Grand Canyon vs. Alabama Prediction, Best Bet & Odds for Round 2

Mark Sears of the Alabama Crimson Tide reacts against the Charleston Cougars during the first half in the first round of the NCAA Men's Basketball Tournament as we look at our Grand Canyon-Alabama prediction. — Mark Sears of the Alabama Crimson Tide reacts against the Charleston Cougars during the first half in the first round of the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. Photo by Steph Chambers/Getty Images/AFP.

Grand Canyon is vying for its first-ever Sweet 16 spot as they prepare to take on Alabama this Sunday. Check out our top prediction and best bet for the game, based on the latest March Madness odds.

Following an exciting upset win over Saint Mary’s in the opening round, the No. 12 seed Grand Canyon Antelopes (30-4) are ready to extend their unexpected success as they take on the No. 4 seed Alabama Crimson Tide (22-11) in the Round of 32 of the NCAA Tournament. The game is set to begin at 7:10 p.m. ET at the Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena in Washington and will be aired on TBS.

The Antelopes’ moneyline odds offer value on the top live betting platforms, as their surprising success is expected to persist.

In our March Madness predictions, we present our top pick for the Grand Canyon vs. Alabama game in college basketball along with the odds from our recommended betting sites. Our confidence in this pick is rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Odds for the Grand Canyon vs. Alabama matchup

Prediction for the West Region matchup between Grand Canyon, ranked No. 12, and Alabama, ranked No. 4.

Grand Canyon ML ⭐⭐⭐

Top odds available at +220 on FanDuel.

Editor’s note: The moneyline has decreased at all of our top sports betting sites and is now mostly below +200 as of Sunday morning, with bet365 being the exception at +205.

Alabama has one of the most diverse range of potential outcomes among all teams in the country. Their fast-paced style of play, ranking seventh in tempo, allows for more possessions, while their 3-point shooting rate, ranking 19th in the nation, adds to their unpredictability.

Despite this, Grand Canyon was the most efficient team in the WAC when it came to adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency. The Antelopes managed to score over 80 points in three out of four games before facing Saint Mary’s, ultimately achieving a respectable 1.06 points per possession. This is why we believe that Grand Canyon still has a good chance of succeeding even in a high-scoring game.

Due to their tenacity in drawing fouls, Grand Canyon has a knack for disrupting games, shooting free throws at the third-highest rate in the nation. They earn the fourth-highest percentage of their points from the free throw line, while Alabama’s defense struggles with allowing free throw attempts (39.5%). This puts Alabama’s top players at risk of foul trouble, a worrisome prospect for Crimson Tide supporters given their lack of depth on the bench, ranking outside the top 130 in bench minutes.

FanDuel stands out as the top sports betting app for offering moneyline odds of better than +210 to support the underdogs, while BetRivers falls short with odds at +200. This discrepancy results in a significant variation in payouts, with a $10 winning bet at FanDuel yielding $32 compared to $30 at BetRivers.

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Analysis of the spread and Over/Under for the Grand Canyon vs. Alabama matchup.

The majority of top sports betting sites have Alabama listed as 6-point favorites, with FanDuel and BetRivers slightly higher at -6.5. bet365 initially opened with Alabama at -5.5, but the odds quickly moved to -6. Early bets are leaning towards Alabama at 2/1 odds, despite the team only covering one of their last five games and two of their previous eight.

All of our top sportsbooks have a consensus total of 168.5, except for BetRivers which has a total of 169. There has been more movement in the total compared to the point spread. FanDuel initially opened with the highest total of 170.5, but it has since dropped to 168.5. On the other hand, BetRivers has seen some movement towards the Over, increasing from its opening total of 168.5.

The Over is expected to be the favored choice for bettors, given that it has been successful in 11 out of Alabama’s last 12 games.

Information about the Grand Canyon versus Alabama game

When: Sunday, March 24
The game will start at 7:10 p.m. Eastern Time.
Location: Spokane Veterans Memorial Arena in Spokane, Washington.
How to watch: TBS

Prediction for the Grand Canyon vs. Alabama game was made on March 23, 2024 at 9:02 a.m. Eastern Time.

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Written By:
Allen Byron

Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he’s especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike’s a big advocate of “fading the public” and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that “there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas.” When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He’s tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”