysis of the spread and over/under for the Charleston vs. Alabama game.

The spread for this game is fluctuating widely. The Crimson Tide initially opened as 11.5-point favorites, but despite receiving 71% of wagers, the spread has decreased on our top sports betting apps. Currently, the Crimson Tide are favored by 9 or 9.5 points at our best sports betting sites. The spread may continue to decrease as the Cougars gain more support as a potential upset pick.

The initial total for this game was 172.5, making it the highest total in March Madness so far. Despite this, bettors are still favoring the Over. The total has now risen to 173.5 at all major sportsbooks, and given the shooting abilities of both teams, it is likely to keep increasing.

Information about the Charleston vs. Alabama game

  • Date: Friday, March 22
  • The game will start at 7:35 p.m. Eastern Time.
  • Location: Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena in Spokane, Washington.
  • How to watch: truTV

Prediction for the Alabama vs. Charleston game was made on Tuesday at 9:50 a.m. Eastern Time.

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