Patriots vs. Broncos Parlay: SGP Odds, Predictions for Christmas Eve
According to our top sports betting apps, our parlay predictions for the Patriots vs. Broncos game suggest that Denver is a motivated team that understands they are still in contention for a playoff spot.
With a record of 7-7, the Denver Broncos are barely holding onto hope of making it into the AFC wild-card race. However, their fate largely depends on their next game. If they fail to defeat the struggling New England Patriots, who are currently 3-11, at home, their chances of reaching the playoffs will be all but extinguished.
Is this a chance for Sean Payton’s team to prove that last week’s loss was just a fluke on prime time?
Here are our top Patriots vs. Broncos parlay predictions to go with our game prediction. Check out the odds from our recommended NFL betting sites and rate your confidence on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.
Patriots vs. Broncos parlay
(Odds via FanDuel)
- Broncos -7.5 (+100) ⭐⭐⭐
- Over 35.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Russell Wilson Over 203.5 passing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐
The combined odds on FanDuel are +417.
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SGP predictions for Patriots vs. Broncos
Broncos -7.5 (+100) ⭐⭐⭐
Despite the fact that the Broncos have only covered the spread in three of their wins this season, the data does not indicate that the Patriots are equally as likely to cover the spread.
This season, New England has the worst record in the league at 3-10-1 ATS and is 2-4 ATS on the road. Denver, with a 5-8-1 ATS record, has shown they can win big in some games.
The Patriots have improved their offensive performance with Bailey Zappe at the helm, but they have still suffered four losses by a larger margin than the current one.
After a tough loss to the Detroit Lions last week, I expect Sean Payton to have his team ready to stay in the playoff race. The Broncos are favored by -7.5 on FanDuel, with even odds, and -105 on DraftKings for the same line.
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Over 35.5 (-110) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Only six out of the Broncos’ 14 games this season have gone over the total points, while just four games have failed to exceed the low 35.5-point total for this matchup. On the other hand, New England has only hit the over in five out of their nine games, with five games falling short of the total points set for this particular matchup.
While we don’t expect the Patriots to keep the game close, it’s important to acknowledge their recent improvement in scoring. In their last two games with Zappe at quarterback, they have put up 21 and 17 points respectively.
High-scoring games have been rare in the NFL this season, but now the pendulum seems to be swinging too far the other way. FanDuel has set the game total at 35.5 with -110 odds on the Over, which is more favorable than the -112 odds offered by DraftKings on the same number.
Russell Wilson Over 203.5 passing yards (-113) ⭐⭐⭐
Russell Wilson has only surpassed this passing threshold six times this year, but he has thrown for over 220 passing yards in back-to-back games as he aims to lead the Broncos back into contention in the AFC playoff race.
The Patriots have a strong defense overall, but their pass coverage has not been as dominant. They are ranked 16th in the NFL for pass defense, giving up an average of 223.4 yards per game. After allowing Patrick Mahomes to throw for over 300 yards in their last game, the defense may struggle in their upcoming road game.
Wilson’s passing yardage prop shows a significant difference between DraftKings and FanDuel, making the decision of which book to use for the SGP crucial. With 214.5 passing yards required at DraftKings and a lower line of 203.5 yards at FanDuel with more favorable odds of -113 compared to -115 at DraftKings, the clear choice is FanDuel.
Parlay picks for Patriots-Broncos game were made at 3:00 a.m. ET on Sunday.
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