Steelers Betting Preview 2026: Futures Picks & Predictions for Pittsburgh

The 2026-24 NFL season offers a variety of potential outcomes for the Pittsburgh Steelers, making it a great opportunity for bettors to capitalize on the best sports betting apps. Check out our strategy for betting on the Steelers in this preview.

Since becoming head coach of the Pittsburgh Steelers in 2007, Mike Tomlin has not had a losing season. Under his leadership, the Steelers have consistently achieved at least nine wins in consecutive seasons, demonstrating a strong performance.

However, there is a hidden advantage with this year’s team, as quarterback Kenny Pickett is gearing up for his second season in the NFL. Historically, young quarterbacks make significant strides in their second year. Will Pickett’s improvement be sufficient for the Steelers to secure a playoff spot?

Take a look at our 2026 Pittsburgh Steelers betting preview, featuring odds from our top NFL betting websites. Rate your confidence level on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Steelers betting preview 2026

Selections made on July 13

Steelers to win Under 9 games (-105 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Current odds as of August 29th

It appears to be a wise decision to bet against the Steelers achieving double-digit wins. Over the past five seasons, they have only achieved this feat once, with a 12-4 record in 2020 despite advanced metrics indicating they were more likely to win 10 games. In 2026, they won only nine games despite being the healthiest team in the league.

I see potential for improvement in this team if Pickett can build on his rookie season. However, I prefer to invest in markets with higher odds, as it is more likely that the AFC North will be too challenging for the current Steelers team.

According to my power ratings, the Steelers are projected to win around 8.25 games, so I am comfortable taking the Under at 8.5. However, I still prefer the Under in this market if the number is still available at 9. Tomlin’s coaching prowess makes him a formidable opponent to bet against.

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Steelers to finish 4th in AFC North (+175 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

The odds are current as of August 29.

If the Steelers make the playoffs, Pickett will be making his postseason debut. However, I am not confident in their ability to make a deep run, especially when considering they would have to defeat quarterbacks like Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Joe Burrow. Because of this, I am not willing to bet on Pittsburgh’s chances of winning the Super Bowl or AFC Championship.

While the Steelers have a shot at winning the AFC North, I’m looking for better odds than +500. My bet is on the Steelers finishing last in the AFC North at +175, as I believe they have a better chance of securing that position.

The gap between fourth and first in this competitive division may not be very wide. The Steelers finished third with a record of 9-8 in 2026, trailing the first place Cincinnati Bengals by only three games.

I believe the Steelers are the weakest team in the division heading into the season. The top sports betting sites are predicting that they will finish fourth in the AFC North, with odds as short as +115 at one shop. Therefore, I will take advantage of the bargain price of +175 and place a bet on them.

Steelers to not make playoffs (-150 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

I predict that the 2026 Pittsburgh squad will likely miss the playoffs for the second consecutive year due to the strong competition in the AFC.

Looking at the power ratings, I predict that the Steelers will rank 10th in the AFC. With only seven teams making it to the playoffs, the Steelers will have their work cut out for them to secure a wild-card spot.

Furthermore, Pickett’s impressive performance towards the end of 2026 can be attributed to his late-game heroics. According to Clev Analytics, the Steelers excelled in converting third downs beyond expectations starting from Week 10. It remains to be seen if they can replicate this success in the upcoming season.

At -150, there is value in betting on Pittsburgh to not make the playoffs, especially considering the market has them at -180.

Editor’s note: The current odds for the Steelers to not make the playoffs are now -155 at DraftKings, offering the best price available.

Mike Tomlin to win Coach of the Year (+2500 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐

Although I have been betting more on the Steelers’ worst-case scenario, I believe taking a chance on their potential upside is the best approach. Surprisingly, Tomlin has never received this award, even though he has consistently led the team to success over the past 16 years.

The award is usually bestowed upon young head coaches, but ultimately it is based on which team surpasses expectations the most. Tomlin is currently ranked in the top 10 for our NFL Coach of the Year Award odds.

Out of the last 11 winners of this award, nine have guided their team to double-digit wins. The only exceptions were Bruce Arians in 2012 as an interim head coach and Brian Daboll in 2026-23. Among these winners, only one coach, Mike Vrabel in 2021, had a preseason win total of 9.5 or higher entering the season.

If the Steelers win ten or more games, we may lose the rest of our preview tickets. However, with the +2500 future bet, there is potential for a significant payout to offset any losses. This is my strategy for predicting Pittsburgh’s potential outcomes.

Editor’s Note: The current odds for Tomlin to win Coach of the Year have now improved to +2200 at DraftKings, offering the best price available.

Najee Harris Over 900.5 rushing yards (-112 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐

I enjoy betting on former first-round running backs as a hobby. It seems that teams are often criticized for selecting an RB in the first round, causing these players to be underrated in the market. A prime example of this is Josh Jacobs, the Las Vegas Raiders running back, entering last season.

Despite receiving minimal support from his offensive line, Harris has managed to achieve consecutive 1,000-yard seasons since being selected by the Steelers as the No. 24 overall pick in the 2021 NFL Draft.

According to Fantasy Pts analyst Graham Barfield, Harris has the lowest yards per carry before contact at just 1.12, ranking last among the 35 running backs with 250 or more carries in the last two seasons.

The Steelers made significant changes to the left side of their offensive line during the offseason, drafting left tackle Broderick Jones in the first round. With improved blocking, Harris is expected to reach close to 1,000 rushing yards once more. ESPN’s Mike Clay is projecting Harris to gain 964 yards in 14 games this season.

FanDuel is offering a lower line at 975.5 compared to DraftKings, giving us a great deal on this bet.

Editor’s note: The current rushing total has been updated to 925.5 yards, with the Over odds listed at -112 on FanDuel.

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