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Player props and odds for the Warriors vs. Nuggets NBA game on Christmas Day: Predictions and picks

Green Finnian

Updated on December 25, 2026 at 11:30 AM EST • Read time: 2 minutes and 35 seconds. Find more information on Twitter and Google News.

Nikola Jokic of the Denver Nuggets reacts after scoring, and we offer our top NBA player props and expert picks for Saturday based on the best NBA odds.
Nikola Jokic of the Denver Nuggets reacts after scoring. Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images via AFP.

On Christmas Day, the Denver Nuggets will be hosting the Golden State Warriors. We will be analyzing the top NBA player props for the Warriors vs. Nuggets matchup using the most favorable NBA odds.

The Warriors have won five straight games, putting them above .500 for the first time since Nov. 12. They have been averaging 125.8 points per game during this winning streak.

Nevertheless, the Nuggets have also won four consecutive games and boast the second-highest record in the Western Conference.

Nikola Jokic is second in rebounds per game this season, and in a previous matchup, he put up 35 points against the opposing team.

Here are our top Warriors vs. Nuggets NBA player props and NBA picks for Christmas Day, along with our NBA Christmas Day predictions and player props. Our confidence in these picks is based on a 1-to-5-star scale and the odds are from our top NBA betting sites.

Player props for the Christmas Day matchup between the Warriors and Nuggets in the NBA.

Nikola Jokic has made 2+ three-pointers, with odds of +150 on FanDuel. ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Jokic is currently averaging only 1.2 made 3-pointers per game this season, with less than one made shot from beyond the arc this month. Despite this, he has managed to make multiple 3-pointers in nine games so far and attempted eight in his last game against the Warriors.

Jokic did not hit any three-pointers in Saturday’s victory against the Charlotte Hornets. This marked only the second time this season that he has gone two games without making a 3-pointer, with the main reason being that he played just 16 minutes in the second game against the Chicago Bulls.

In all but three games this season, Jokic has tried his luck with long-range shots. With a shooting percentage of 32.7% from beyond the arc, he is likely to make multiple three-pointers on Christmas Day as he continues to put up shots.

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Stephen Curry to score less than 27.5 points is listed at -113 on FanDuel, giving it a four-star rating.

Curry has struggled on Christmas Day, scoring over 20 points only once in 10 games. As a result, he may not be the best player to bet on during one of the NBA’s biggest days. Therefore, we are once again choosing to fade Curry this year.

In the previous meeting between these two teams in November, Curry only scored 23 points on 6-of-17 shooting, with all of his made field goals coming from three-point range. It is expected that the Nuggets will adopt a similar defensive strategy in this game, challenging the Warriors to rely on other players besides Curry to secure a victory.

Denver ranks eighth in the league for opponent 3-point percentage and is only allowing 110 points per game. In a challenging game, it is likely that Curry will not reach his season average of 28.3 points.

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Aaron Gordon is projected to have over 4 assists, with odds of +150 on FanDuel.

We are confident that Aaron Gordon will break out of his slump soon. Despite averaging 3.4 assists per game this season, he has only recorded two or fewer assists in his last three games. It is worth noting that in the past four games, the only one in which he achieved four assists was the game where he played less than 30 minutes.

The Warriors rank eighth in the league for fewest assists allowed per game. Oddsmakers have strong confidence in Gordon getting at least three assists. The odds for Gordon recording over 2.5 assists are -162.

When the two teams previously played this season, Gordon tallied three assists. This was part of a streak of six games where he achieved at least five assists in five of them. Given his past performances, it is recommended to support him to excel on Monday.

NBA player props for Warriors vs. Nuggets were established on Sunday at 10:35 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Green Finnian
Phil is a Sports Betting Analyst for Underscoreg Review and BettingPros.com, specializing in NFL and college football. He previously covered college football and college basketball for CanesInsight.com, where he also hosted the College Football Pick ‘Em podcast. Phil is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is if a line doesn’t make sense, just assume that Vegas knows something you don’t. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. Some would call him a frontrunner for his love of the Yankees and the Celtics, but he’s also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and will never forgive the refs for the blown pass interference call against the Cowboys in 2015.