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Player props, odds, and predictions for the Patriots vs. Broncos NFL game.

Sanchez Rhea

Updated as of December 24, 2026 at 12:12 PM EST. Read time: 3 minutes and 21 seconds. For more information, check out our Twitter and Google News links.

Bailey Zappe of the New England Patriots warms up ahead of our Week 16 NFL predictions for Patriots vs. Broncos
Bailey Zappe of the New England Patriots warms up before the game against the Kansas City Chiefs at Gillette Stadium on December 17, 2026 in Foxborough, Massachusetts. Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images/AFP

The AFC showdown between the Patriots and Broncos will wrap up Sunday’s action, and our NFL player props for Week 16 are based on the top NFL odds from the leading sportsbooks to enhance the thrill of the game.

The New England Patriots, typically a dominant force in the league, are now in uncharted territory with a 3-11 record, marking the first time in over 20 years that they have been among the bottom teams. This unexpected struggle has sparked questions about the team’s future direction and cast doubts on the longevity of head coach Bill Belichick’s tenure with the franchise in the next season.

Even after a tough defeat to the Lions, the Denver Broncos still have a slim chance of making it to the playoffs. With a 7-7 record, they are just on the edge of the postseason race. Their next game is crucial for their playoff hopes, and they must secure a win to keep their chances alive. This upcoming matchup is vital for their postseason aspirations.

Here are our top player prop bets for the Patriots vs. Broncos NFL matchup in Week 16, including our predictions for Russell Wilson, Patriots-Broncos SGP, and game outcome. Check out the odds from our recommended NFL betting sites and our confidence rating on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Player props for the Patriots vs. Broncos NFL game in Week 16.

Bailey Zappe’s longest completion is under 28.5 yards, with odds of +100 according to ESPN Bet. ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Zappe has started seven games for the Patriots this season, with only one completion of 29 yards or more. He currently averages 5.8 yards per pass attempt and 9.7 yards per completion. The Patriots as a team rank fifth lowest in the league for yards per pass attempt (6.1) and yards per completion (8.8).

Denver has struggled with giving up long passes this season, allowing a completion of 29 yards or more in all but two games. Despite this, the Broncos have been able to limit opposing quarterbacks to an average of just 6 yards per pass attempt at home. Additionally, they only allow an average of 9.3 yards per completion, preventing significant yards after the catch.

The over/under line for this prop bet at the top sportsbooks is set at 29.5, with odds ranging from -110 to -115 on most NFL betting sites. Lowering this threshold by one yard at even odds is a smart strategy to increase the potential value of this bet.

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Lil’Jordan Humphrey is expected to have over 10.5 receiving yards, with a rating of five stars, at -120 odds from BetMGM.

Despite not receiving many opportunities with the Broncos this season, Humphrey consistently steps up when needed. In his fourth year as a wide receiver, he has only been targeted 14 times and made 11 receptions so far. Surprisingly, in 7 out of his 9 appearances in the 2026 season, he has surpassed these numbers. What’s even more impressive is that in five of those instances, he maximized his impact by making the most of his only catch of the game.

This season, the Patriots defense is allowing an average of 223.4 passing yards per game. In all but one of their 14 games this year, at least three wide receivers have surpassed this mark against them. Wide receivers are averaging 11.9 yards per catch against New England in the 2026 season.

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According to ESPN Bet, there is a +110 odds for Zach Allen to have over 0.5 sacks, with a four-star rating.

Allen has collected 5 sacks this season, with at least half a sack in his last three games. He has a full sack in three games for the Broncos this year. In two games against New England while playing for the Arizona Cardinals, he has one career sack.

This week, he faces a Patriots offensive line that has allowed 14 sacks in their last five games. New England’s starting quarterback Bailey Zappe has been sacked 13 times in his seven appearances this year, with 11 of those coming in his last three games as a starter.

If you prefer a little extra security, you can consider taking the 0.25 sack cushion at -110 on DraftKings. FanDuel only offers a binary option with +102 for yes and -132 for no. Meanwhile, bet365 has set a line of -115 for a single Allen sack, offering equal odds on both sides of the prop bet.

Player props for the Patriots vs. Broncos game were set on Saturday at noon Eastern Time.

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Related pages

  • Top Sports Betting Sites with the Best Promotions (available in the U.S. only)
Written By:
Sanchez Rhea
Rod Villagomez has been a sports writer, broadcaster, and podcaster for over 15 years. He has a passion for football whether it’s the NFL, CFL, USFL, XFL, IFL, X League, or Fan Controlled. He’s also been a fan of NASCAR for almost 20 years and enjoyed watching his favorite driver, Jimmie Johnson win seven Cup Series Championships. As a betting analyst for Underscoreg Review, Rod brings his passion for the sports betting community to any assignment be it football, stock car racing, horse racing, or even, the Oscars. If you can bet on it, he is ready to break down the odds for you.