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Week 10 NFL Player Props and Odds for Russell Wilson: Predictions for Broncos vs. Bills

Allen Byron

Updated as of November 13, 2026 at 5:29 PM EST • Read time: 3 minutes and 59 seconds. Links to Twitter and Google News.

Russell Wilson of the Denver Broncos runs onto the field for warm-up before the game against the Dallas Cowboys, and we offer our top Russell Wilson player props based on the best NFL odds.
Russell Wilson of the Denver Broncos runs onto the field for warm-up before the game against the Dallas Cowboys. Photo by C. Morgan Engel/Getty Images via AFP.

The Denver Broncos and Russell Wilson aim for their third straight victory as they take on the Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football. Get ready with our Russell Wilson player prop predictions, using the top NFL odds available.

After defeating the Green Bay Packers and Kansas City Chiefs in consecutive games, the Denver Broncos (3-5) had a bye week to get ready for their next matchup. The team is currently on a seven-game losing streak in Monday Night Football games, which is the second-longest active streak in the NFL. If they lose their next game, they will tie the New York Giants for the longest streak at eight games.

According to ESPN’s Football Power Index, Buffalo’s playoff chances have dropped from 72.5% in the preseason to 56.9% going into Week 10. The Bills have failed to cover the spread in their last five games, the longest current streak in the NFL.

Here are our top Russell Wilson NFL player prop predictions for the Week 10 matchup between the Broncos and Bills, including our Monday Night Football player props and Josh Allen props. Our confidence in each pick is rated on a 1-to-5-star scale, with odds provided by our top NFL betting sites.

Week 10 NFL player prop predictions for Russell Wilson.

  • Bet on Russell Wilson to throw more than 1.5 touchdowns at +172 odds with Caesars, rated three stars.
  • BetMGM has set the over/under for Russell Wilson’s pass attempts at 29.5, with a -105 line. This pick is rated four stars.
  • Bet on Russell Wilson to throw less than 0.5 interceptions with odds of +100 on DraftKings. This bet is rated four stars.

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Russell Wilson player props

Russell Wilson is favored to have over 1.5 passing touchdowns with +172 odds from Caesars, earning a three-star rating.

The Bills’ defense has been plagued by injuries throughout the season, and the trend continues this week with Micah Hyde and Christian Benford being ruled out. With only three defensive players available to start in Week 10, according to Buffalo News sportswriter Ryan O’Halloran, this bet on Wilson’s touchdown total is worth considering at plus-money odds. Wilson has already equaled his touchdown total from last season in just eight games.

According to Hayden Winks of Underdog Fantasy, the Broncos have the highest passing rate inside the 5-yard line. With only one rushing touchdown in their first eight games, a feat that has only occurred 11 times since 2000, Denver has relied heavily on their passing game for scoring. Sixteen of their 17 touchdowns have been through the air, making them the team with the highest passing touchdown rate in the league. If you believe the Broncos will score multiple touchdowns, this betting opportunity is worth considering.

Out of our top sports betting apps, only Caesars offers odds better than +170 for this wager, with a steal of a price at +172 compared to FanDuel’s +154.

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Russell Wilson to attempt over 29.5 passes (-105 odds on BetMGM) with a four-star rating.

In recent games, opponents have found success by passing the ball against the Bills, with both Baker Mayfield and Joe Burrow attempting a high number of passes. Despite different game situations, the Bills have struggled against the pass. While Russell Wilson’s yards per attempt have decreased in recent games, a short passing strategy may be effective against the Bills’ zone defense, especially with key defensive backs missing from the lineup.

The over/under of 29.5 offered by BetMGM and DraftKings presents better value compared to the over/under of 31.5 at FanDuel.

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Russell Wilson to throw less than 0.5 interceptions at +100 odds on DraftKings, rated 4 stars.

Wilson has been interception-free in four of his last five games and in five out of eight overall. During this period, he has been more willing to scramble and run, with five of his highest rushing totals of the season occurring in the last six weeks. This trend of protecting the ball coincides with facing a Bills defense that has struggled with turnovers, ranking last in the league in drive-ending turnovers percentage (2.6%) and turnover differential (minus-six) over the past four games, according to Sharp Football Analysis. Despite an anticipated increase in pass attempts, we anticipate Wilson to continue his clean play against the Bills.

Out of our top sports betting sites, only BetMGM and DraftKings provide plus-money odds, while Caesars offers slightly shorter odds at -106.

Make sure to check out Lopez Julia’s Broncos vs. Bills parlay for extra excitement during Monday Night Football.

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Russell Wilson’s player prop picks were made on 11/13/2026 at 6:07 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Allen Byron
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he’s especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike’s a big advocate of “fading the public” and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that “there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas.” When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He’s tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”