Top Stars Predictions and Picks for Chiefs vs. 49ers Super Bowl Player Props and Odds
In the 2024 Super Bowl, the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs will showcase a wealth of talent with a total of eight first-team All-Pros between them. We present our player props for the Chiefs vs. 49ers Super Bowl matchup, featuring the top NFL odds available.
Should the Kansas City Chiefs emerge victorious in the Super Bowl on Sunday, they will join an elite group of only six teams in NFL history to win three titles in five years, the most recent being the New England Patriots from 2014 to 2018. However, in order to achieve this feat, they must first defeat the San Francisco 49ers in the 2024 Super Bowl.
The Chiefs are aiming to achieve a rare feat by becoming the first repeat champions since the 2003-04 Patriots, and head coach Andy Reid is vying to join the elite group of coaches with three or more Super Bowl wins. These factors lead us to favor the Chiefs in our latest prediction for the Chiefs vs. 49ers matchup.
The San Francisco 49ers secured their place in Super Bowl LVIII by overcoming a 24-7 halftime deficit against the Detroit Lions, marking the third-largest comeback win in Conference Championship history. Head coach Kyle Shanahan of the 49ers boasts the highest postseason win percentage among the head coaches in the four major sports who have never won a championship.
Here are our top player prop bets for the Chiefs vs. 49ers in the 2024 Super Bowl, along with our Super Bowl predictions. We have rated the confidence level of each pick on a scale of 1 to 5 stars, with odds provided by our recommended NFL betting sites.
Player prop bets for the Chiefs vs. 49ers Super Bowl matchup.
- There are +135 odds on DraftKings and bet365 for Christian McCaffrey to rush for over 100 yards. ⭐⭐⭐
- Jauan Jennings to have more than 13.5 receiving yards at -105 odds with Caesars, rated four stars.
- Patrick Mahomes is favored to have more passing touchdowns than Brock Purdy, with Mahomes at -0.5 and Purdy at +145 according to FanDuel. This is a five-star matchup.
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Predictions for player props in the Chiefs vs. 49ers game.
According to DraftKings and bet365, there are +135 odds that Christian McCaffrey will rush for over 100 yards. He is predicted to achieve this milestone with a three-star rating.
Christian McCaffrey has been consistently performing well in the playoffs, averaging 5.1 yards per carry and totaling at least 90 rushing yards in both games. Although his projected total aligns with his average at 90.5 yards, we are choosing to bet on his higher potential with his alternate rushing yards total. McCaffrey has surpassed 100 yards rushing in four of his last six regular season games.
San Francisco’s rushing offense is ranked third in yards per game, fourth in yards per rush, sixth in yards before contact per rush, and fifth in yards after contact per rush, including the playoffs. On the other hand, Kansas City’s defense is ranked 17th in rushing yards per game, 25th in yards per rush, 24th in yards before contact per rush, and 26th in yards after contact per rush.
Opta Analyst US noted that McCaffery has an elite skill for breaking tackles, despite having a lower yards before contact average in the playoffs compared to other running backs. DraftKings and bet365 are offering favorable +135 odds, while Caesars has a lower +104. FanDuel’s oddsmakers are leaning towards a player rushing for 100+ yards, with a -106 price for “yes” and -114 for “no.”
Check out our Christian McCaffrey NFL player props and browse our Super Bowl rushing props for additional information on the Offensive Player of the Year.
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Jauan Jennings to have more than 13.5 receiving yards at odds of -105 with Caesars, rated 4 stars.
Jennings has proven to be a reliable target for quarterback Brock Purdy on crucial third downs, with 45% of his receiving yards this season coming in those situations. His productivity increased notably after fellow receiver Deebo Samuel was sidelined, as seen in his impressive 61-yard performance in the Divisional Round against the Green Bay Packers, marking the team’s most important game of the season up to that point.
Jennings has consistently performed well in indoor stadiums, with over 25 receiving yards in five out of six career games. This should bode well for his comfort in Allegiant Stadium.
This play has a four-star rating, with Jennings only needing one reception to potentially win the wager. QB Brock Purdy excelled in several key passing categories, including completions of 25-plus yards, completion percentage on throws of 20 or more air yards, and yards per attempt on various types of throws.
FanDuel has a slightly more optimistic view of Jennings’ potential with an over/under of 14.5 receiving yards, while BetMGM and DraftKings are leaning towards the Over of 13.5 with odds of -120.
Check out our Super Bowl receiving prop bets for additional options.
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Patrick Mahomes is favored by 0.5 passing touchdowns over Brock Purdy, with odds of +145 on FanDuel.
In this bet, we are placing our money on Mahomes to throw more passing touchdowns than Purdy. We were considering placing a bet on Mahomes throwing three or more touchdowns with bet365’s “Player Passing Touchdowns Milestones” feature, which has odds of +260. However, even if Mahomes only throws for two touchdowns, we still believe that will be enough to surpass Purdy’s performance.
Mahomes had an impressive performance in Super Bowl LIV, throwing for 286 yards and two touchdowns against the tough 49ers defense. We anticipate another strong showing from him in this upcoming matchup.
In 2019, the San Francisco 49ers entered the Super Bowl with defensive stats of 278.6 yards per game, 4.7 yards per play, a 32% third down conversion rate, 57 sacks, and a 44 total QBR. This year, the 49ers are allowing 312.6 yards per game, 5.1 yards per play, a 42% third down conversion rate, 50 sacks, and a 52 total QBR.
We anticipate Mahomes will have more time in the pocket due to facing a less formidable pass rush compared to the 2019 season. In 2019, the 49ers ranked third in sack percentage and seventh in pressure percentage during the regular season, but those rankings have dropped to 18th and 21st, respectively, this year.
On the other hand, Purdy has only thrown two touchdowns in the postseason and will be up against the experienced defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo. Spagnuolo is the only coordinator in NFL history to win a Super Bowl with two teams and has a 3-1 record in four Super Bowl appearances. San Francisco may benefit from focusing more on the running game compared to Kansas City, making the odds for this bet appealing.
Increase the excitement around the Super Bowl 58 starting quarterbacks by checking out our Purdy vs. Mahomes NFL Player Props, Brock Purdy NFL player props, and Patrick Mahomes NFL Player Props.
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Player props for the Chiefs vs. 49ers game were set on Saturday at 6:39 a.m. ET.
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