Expert picks for Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final between the Panthers and Oilers, including predictions and odds.
The Edmonton Oilers are facing a do-or-die situation in Game 4 of the Stanley Cup Final against the Florida Panthers on Saturday. The home team is determined to keep their series alive, and we will analyze the top NHL odds to make the best prediction for the Panthers-Oilers showdown.
Despite being outshot and outplayed in two of the three contests, the Florida Panthers have shown remarkable opportunism in the Stanley Cup Final against the Edmonton Oilers. With just one win needed to secure their first Stanley Cup in franchise history, the Panthers will have the opportunity to lift the trophy on Saturday at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta. The game is set to start at 8 p.m. ET on ABC.
The Oilers are expected to win Game 4 and prolong the series, while the Panthers are heavily favored to win the series according to the Stanley Cup odds.
Don’t forget to check out the top props and NHL picks for the Panthers-Oilers Game 4.
Prediction for Game 4: Panthers facing off against the Oilers
Check the odds on our top NHL betting platforms and choose your confidence level using a scale of 1 to 5 stars.
Over 5.5 goals ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Despite the valuable lessons learned, heartbreaks endured, and challenges faced on the road to the 2024 Stanley Cup Final, the Edmonton Oilers continue to be the cause of their own downfall. Despite efforts to eliminate foolish errors, unforeseen mistakes, such as those in Game 3, continue to sabotage their hard-earned progress.
I can’t imagine how frustrating it must be for Connor McDavid, the one consistent player in Oil Country. Their tendency to allow more goals than Costco gives out free samples is why I am predicting the Over in Game 4.
The expensive errors were the deciding factor in Game 3.
Darnell Nurse. Do I really need to explain? Probably not, but I will. The Oilers’ defenseman is currently dealing with an injury, but that doesn’t excuse the numerous costly errors that have resulted in Florida scoring goals.
In the second period of Game 3, he made a costly turnover that was capitalized on by Matthew Tkachuk and Sam Bennett. Nurse was also on the ice for the first two goals scored by the Panthers in Game 1. With a playoff rating of minus-14, he has the worst rating among all skaters, trailing Warren Foegele by four points. Foegele’s performance is disappointing, as he is not living up to his McLovin nickname.
Additionally, Stuart Skinner has not been the main factor in the Oilers’ 0-3 deficit, but he has not been a standout performer either. Unlike his counterpart, the standout Sergei Bobrovsky, Skinner has not been able to steal a game for his team. In a recent playoff game, Skinner made a mistake while playing the puck behind the net, which has not been the first time this has happened in the playoffs.
Eetu Luostarinen stole the puck and set up a thankful Vladimir Tarasenko for two crucial goals, which ultimately crushed the opposing team and silenced the energetic crowd that had been cheering them on after they had tied the game earlier in the second period.
There are typically more goals scored during Edmonton home games.
At Rogers Place in the playoffs, there have been at least six goals scored in four of the last five games and eight out of 10 overall. This contrasts with their run of seven straight Unders on the road, resulting in an 80% Over rate at home.
The Oilers average 3.9 goals per game at Rogers Place and give up 3.10, while the Panthers score 3.33 goals per game on the road and allow 2.33. The only game in the Western Conference Final where the Under hit was Game 6, thanks to Skinner’s standout performance, a rare occurrence similar to blizzards in Florida.
Bobrovsky has an incredible save percentage of .953 against the Oilers, showing just how well he has been performing. While his numbers are impressive, it is unlikely that he will be able to maintain such a high save percentage consistently, so we may see a slight decline in the future.
We will soon see if the Oilers’ confidence disappeared after their Game 3 defeat. Nevertheless, I anticipate a high-scoring Game 4. If the Oilers find themselves trailing by a goal or two in the third period, they will likely need to play aggressively, which could lead to opportunities for the opposing team to score on the counterattack or for the Oilers to pull their goalie in a last-ditch effort to score.
Betway’s odds of +100 suggest a 50% chance of winning. A successful $10 bet would result in a $10 profit.
The most favorable odds can be found at +100 on Betway.
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Game 4 keys
| Rogers Place in the playoffs |
|---|
| Goals per game (7.23) |
| Games Over 6.5 goals (7) |
| Games Over 5.5 goals (8) |
| Games Under 6.5 goals (3) |
| Games Under 5.5 goals (2) |
The Oilers recorded 19 slot shots, 16 cycle chances, and 20 high-danger opportunities in Game 3. If they replicate this performance in Game 4, they should be able to score at least three goals. Despite being outplayed statistically, the Panthers were more effective in converting their opportunities, scoring on 17.3% of their shots.
Furthermore, the Oilers have failed to convert on any of their 10 power play opportunities in the Stanley Cup Final, but their offensive capabilities cannot be contained forever. Despite creating multiple high-quality scoring opportunities in Game 3 with the man advantage, they were once again thwarted by Bobrovsky.
Information and odds for Game 4 between the Panthers and Oilers.
- On Saturday, June 15th
- The game will start at 8 p.m. Eastern Time.
- Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta
- Instructions on how to watch: Tune in to ABC, ESPN+, or Sportsnet.
- Preferred choice: Oilers are favored to win with odds of -120 according to Betway.
Predictions for the Panthers-Oilers game were made on Friday at 1 p.m. ET.
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