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Brock Purdy of the San Francisco 49ers scrambles against the Seattle Seahawks in the NFC Wild Card playoff game at Levi's Stadium in Santa Clara, California. Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images via AFP.
Brock Purdy of the San Francisco 49ers scrambles against the Seattle Seahawks in the NFC Wild Card playoff game at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California. Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images via AFP.

The quarterback competition between Brock Purdy and Trey Lance for the San Francisco 49ers is the center of attention this offseason, with the outcome potentially shaping the 2026-24 NFL season. Let’s analyze the betting odds to see where things stand in this highly anticipated camp battle according to the latest NFL odds from top sports betting apps.

As we enter the slowest period of the sports calendar, it’s time to shift our focus back to football as NFL training camps are approaching. One of the most anticipated camp battles will be in San Francisco, where quarterbacks Brock Purdy, Trey Lance, and Sam Darnold will all compete for the starting position.

Purdy appears to be the frontrunner, with Darnold viewed as a dark horse. George Kittle, the tight end, stated in Sports Illustrated that the position is Purdy’s to lose. However, the main concern surrounding Purdy is his health, as he had surgery on his throwing elbow in March following a UCL injury during the NFC Championship Game.

Purdy’s uncertain health leaves the 49ers unsure of who will start the first regular-season game. The quarterback position is vital for the team, who are considered strong contenders for the Super Bowl and have an offense that can make any quarterback shine.

In order to determine the likely starting quarterback for Week 1, let’s analyze the various betting markets offered by top live betting sites.

MVP odds

QuaterbackDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsPointsBet
Brock Purdy+7500+4000+3000❄️+4500+5000
Trey Lance+3500+5000+2500❄️+4000+4000

It is intriguing that Lance has improved MVP odds at four out of our top five NFL betting sites, despite the expectation that Purdy will be the starting quarterback. This likely reflects Lance’s potential as a player, a sentiment even Kittle recognizes.

Lance, the third overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft, has started only four games and appeared in eight games during his first two seasons in the pros. There is still a lot of unknown surrounding Lance’s ability to make game-changing plays, especially because of his dual-threat skills.

Therefore, those who have faith in Lance’s potential should think about taking advantage of the +5000 odds at FanDuel for him to win the MVP Award. The 49ers have a history of winning games, with 23 victories in the past two seasons. Lance was considered a dark horse for MVP last year, with odds of +4000 in the summer and +2500 in the preseason.

However, you should not overlook Purdy’s MVP odds, especially at +7500 on DraftKings. The 49ers’ offense has a history of supporting quarterbacks, as Purdy demonstrated by throwing for 13 touchdowns and 1,374 yards in five starts to end the 2026 regular season.

Passing yards leader

QuarterbackDraftKings
Brock Purdy+7000
Trey Lance+18000

Because it is unclear who will be the starter, the top sports betting websites do not currently have season-long prop bets for Purdy or Lance. However, DraftKings does have them included in the NFL passing yards leader market.

Purdy has a better chance of leading the league in passing yards compared to Lance in the MVP race. Purdy has a 1.41% implied probability at this price, with Patrick Mahomes and Justin Herbert being the favorites.

During his 5-0 finish to the regular season, Purdy averaged 274.8 passing yards per game as a starter. In the playoffs, he threw for 546 yards in two games before getting injured in the NFC title game against the Philadelphia Eagles.

Lance has thrown for a total of 797 yards in his two-year career, ranking just above Will Levis of the Tennessee Titans in terms of price in the market.

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Player-specific props

After analyzing the primary markets, it is challenging to uncover additional insights on the quarterback competition from the top sportsbooks. To gain more clarity, we must explore specific betting options for each player instead of focusing solely on their comparison within a single market.

DraftKings provides team specials for every one of the 32 clubs, with Purdy being the only quarterback highlighted for the 49ers.

He has been given 150+ odds to throw for 350+ passing yards in at least three regular-season games in 2026, making it the most promising bet for Purdy to secure the starting job. Purdy’s highest passing yards in an NFL game was 332 yards in a wild-card victory against the Seattle Seahawks. Additionally, Purdy has +1400 odds to finish with over 5,000 passing yards in the regular season according to DraftKings.

When it comes to Lance, the best bet for his success is to place him in the Comeback Player of the Year race. DraftKings and FanDuel are the only places offering odds for this, with Damar Hamlin currently the frontrunner for the award.

Nevertheless, Lance is a compelling underdog choice in the market, with odds of +5000 at FanDuel and +3500 at DraftKings. These odds are comparable to his MVP prices, suggesting that he may only need to be considered for the MVP award to secure the Comeback Player of the Year title.

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Related pages

  • Top Sports Betting Sites with the Best Promotions (U.S. residents only)