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Head coach Todd Bowles of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers looks on during the first quarter in the game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Raymond James Stadium on December 18, 2026 in Tampa, Florida. Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images via AFP.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are facing a new era in 2026 as they move on from Tom Brady, and the top NFL betting sites are not expecting much from them. In this 2026 Buccaneers betting preview, we will explore what the NFL odds predict for the team’s upcoming season.

The New England Patriots finished with a 7-9 record and missed the playoffs in 2020, their first season without Tom Brady. If the projected NFL win total for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers is any indication, a similar outcome could be in store for the Patriots in 2026.

In our 2026 Buccaneers betting preview, we will analyze the team’s win total and potential placement within the NFC South this season. Additionally, we’ll share our top team and player prop bet futures for 2026.

Take a look at our 2026 Buccaneers betting preview included in our comprehensive 2026 NFL betting guide, featuring odds from our top NFL betting sites. Rate your confidence level on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Buccaneers betting preview 2026

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Buccaneers to win Over 6.5 games (+120 via DraftKings, Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

DraftKings (6.5)FanDuel (6.5)BetMGM (6.5)Caesars (6.5)bet365 (6.5)
Over: +120Over: +116Over: +110Over: +120Over: +110
Under: -140Under: -142 ❄️Under: -132 Under: -140Under: -140

The Buccaneers were not the favorites in any of the opening NFL games for 2026, making this prediction a bold one with odds of +120. However, it is fortunate that eight of the opening spreads were set within a field goal.

The NFL schedule makers did not do the Buccaneers any favors. Despite the fact that their division rivals – the New Orleans Saints, Atlanta Falcons, and Carolina Panthers – have some of the easiest schedules this season, the Buccaneers find themselves in the middle of the pack with the 17th toughest schedule according to Sharp Football Analysis. As a result, they are projected to win only 6.3 games this season.

Tampa Bay is entering a challenging schedule with a complete reversal at the crucial position.

Tom Brady, a future Hall of Famer, has left the team. In his place are Baker Mayfield, a former No. 1 draft pick who is now on his third team in a year, and Kyle Trask, a 2021 second-round pick. The turnover is more drastic than comparing apples to oranges.

Both Mayfield and Trask are listed as co-starters on the Bucs’ early depth chart, with Mayfield slated to start the preseason opener and Trask getting his opportunity in Week 2, according to head coach Todd Bowles.

Despite this, the Bucs have a solid roster overall which should help ease the transition for Mayfield (or Trask), particularly on defense. Tampa Bay’s defense performed well, ranking in the top half of the league in both Football Outsiders’ DVOA and opponent yards per play allowed. The defense was further strengthened with the additions of first-round pick Calijah Kancey at defensive tackle and third-round pick Yaya Diaby at linebacker.

Each team in the NFC South won a minimum of seven games last season, with the Buccaneers claiming the division title at 8-9. I am intrigued by DraftKings’ uncommon odds of +125 for our bold selection of the Buccaneers surpassing 6.5 wins in 2026.

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Buccaneers to finish 3rd in NFC South (+260 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

MarketDraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
To win Super Bowl+9000+7500 ❄️+10000 +8000+8000
To win NFC+4500+5000 +4000+4000+4000
To win NFC South+800+750+750+1000 +800

Don’t rush to bet on the Bucs’ +10000 Super Bowl odds from BetMGM just yet. Keep in mind that the price is only slightly lower in implied probability compared to the +7500 odds from FanDuel. Additionally, the Buccaneers’ +800 odds to win the division are twice as high as the Panthers, who are third on the oddsboard.

The Bucs are currently favored with -110 odds to finish fourth in the NFC South, making them one of only four teams in their division with negative money odds to come in last this season. Despite the lackluster performance of the NFC South in 2026, the competition was close. With just a few favorable outcomes, the Bucs have a good chance of exceeding their projected 6.5 wins and finishing ahead of the Saints, Falcons, or possibly the Panthers.

In my NFC South betting preview, I provide insights into my predictions for the remaining three teams in the division.

Buccaneers Over 2.5 wins in division (+100 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

Last season, the Buccaneers had a 4-2 record in the NFC South, with impressive victories over the Saints in both matchups. While the transition from Brady to the 2026 QB room in Tampa Bay will be significant, strong coaching usually proves crucial in divisional games.

The significance of the Buccaneers’ quarterback change within their division is being exaggerated. Each team in the division has a new starting quarterback compared to last season. Among them, Mayfield will have the second-most experience, and he will have the talented receiving duo of Mike Evans and Chris Godwin, possibly the best he has played with in his career.

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Mike Evans Over 924.5 receiving yards (+110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

The negativity surrounding the Buccaneers and Mayfield has reached an extreme level.

Evans has consistently surpassed 1,000 receiving yards in each season of his career. Despite playing with a less effective version of Brady last season, he still managed to rack up 1,124 receiving yards in just 15 games.

Throughout the NFL’s long history, lesser quarterbacks have often leaned heavily on their top receiving option. Despite a catch rate of 63.1% over three seasons with Brady, Evans is expected to see an increase in targets, as he averaged a modest 117 per season with the legendary quarterback.

BetMGM is now offering +110 odds on the Over for Evans, a significant improvement from the initial -110 odds on either side. Caesars has set Evans’ receiving total at 925.5 yards, with -130 odds on the Over. While Stewart Serena prefers Chris Godwin to surpass 800.5 yards in NFL receiving props for 2026, I am leaning towards Evans and expecting Mayfield to achieve similar success.

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Jamel Dean Over 1.5 interceptions (-155 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

I apologize for the low odds, but the five-star confidence rating should be enough to speak for the pick.

Dean led the Bucs in interceptions last season, his third season in four years since being drafted, and is positioned to take advantage of poor quarterback play in his division in 2026.

Bryce Young is a newcomer, while Desmond Ridder is a second-year player who appeared in four games in 2026. Derek Carr threw 14 interceptions in 15 games for the Las Vegas Raiders before being benched early due to his subpar performance.

It is probable that the Bucs will face two rookie QBs when taking on the Houston Texans and Indianapolis Colts. Additionally, with Kirk Cousins, Justin Fields, Jared Goff, and Josh Allen in the mix, Dean could potentially collect a portion of the 46 interceptions thrown by this group last season. Furthermore, he will have the opportunity to play against Green Bay Packers QB Jordan Love as he embarks on his first season of significant playing time.

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