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Cristiano Ronaldo seen during the UEFA Euro 2024 game between Turkey and Portugal as we make our Portugal vs. Slovenia picks and predictions
Cristiano Ronaldo seen during the UEFA Euro 2024 game between Turkey and Portugal at Signal Iduna Park. Photo by Maciej Rogowski via SOPA Images/Sipa USA.

Portugal was surprised by Georgia on Wednesday; could Slovenia pull off a shock in the round of 16? Check out our Portugal vs. Slovenia predictions and picks based on the odds from top soccer betting sites.

Portugal made several adjustments in their Group F final match against Georgia, but Cristiano Ronaldo was still in the starting lineup. With the group already secured, Portugal was able to give key players like Bruno Fernandes and Bernardo Silva some rest. This is the first time since 2008 that Portugal has topped their group in the European Championships, showing they are still a strong contender to win it all according to Euro 2024 odds.

Slovenia has made history by qualifying for the last 16 of a major tournament for the first time. They remain undefeated at Euro 2024, having drawn all three of their Group C matches, including a 0-0 tie against England.

Predictions for Monday’s match between Portugal and Slovenia

  • Portugal secured a 3-0 victory over Slovenia, earning a +750 payout through BetMGM.
  • You can bet on Cristiano Ronaldo as an anytime goal scorer at odds of -110 on bet365.
  • Top choice: Portugal to win with over 2.5 goals scored, available at +130 odds on DraftKings.

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Prediction for Portugal vs. Slovenia match score

Portugal defeats Slovenia by a score of 3-0.

Portugal’s stars have returned to form in this round, with only Germany surpassing their impressive 90.1% passing accuracy at the tournament. In contrast, Slovenia has the second-lowest passing accuracy at Euro 2024, with just 76.5%.

Slovenia was content to absorb the pressure from England in the last Group C match on Tuesday. However, in order to put pressure on Portugal, they must enhance their performance in the attacking third where they are currently only completing 63.8% of their passes. Slovenia may welcome pressure, but if Portugal scores first, they will be forced to push forward and leave themselves vulnerable. A goal from Portugal could completely alter the dynamics of the game, leaving Slovenia more susceptible as they try to level the score.

They secured a spot in the Round of 16 despite only having 32% possession, while Portugal dominated with an average of 67% possession and 53 shots in the group stage, ranking second only to Germany. Expect a lopsided match on Monday.

BetMGM is offering odds of +750, which implies a probability of 11.8%. A $10 bet on this 3-0 exact score prop would result in a profit of $75 if successful.

Top odds: +750 on BetMGM

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Prediction for anytime goal scorer in the Portugal vs. Slovenia match

Cristiano Ronaldo, Portugal

The 39-year-old is clearly eager to make a goal.

Despite many of his teammates being rested, Ronaldo started the Georgia match. He is determined to break the record for being the oldest player to score at the European Championships, showcasing his dedication to statistics. Although he has not scored in his last seven appearances for Portugal at major tournaments, he has made 19 shots across two competitions since scoring against Ghana at the World Cup in Qatar.

He had the chance to score against Turkey but instead, he selflessly set up Bruno Fernandes for an easy goal. He is a key player in their attack and will have more chances to score. Known for stepping up in important moments, he may just find his scoring touch in the upcoming knockout games.

Bet365’s odds of -110 indicate a 52.4% chance of winning, and a $10 bet would result in a $9.09 profit if Ronaldo scores.

You can find the best odds of -110 at bet365.

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Portugal vs. Slovenia – the top choice for betting

Portugal emerges victorious with more than 2.5 goals scored in the game.

Portugal could dominate the game, especially if they score early. There is a clear difference in skill level between the two teams, which will be evident in this crucial match.

Portugal has displayed exceptional possession skills and a strong defense, having only faced 23 shots in the tournament, the second-lowest among all teams. In contrast, Slovenia has struggled to maintain possession, making it difficult for them to pose a threat to Portugal.

Portugal has been scoring over two goals per game in their last six matches, with only Germany and Austria scoring more goals in the group stage. Slovenia has been averaging more than one goal per game in their last six matches across all competitions.

This is uncharted territory for the Slovenians, which increases the pressure. Portugal head coach Roberto Martinez, who had a 70% win record with Belgium, has won 15 out of 18 matches while in charge of Selecao da Quinas. Experience will play a crucial role in this match.

The odds suggest a 43.5% chance of winning, and a $10 wager would result in a $13 profit if successful.

Top chance of winning: +130 on DraftKings

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Information about the Portugal vs. Slovenia match

  • Monday, July 1 at 3 p.m. Eastern Time
  • Location: Frankfurt Arena in Frankfurt, Germany
  • Instructions on how to watch: Tune in to Fox or use the streaming service Fubo.
  • Top choice: Portugal is the favorite with odds of -265 according to DraftKings.

Predictions for the Portugal-Slovenia match were made on Saturday at 1 p.m. ET.

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