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Predictions and Odds for Stars vs. Oilers: Expert Picks for Today’s NHL Western Conference Final

Gonzales Oona

Updated on May 29, 2024 at 5:38 PM EDT • Read time: 4 minutes and 12 seconds. Find more details on Twitter and Google News.

Connor McDavid of the Edmonton Oilers resets the offence against the Dallas Stars in the first period during Game 2 of the Western Conference Final. We're backing McDavid in our Stars vs. Oilers Predictions.
Connor McDavid of the Edmonton Oilers resets the offence against the Dallas Stars in the first period during Game 2 of the Western Conference Final. Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images via AFP.

Get ready for Game 4 of the Western Conference Final as the Dallas Stars take on the Edmonton Oilers in Edmonton on Wednesday. We’ve got you covered with our top NHL odds and predictions for the exciting matchup.

The Dallas Stars took a 2-1 series lead by defeating the Edmonton Oilers 5-3 on the road on Monday. The Stars have been impressive away from home in the playoffs, winning six of their seven road games and defeating four top home teams in a row. This success is important considering their difficulties with home-ice advantage.

Dallas was behind 2-0 in Game 3 after the first period and gave up three goals, their highest number of goals allowed on the road this postseason. Even though they pulled off a comeback win on Monday, Edmonton is expected to win Game 4 at Rogers Place on Wednesday at 8:30 p.m. ET (TNT).

The Oilers have a 4-3 record at home and are currently listed with the longest odds to win the Stanley Cup among the remaining teams. On the other hand, the Stars are now the favorites to win the Stanley Cup according to our top sports betting sites.

Below are our top predictions for the Stars vs. Oilers game, along with our NHL picks. The odds are from our recommended NHL betting sites, and our confidence level is rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Expert picks for Game 4 between the Stars and Oilers

  • There is a strong possibility of over 5.5 goals in the match, with odds of -130 on FanDuel.
  • Roope Hintz is expected to score at least 1 point, with odds of +100 on DraftKings. ⭐⭐⭐⭐
  • BetMGM is offering odds of -125 on the Oilers ML, with a three-star recommendation.
  • Bet on Connor McDavid to take over 3.5 shots with odds of +118 on FanDuel, rated 4 stars.

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Predictions for Wednesday’s game between the Stars and Oilers

Over 5.5 goals ⭐⭐⭐⭐

There are several reasons to support the Over for Wednesday’s Game 4. One key factor is that six out of seven Oilers’ home games have gone over the total, with the only exception being their 3-2 win over Vancouver in Game 4. Edmonton tends to play a more aggressive style of hockey at home, benefiting from the energy of the crowd and taking advantage of the last line change.

Furthermore, Stuart Skinner appears to consistently let in soft goals, as evidenced by Jason Robertson’s hat-trick winner in Game 3. FanDuel is the top choice among our recommended sports betting apps, with odds of -130 providing the best value. A $10 wager could result in a $7.69 profit, with an implied probability of 56.52%.

FanDuel offers the best odds at -130.

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Roope Hintz is expected to score over 0.5 points with a high rating of four stars.

If you’re looking for a prime example of how to make a strong comeback after missing a few games, take a look at the Game 3 tape of Roope Hintz. After sitting out Games 5 and 6 and the first two games against the Oilers due to an upper-body injury, the Stars’ forward returned to the lineup and immediately made an impact by assisting on two of Robertson’s three goals. His return revitalized the team’s offense and made them a much more dangerous threat on the ice.

Hintz has scored seven points in his last four games, with a standout performance of four points in Game 2 against the Colorado Avalanche. He was unable to score in Game 3 against the Avs due to an injury, playing only 6:35 in that contest. DraftKings’ odds of +100 suggest a 50% chance of winning. A $10 bet would yield a $10 profit if successful.

Top odds: +100 offered by DraftKings

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Oilers ML ⭐⭐⭐

The Oilers suffered back-to-back losses for the first time in the postseason, breaking their 4-0 streak after defeats prior to Game 3 on Monday. Typically, Edmonton bounces back with incredible energy after a loss, akin to a toddler after a long nap and lots of sugar. However, a cautionary note lowers the betting confidence from four stars to three.

The Stars have an impressive 6-1 record on the road in the playoffs, with a stellar 1.71 goals allowed per game. Despite their strong performance, I believe the Oilers, led by Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl, are too talented and determined to lose three straight games, especially on their home ice. Betting $10 on them to win at BetMGM will earn you a profit of $8, with -125 odds indicating a 55.56% chance of success.

Top odds: -125 at BetMGM.

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Connor McDavid is expected to have more than 3.5 shots on goal.

McDavid was unstoppable at the beginning of Game 3, displaying a level of speed and skill that rivaled Tom Cruise’s Mach 10 from “Top Gun.” Not only was he skating effortlessly, but he also had a newfound shoot-first mentality that was rarely seen in the playoffs. McDavid took four shots in the first 20 minutes and ended the game with a total of six shots.

Typically, he takes one less shot per game in the playoffs compared to the regular season. But, as seen in Game 3, I anticipate McDavid will be more aggressive on Wednesday, shooting whenever he can. He tends to shoot more when playing at home, with the Over hitting in four of the last five games at Rogers Place. The attractive odds of +118 at FanDuel offer a potential profit of $11.80 on a $10 bet, with an implied probability of 45.87%.

Top odds: +118 on FanDuel

Information and betting odds for the Game 4 matchup between the Stars and Oilers.

  • On Wednesday, May 29th.
  • Game start time: 8:30 p.m. Eastern Time
  • Location: Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta
  • To view: TNT, Sportsnet
  • Top choice: Oilers are the preferred team to win with odds of -122 from DraftKings.

Predictions for the Stars-Oilers game were made on Tuesday at noon Eastern Time.

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Written By:
Gonzales Oona
Gonzales Oona has written professionally since 2010, focusing on sports betting since 2014. Before entering the sports betting space, he contributed to the Canadian Press, FanSided, the Hockey Writers, the Calgary Herald, and other publications. His work has also been featured in Sports Illustrated and Bleacher Report. Gary, who consumes sports like a blue whale devours plankton, has a penchant for writing predictions and analyses across several sports, including hockey, soccer, football, tennis, and more. He bets regularly, preferring single-game picks, props, and live betting. While there isn’t a sport he has yet to dabble in, Gary prefers betting on soccer, hockey, and football. He studied at various post-secondary institutions, including the University of Calgary, SAIT Polytechnic, and Griffith University, located in Brisbane, Australia. Gary has a marketing degree and completed his bachelor’s degree in journalism at Griffith University. He feels strongly that life experience is as essential as post-secondary education, helping formulate more accurate predictions and analyses. Gary believes that competing at a high level of amateur sports during his formative years helped him better understand an athlete’s psyche and the nuances and complexities of a team’s dynamic, both on and off the playing surface. He feels that knowledge is immeasurably important when offering his analytical expertise. He has lived on five continents and currently resides in Canada.