Predictions for NFL Win Totals 2026: Chiefs Look to Maintain Streak of Six Seasons with 12+ Wins.

Can Patrick Mahomes lead the Kansas City Chiefs to their sixth straight season with 12 or more wins? This question holds extra weight this year with the Chiefs’ win total set at 11.5. As training camps kick off and preparations ramp up, the odds are in constant flux, leading us to analyze win total predictions for all NFL teams on our top sports betting platforms.

With NFL futures season here, we’re seeing odds for win totals shifting for various teams. If you want to bet on your favorite team’s win total or back an underrated team, it’s best to place your bets early. As we near Week 1 of the NFL season, the odds will continue to adjust and lock in.

Even though I am a die-hard Minnesota Vikings fan, my loyalty to the team will not cloud my judgment when it comes to analyzing bets. Let’s take a closer look at the win totals for two teams in the NFC North to see what I mean.

Let’s examine the win totals for all 32 NFL teams using our top sports betting websites.

Predictions and picks for total wins in the NFL

The Arizona Cardinals are predicted to win 4.5 games, with the over at +100 odds on BetMGM and the under at -105 odds on Caesars.

The Cardinals are facing low expectations for the 2026 season as they start without their star quarterback, Kyler Murray, who is still recovering from a torn ACL. The market has mixed opinions on the team’s potential win total, presenting a potential arbitrage betting opportunity. Additionally, the Cardinals are favored to have the worst record in the NFL this season, with odds of +250 at bet365.

The Atlanta Falcons are predicted to win 8.5 games, with the over being favored at -115 on FanDuel and the under at +115 on Caesars.

If the NFL were a flag football league, the Falcons would likely be strong contenders for winning the Super Bowl, especially with the addition of Bijan Robinson in the recent NFL Draft. The team is focusing on acquiring offensive talent with Kyle Pitts, Drake London, and Robinson, but there are questions about second-year quarterback Desmond Ridder. Despite some analysts predicting the Falcons to win the NFC South this season, their win total of 8.5 and the Under trading at +115 suggest caution in betting on them.

The Baltimore Ravens are projected to win between 9.5 and 10.5 games, with the over favored at -150 on DraftKings and the under favored at -120 on FanDuel.

Initially concerned, the Ravens managed to secure the re-signing of former NFL MVP Lamar Jackson, dramatically shifting the outcome in their favor. Losing Jackson in free agency would have significantly impacted the Ravens’ win total for the season. There is no definitive consensus on the ideal win total for the Ravens, with differing opinions on whether they will go over or under. DraftKings offers the best price for the Over at 9.5 (-150), while FanDuel provides the best price for the Under at 10.5 (-120).

The Buffalo Bills are predicted to win 10.5 games, with the over at -130 odds through Caesars and the under at +120 odds through DraftKings.

The Buffalo Bills’ win total may seem low given their recent success, but my projection of 10.5 wins aligns perfectly with it. I slightly lean towards the Under with the Bills, especially with the +120 odds at DraftKings. Overall, I believe the win total is accurately priced and in line with expectations. Betting on the Under 10.5 wins (+110) at FanDuel is not recommended, showing how close this number is.

The Carolina Panthers are predicted to win 7.5 games, with the over at -114 on FanDuel and the under at +110 on PointsBet.

The Carolina Panthers had a busy offseason, acquiring the first overall pick to select former Heisman-winning quarterback Bryce Young from Alabama and hiring Frank Reich as their new head coach. I predict that the Panthers will win approximately 7.8 games this season, making the Over 7.5 wins at -119 a tempting bet. However, I am hoping to find a more favorable line than the -114 offered by FanDuel and will continue to search for a better option as the offseason progresses.

The Chicago Bears are predicted to win 7.5 games this season. You can bet on the over at -112 odds with FanDuel or the under at +115 odds with Caesars.

Justin Fields has yet to lead the Bears to more than six wins in his first two seasons as quarterback, a feat last accomplished by Mitch Trubisky. Despite efforts to bolster the team with new weapons like DJ Moore, doubts remain about their ability to exceed a 7.5 win total. While there is optimism about Fields’ improved passing, I am inclined to bet on the Under at +115 with Caesars for the upcoming season.

BetRivers has the Cincinnati Bengals over 11.5 wins at +115 odds, while BetMGM has them under 11.5 wins at -125 odds.

The Bengals are quietly establishing themselves as a force to be reckoned with in the NFL. Despite being underrated, they have proven themselves in the playoffs, reaching the Super Bowl and AFC Championship in the past two seasons. With young talent like Joe Burrow, Ja’Marr Chase, and Tee Higgins, the team is showing steady improvement. I predict that the Bengals will have the best record in the NFL, with odds of +750 according to bet365, as they look to avoid more road playoff games in the future.

The Cleveland Browns are projected to win 9.5 games, with the over being +125 odds at Caesars and the under being -130 odds at BetMGM.

The Browns are facing formidable opponents in the AFC North, and it’s clear that there will be no easy games within the division this season. Deshaun Watson’s performance will be crucial to the Browns’ success, especially after falling short of expectations in his first season as their starting quarterback. In my estimation, the Browns are likely to win approximately 8.9 games this season. With the Under 9.5 wins at -145, I am leaning towards the Under with -130 odds offered at BetMGM.

The Dallas Cowboys are predicted to win 9.5 games, with the over favored at -152 on BetRivers and the under at +145 on Caesars.

The Cowboys have varying win totals available for betting, with some sites offering 10.5 wins and others at 9.5 wins. If you are considering betting the Under, you might initially think to go for the Under 10.5 wins. However, based on my projection of the Cowboys winning 9.6 games, the Under 9.5 wins actually has higher expected value due to the juice. The breakdown is as follows: With a projected win total of 9.6, the Under 9.5 at +145 at Caesars has an expected value of 16%, while the Under 10.5 wins at -150 via BetMGM only has an expected value of 5%.

The Denver Broncos are projected to win 8.5 games, with the over being favored at +106 on FanDuel and the under at -106 on BetRivers.

In Russell Wilson’s first year with the Broncos, it was a complete disaster. However, with Sean Payton now at the helm in Year 2, expectations are soaring. Are you hopping on the Broncos bandwagon for the second year in a row, or are you betting against them with Wilson leading the way? I’m leaning towards the Under, especially with attractive odds of -106 at BetRivers.

The Detroit Lions are projected to win 9.5 games, with the over favored at -122 on FanDuel and the under at +105 on PointsBet.

Surprisingly, the Detroit Lions are currently the biggest concern for multiple sportsbooks when it comes to Super Bowl futures. The question now is how they will handle the transition from being underdogs to favorites. With the pressure that comes with being at the top, the Lions are now considered favorites with +145 odds to win the NFC North. As for their overall win total, I am undecided as the market pricing seems fair. It’s a toss-up for now.

The Green Bay Packers are predicted to win 7.5 games, with the Over being favored at -103 by BetRivers and the Under at +100 by FanDuel.

As a Minnesota Vikings fan, I find it interesting to consider betting on the Green Bay Packers to exceed their win total. I believe there is a positive storyline that is being overlooked, as the Packers may be undervalued following the transition from Aaron Rodgers to Jordan Love. The shift in quarterbacks should not automatically lead to betting the Under; it has already been taken into account and I believe it is being exaggerated. Based on my calculations, I predict the Packers will win approximately 8.2 games this season, making the Over 7.5 wins at -150 a favorable bet.

The Houston Texans’ win total is set at 6.5, with odds of +120 for the Over bet on Caesars and -130 for the Under bet on DraftKings.

Despite being one of my lowest power-rated teams, the Houston Texans may still be a good bet to surpass their season win total of 6.5 games. With a new coach in Demeco Ryans and a talented quarterback in C.J. Stroud, there is potential for improvement. Despite their poor rating, the +120 price point for the Over bet offers value. I project the Texans to win 6.7 games this season, making the Over 6.5 wins a good bet at -109 odds.

The Indianapolis Colts are predicted to win 6.5 games, with the over favored at -125 by Caesars and the under favored at +115 by PointsBet.

I find predicting the Colts’ win total for the 2026 season particularly difficult due to the uncertainty surrounding rookie quarterback Anthony Richardson. While my initial inclination is to lean towards the Over on the 6.5 win total at -125, I believe this is a bet to steer clear of in the current market. The lack of clarity on the team, mainly stemming from Richardson’s unknown impact, makes it a risky choice.

The Jacksonville Jaguars are predicted to win 9.5 games, with the over being favored at -150 by BetMGM and the under at +130 by PointsBet.

In their first year together, Doug Pederson and Trevor Lawrence led the Jaguars to victory in the AFC South and a playoff win against the Los Angeles Chargers. As they head into the 2026 season, expectations have changed for Jacksonville, with a lower win total. Despite some thinking the AFC South will be an easy win for the Jaguars, I believe the odds favor the Under 9.5 wins bet at +130.

The Kansas City Chiefs are projected to win 11.5 games, with the Over favored at -125 on BetRivers and the Under at +125 on Caesars.

Since Patrick Mahomes became the starting quarterback in Kansas City, the reigning Super Bowl champions have exceeded 11.5 wins in each of his first five seasons. While it may be tempting to bet the Over on the Chiefs, I believe there is value in betting the Under this season. My projections suggest that the Chiefs are likely to win 10.8 games, making the Under 11.5 wins a bet worth considering at -145.

The Las Vegas Raiders are projected to win 7.5 games, with the Over bet at +170 odds at Caesars and the Under bet at -180 odds at DraftKings.

The uncertainty surrounding Jimmy Garoppolo’s physical and potential role as the Raiders’ starting quarterback has created confusion in the betting markets for the team’s win total. With Garoppolo in the lineup, my projection for the Raiders is 7.6 wins. This makes the Over 7.5 wins bet at -102 very appealing, as it offers a favorable expected value at a price of +170. However, it’s important to be cautious as Garoppolo’s role is not guaranteed. While some 6.5 win totals are available, I believe focusing on the Over/Under on the 7.5 total is more advantageous due to the odds.

The Los Angeles Chargers are predicted to win 9.5 games, with the Over favored at -120 by BetMGM and the Under at +110 by Caesars.

As the season has not yet started, now is the ideal moment to join the Chargers’ fan base and believe that this could be their year. With a rejuvenated Justin Herbert and the exciting addition of Quentin Johnston in the draft, hopes are running high. Nonetheless, I am not swayed by the excitement of the offseason. Based on my analysis, I see more potential value in betting the Under rather than the Over for the Chargers in the upcoming season.

The Los Angeles Rams are predicted to win 6.5 games, with odds of +105 for the Over bet at Caesars and -110 for the Under bet at PointsBet.

One year ago, the Rams overcame setbacks from key players like Matthew Stafford and Cooper Kupp being injured to win five games despite facing tough competition. While they may not be seen as top contenders for the Super Bowl, I think they have a good chance to exceed 6.5 wins this season, especially with a less challenging schedule. I predict the Rams will win 7.4 games based on my analysis, leading us to set the Over 6.5 wins at -162.

The Miami Dolphins are predicted to win 9.5 games, with better odds for the over at +105 through BetRivers and the under at -110 through FanDuel.

The Dolphins made a big move by acquiring Jalen Ramsey in the offseason, showing their dedication to winning a Super Bowl before Tua Tagovailoa’s rookie contract is up. Even though they are ranked higher in power ratings than their projected 9.5 wins, the Dolphins are still expected to win 9.5 games due to tough opponents in their division and schedule. In my opinion, I predict the Dolphins will win exactly 9 games this season, so I lean towards betting the Under on their win total.

The Minnesota Vikings are predicted to win 8.5 games, with the over favored at -121 on BetRivers and the under at +116 on FanDuel.

How can a team that won 13 games last season have a projected win total of just 8.5 this year? Let me clarify. The Vikings may have been lucky to achieve 13 wins last season, but considering their power rating, it appears that their true abilities are more in line with the 8.5 win total. In fact, with the juice for the Under at +116, I believe betting on the Under for the Vikings is the better option.

The New England Patriots are predicted to win 7.5 games this season, with the Over bet at +105 on DraftKings and the Under bet at -110 on PointsBet.

Bill O’Brien rejoining the New England Patriots as offensive coordinator is a welcome change, particularly after Mac Jones’ challenges last season under Matt Patricia’s play-calling. Despite a strong defense, the Patriots only managed 8 wins due to their weak offense. I predict the Patriots will win around 7.8 games this season, and with DraftKings offering +105 odds on the Over, I would recommend betting on the Patriots to exceed that total.

The New Orleans Saints are projected to win 9.5 games, with the over being offered at +120 by FanDuel and the under at -120 by PointsBet.

Derek Carr has taken over as the starting quarterback for the Saints, replacing Andy Dalton after the team signed Carr in the offseason. There are mixed opinions on whether Carr will make the team better, which is evident in the fluctuating betting market. The win total for the Saints is set at 8.5, showing uncertainty about their expected performance. Personally, I have set the Over 9.5 wins at +122 and the Under 9.5 wins at -122, indicating that I believe the total is accurately priced.

The New York Giants are projected to win 7.5 games, with the over at +100 on DraftKings and the under at -105 on PointsBet.

Brian Daboll’s first season as head coach of the Giants resulted in a playoff appearance, much to the delight of Daniel Jones, who received a lucrative contract thanks in part to Daboll’s influence. Like the Vikings, the Giants exceeded expectations based on their power rating last season, leading to a conservative win total projection of 7.5 for the upcoming season. With my own projection of 7.7 wins and the DraftKings price set at +100, I am leaning towards taking the Over on the Giants’ win total.

The New York Jets are projected to win 9.5 games, with the over being favored at -122 by FanDuel and the under at +115 by Caesars.

Aaron Rodgers has joined the New York Jets, sparking hopes of a Super Bowl run. The big question is whether his addition will lead to the team improving on last season’s 7 wins. My analysis suggests that the Jets will win 8.8 games, falling short of the 9.5 win total. The challenging schedule is a key factor in this projection.

The Philadelphia Eagles are predicted to win 11.5 games, with the Over at +110 odds on Caesars and the Under at -110 odds on DraftKings.

The Eagles surpassed their previous season’s win total of 10 by winning 14 games, tying with the Chiefs for the most wins in the NFL. They were given odds of +1600 to have the best record. Starting the season ranked third in my power ratings, they hold the highest ranking in the NFC. Despite this, my projection suggests they will only win 10.4 games, falling short of their projected 11.5 wins. As a result, the Under 11.5 wins can be priced at -178 based on this forecast.

The Pittsburgh Steelers are predicted to win 8.5 games, with the over favored at -135 on DraftKings and the under at +130 on PointsBet.

Kenny Pickett is entering his second year as the Pittsburgh Steelers’ starting quarterback, and the team has added Allen Robinson to bolster their offensive arsenal. Despite winning nine games in back-to-back seasons, the question remains: can they make it three in a row and surpass their win total? While my projections lean towards a positive outcome, the odds are tight with the Over priced at -105. However, the betting markets have set the Over at a higher price (-135), making it difficult to place a bet on the Steelers exceeding their win total.

The San Francisco 49ers are predicted to win 10.5 games, with the over being favored at -120 on DraftKings and the under at +130 on Caesars.

Kyle Shanahan has shown he can win games with any starting quarterback, whether it’s Brock Purdy, Trey Lance, or Sam Darnold. Despite facing numerous injuries last season, the 49ers still managed to secure an impressive 13 wins. Will they be able to surpass that total this season? It will be a close call, as my projection has the 49ers winning 10.3 games.

DraftKings has the Seattle Seahawks at 8.5 wins with the Over favored at -130, while PointsBet has the Under at +145.

Last season, the Seahawks were one of my top win total bets, easily exceeding expectations and bringing in multiple units. Will I repeat that success with an Over bet on the Seahawks’ win total this season? Not quite. My prediction suggests the Seahawks will win 8.4 games, indicating that there is more value in taking the Under, especially with a +145 odds available at PointsBet.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are predicted to win 6.5 games this season, with the over at +135 odds on PointsBet and the under at -130 odds on BetMGM.

With Tom Brady retiring, Baker Mayfield is now the starting quarterback for the Buccaneers in Tampa Bay. Many believe this is a step down at the quarterback position, reflected in the team’s projected win total of 6.5 for the season. Despite public sentiment being against Mayfield in the betting markets, there may be an opportunity to take advantage of the Over on the Buccaneers’ win total. Based on projections, the team is expected to win 7.2 games this season, with the Over 6.5 trading at +135 on PointsBet.

The Tennessee Titans are predicted to win 7.5 games, with the over bet at +115 on BetRivers and the under bet at -130 on BetMGM.

The Titans appear to be exploring options to potentially replace Ryan Tannehill without fully committing to the idea. They selected Malik Willis and Will Levis in back-to-back drafts, and with top quarterback prospects Drake Maye and Caleb Williams available this year, and plans for a new stadium in the works, it suggests a potential rebuilding phase. Despite projections favoring the team to win 7.8 games, I would advise caution in betting on this win total due to uncertainties surrounding the situation.

The Washington Commanders are predicted to win 6.5 games, with the over bet at +110 on BetMGM and the under bet at -118 on FanDuel.

I am confident in saying that convincing me the Commanders are not intentionally tanking this season will be a difficult task. With a talent like Caleb Williams, a standout quarterback prospect from the Washington D.C. area, it seems like the Commanders are focused on securing a top draft pick. I firmly believe they will have the worst record in the NFL this season, and you can even find favorable odds of +1100 for that prediction on bet365.

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Super Bowl FAQs

Who is the top pick to win the Super Bowl?

BetMGM has the Kansas City Chiefs as the top betting favorites for the 2026 Super Bowl, with odds reaching as high as +650.

Who emerged victorious in the Super Bowl last year?

The Kansas City Chiefs emerged victorious in Super Bowl 57, triumphing over the Philadelphia Eagles with a score of 38-35.

What is the date of the 2026 Super Bowl?

The date for Super Bowl 58 is set for February 11, 2026.

In what location is the 2026 Super Bowl scheduled to take place?

Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada will host the 2026 Super Bowl.

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CBS will broadcast Super Bowl 58 across the nation.

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