Saints Betting Preview 2026: Futures Picks & Predictions for New Orleans
In his inaugural season with the team, Derek Carr aims to guide the New Orleans Saints to their first NFL playoff appearance since 2020. Our 2026 Saints betting preview analyzes the potential outcomes in The Big Easy, taking into consideration the odds from our top NFL betting sites.
Despite being on pace to lead the NFL in interceptions last season, Derek Carr was shut down early by the Las Vegas Raiders in a lost season. However, the 2014 second-round pick still managed to earn his fourth Pro Bowl nod. He then signed a lucrative four-year, $150 million contract with the New Orleans Saints following their third-place finish in the NFC South.
Under head coach Dennis Allen, Carr will be at the helm of a skilled offensive group that features wide receivers Michael Thomas and Chris Olave. The revamped defense will have its work cut out for them in supporting the new quarterback.
Take a look at our 2026 Saints betting preview, which includes odds from our top sports betting apps, as a part of our comprehensive 2026 NFL betting guide. Confidence in picks is rated on a 1 to 5-star scale.
Saints betting preview 2026
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Saints to win Under 9.5 games (-125 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
| DraftKings (9.5) | FanDuel (9.5) | BetMGM (9.5) | Caesars (9.5) | bet365 (9.5) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over +105 | Over +114 | Over +115 | Over +105 | Over +105 |
| Under -125 | Under -140 ❄️ | Under -139 | Under -125 | Under -130 |
Despite being favored in 10 games on the opening NFL odds for 2026, the Saints are heavily favored to win fewer than 9.5 games according to our top sportsbooks. This is why I am giving this a four-star pick, as the odds from Caesars offer great value compared to our other top sportsbooks.
FanDuel’s odds of -140 on the Under 9.5 wins for the Saints suggest a 58.33% chance of winning, compared to Caesars’ -110 odds which imply a 52.38% probability. A bet of $110 at Caesars would return $100 on a winning bet, while the same return would require a $140 investment at FanDuel.
Sharp Football Analysis indicates that the Saints have the most favorable strength of schedule for 2026, but achieving the 10 wins required to exceed expectations will be a challenge considering they only won 7 games last season. The Saints face difficulties with two Thursday Night Football games that involve traveling on short weeks, as well as a matchup against the Green Bay Packers following a Monday Night Football game against the Carolina Panthers.
The Saints’ defense has aged due to changes in free agency. They will need their first-, second-, and fifth-round draft picks to develop quickly, as they may struggle to cope with injuries early in the season.
Despite having a top wide receiver in Olave, Carr’s declining accuracy will make it difficult for him to lead the offense to high-scoring wins. Additionally, the Saints will be missing star running back Alvin Kamara for the first three games of the season due to a suspension stemming from a February incident in Las Vegas.
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Saints to finish fourth in NFC South (+800 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐
| Market | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| To win Super Bowl | +3000 ❄️ | +4000 | +4000 | +3500 | +3300 |
| To win NFC | +1200 ❄️ | +1700 | +1600 | +1400 | +1600 |
| To win NFC South | +120 | +130 | +130 | +105 ❄️ | +110 |
While it may be a risky choice, the odds for the team finishing fourth in the NFC South this season are surprisingly high at DraftKings. Additionally, there is significant variation in the Saints’ futures markets, especially when compared to their strong Super Bowl odds.
The odds for winning the division are +800 for the Saints, +400 for the Falcons, +255 for the Panthers, and -110 for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Tampa Bay, led by Tom Brady, won the division last season with an 8-9 record, while the other three teams finished with a 7-10 record. Each team will have a new starting quarterback for the upcoming 2026 season.
The odds for finishing fourth in the division do not accurately represent the competitive nature of the NFC South in 2026 and the anticipated competitiveness in 2026.
NFC South dual forecast: Falcons/Saints (+145 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
Once again, DraftKings is providing great value as BetMGM is also offering +135 odds on the Falcons and Saints finishing 1-2 in the division in any order.
The two teams with the best chances to win the NFC South this season are being used to our advantage as we hedge our bets with a dual forecast in the division markets, specifically targeting the “1-2 exact” or “exact order” outcomes.
At DraftKings, there are +285 odds for the Saints to finish first and the Falcons to finish second, while the reverse order is priced at +425. These plus-money odds provide a hedge for our long-shot prediction of the Saints finishing last in the division.
Saints Under 3.5 wins in NFC South (+100 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Last season, the Saints had a 2-4 record within their division, with both victories coming against the Falcons by a combined margin of four points. However, they were unable to secure a win against either the Panthers or Buccaneers, losing in all of their matchups against them.
Even though the Saints have a new quarterback this season, so do both of those teams. In addition, coaching is highly valued in this market, and I rank Allen below Arthur Smith (Falcons), Frank Reich (Panthers), and Todd Bowles (Buccaneers) in the NFC South hierarchy.
Derek Carr to lead NFL in interceptions (+2000 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
I have chosen this wager as my favorite in our Saints betting preview, using the odds provided by our Louisiana sports betting apps.
Carr threw 14 interceptions in each of the last two seasons, accomplishing the feat in just 15 games last year. Despite facing better weather conditions in road games in the NFC South, he will be up against new defenses and has a completely revamped receiving corps. Carr is ranked 10th in the odds to lead the NFL in passing yards this season, which could increase his chances of throwing interceptions with a high yardage total.
Most notably, FanDuel has Carr listed at +1600 to lead the league in interceptions, making it a prime opportunity to take advantage of the higher odds compared to DraftKings.
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