Predictions for the NFL team with the worst record in 2026, including odds and likelihood of finishing with the fewest wins.

Our top NFL betting sites have been offering odds on which team will have the best and worst record in the league in 2026 all summer long. Below are our top picks and predictions on which team we believe will finish with the worst regular-season record, based on the best NFL odds available.

In recent years, the team with the worst record in the league has proven to be a profitable market. The Cleveland Browns held this title for three years before the Cincinnati Bengals finished with only two wins in 2019. The Jacksonville Jaguars then claimed the last place spot for two consecutive seasons, followed by the Chicago Bears in 2026.

The last-place team in 2026 has a multitude of intriguing options to consider.

Four of our NFL betting experts provide their picks and predictions for which team will have the worst regular-season record in 2026 (odds sourced from our top sports betting apps).

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Odds for the NFL’s worst record in 2026

NFL worst record picks

Selections and betting lines as of July 6th.

Predictions for the worst record in the NFL for 2026

The Washington Commanders are +1300 according to FanDuel’s odds.

Analyzing statistics may suggest that the Arizona Cardinals are likely to have the worst record in the NFL, with a power rating of +340. However, finishing with the worst record is often a strategic decision by the organization. It seems unlikely that Cardinals rookie head coach Jonathan Gannon would intentionally tank in his first season. Therefore, a better bet might be on the Commanders (+1300), who have not pursued a starting quarterback in free agency or the draft, likely due to their interest in Caleb Williams.

Williams is not only seen as a top quarterback prospect with the best odds to be selected first overall in the NFL draft, but he also hails from the Washington D.C. area. This sets the stage for the Commanders to potentially implement a full-scale tanking strategy. With new ownership on the horizon and the possibility of head coach Ron Rivera being let go mid-season, there could be an opportunity for an assistant coach to take over and prioritize tanking for a better draft position.

Additionally, the Commanders can mask their tanking strategy by giving fifth-round pick Sam Howell the opportunity to develop as a quarterback. In a league where a team’s success hinges on the quarterback’s performance, selecting Williams would provide an instant upgrade for the Commanders’ new ownership group. All they have to do is purposely lose games.

Perry Odelia from SBR and Twitter/X

Editor’s note: FanDuel has Washington as the favorite to finish with the worst record at +1300 as of August 16th.

The Houston Texans are listed at +900 odds on FanDuel and BetMGM.

The Arizona Cardinals are heavily favored in this market, which means we are finding good value on most of the other weaker teams, such as the Houston Texans. Houston has only won four or fewer games in each of the last three years and has consistently finished in the bottom three of the league.

The Texans this year have a wide range of potential outcomes, with the possibility of exceeding their projected win total of 6.5. However, it is important to recognize that there is also a very low floor for this team, as they will be led by a rookie head coach (DeMeco Ryans), a rookie offensive play caller (Bobby Slowik), and a rookie quarterback (C.J. Stroud).

The Houston team may come to regret trading their 2026 first round pick if it turns out to be the top pick, with a projected six wins. At odds of 9/1, I’m definitely hoping for that outcome.

Scott Justin, also known as SBR on Twitter with the handle @X.

Editor’s note: According to FanDuel, Houston has the best odds of finishing with the worst record at +1000 as of August 16th.

BetMGM has the Las Vegas Raiders at +1400 odds.

The upcoming season will host Super Bowl LVIII at Allegiant Stadium in Vegas, which is likely the closest the Las Vegas Raiders will come to playing in the game.

Concerns about the protective language in Jimmy Garoppolo’s contract were exaggerated, but the fact remains that the injury-prone quarterback has only played one full 16-game season in his six years with the San Francisco 49ers. Each of the last three seasons has been marred by injuries to Garoppolo. The Raiders’ backup plan consists of 37-year-old Brian Hoyer and fourth-round draft pick Aidan O’Connell. If Garoppolo gets injured again, the situation could quickly turn dire.

Adding to the challenge, the Las Vegas Raiders compete in the NFL’s toughest division. There are concerns that Josh McDaniels may not be suited to succeed as a head coach, given his career record of 17-28 in less than three seasons. His decisions have led to a depletion of talent on the team and even caused friction with star player Davante Adams after cutting longtime quarterback Derek Carr. The upcoming season in Sin City may prove to be a difficult one.

Brooks Octavia, also known as SBR on Twitter.

The Arizona Cardinals are listed as underdogs with odds of +340 on FanDuel.

I made a strong effort to resist grabbing the large piece of chalk, but it’s difficult to imagine the Cardinals not finishing last in the race.

The Cardinals face a daunting task ahead with their quarterback situation. Kyler Murray is recovering from a torn ACL he suffered in December 2026, and although he is making good progress, he is expected to miss games at the start of the season. As losses accumulate with a roster lacking in talent, the team will undoubtedly approach his return with caution.

Even though he struggles with accuracy, a fully healthy Murray could potentially lead the Cardinals to a few wins and prevent them from having the worst record in the NFL. However, it is likely that Murray will be sidelined for a significant period of time and will have limited mobility when he returns. Additionally, the team’s backup quarterback, 36-year-old Colt McCoy, is also dealing with an injury.

This could result in journeyman David Blough, Jeff Driskel, and rookie Clayton Tune being left in the quarterback room, playing alongside a supporting cast without DeAndre Hopkins, and operating behind an offensive line that gave up 46 sacks in 2026.

To increase the chances of the Cardinals finishing winless, you may want to look into the +400 odds for them being the last team to secure a victory on DraftKings.

-Kelly Irvin (SBR | Twitter/X)

Editor’s note: As of Aug. 16, FanDuel and bet365 have the best odds for Washington to finish with the worst record at +250.

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