NFL Player Props Week 9: Predictions, Picks for Sunday
Stewart Serena, a betting analyst for Underscoreg Review, reveals his top NFL player props for Week 9. We meticulously search for the most favorable NFL odds from our trusted prop betting sites to inform our NFL picks.
Our NFL player props had another successful week in Week 8, bringing our total to 18-6 in the past six weeks and earning us 10.73 units.
After a challenging Sunday, we are determined to bounce back and make a statement in Monday Night football.
Here are our top NFL player props for Week 9 to go along with our NFL Week 9 predictions and best bets. The odds are from our recommended NFL betting sites, and our confidence in each pick is rated on a 1-to-5-star scale.
NFL player props for Week 9
- Breece Hall Over 56.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Marquez Valdes-Scantling Over 16.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐ ✔️
- Josh Allen Over 0.5 interceptions (-130 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✔️
- Adam Thielen and Jonathan Taylor to combine for 180+ rush & rec yards (+300 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✖️
- Jordan Love Under 220.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐ ✖️
- Mike Evans anytime touchdown scorer (+170 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✖️
- Patrick Mahomes 300+ passing yards (+130 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✖️
- George Pickens Over 52.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐ ✖️
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NFL player props for Week 9: Monday Night Football
Breece Hall Over 56.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
The Los Angeles Chargers have a mediocre run defense, and Hall has had disappointing performances in his last two games, accumulating only 56 yards on 24 carries against the Philadelphia Eagles and New York Giants.
Despite the criticism faced by the New York Jets’ offensive line and the ongoing development of quarterback Zach Wilson, Hall continues to show his explosiveness on the field. Additionally, the OLine has received high marks for their above-average performance in run blocking according to PFF, and ranks 15th in run-block win rate according to ESPN.
With Hall projected for 66.7 rushing yards, I would set the Over line at -146 in order to achieve a positive expected value of 13% compared to the -110 bet365 price.
Allen Byron delves deeper into the Monday Night Football showdown, offering his predictions for the Chargers taking on the Jets.
NFL player props for Week 9: Sunday
Marquez Valdes-Scantling Over 16.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐ ✔️
Valdes-Scantling has already tallied four receptions of 20+ yards this season, putting him on pace to surpass that mark with just one more catch. He leads the Kansas City Chiefs wide receivers in offensive snap percentage and has seen an increased role in the offense over the last two games, hauling in five passes for 111 yards on nine targets.
I predict that the Miami Dolphins will be concentrating on stopping Kansas City tight end Travis Kelce, leaving Valdes-Scantling open for a big downfield play. If this scenario plays out, this prop bet will be a winner.
I predict the second-year Chief will have 22.1 receiving yards and would set the Over at -143. According to my calculations, there is a positive expected value of 13% compared to the -110 bet365 price.
Check out Young Quigley’s prediction for the Dolphins vs. Chiefs game happening this Sunday morning in Frankfurt, Germany.
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Patrick Mahomes 300+ passing yards (+130 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✖️
Tua may surpass Mahomes in passing touchdowns, but Mahomes is expected to have more passing yards. However, the cost for Mahomes to achieve higher yardage than Tua is not worth it, as Tagovailoa has the potential to put up impressive numbers consistently.
Hence, we suggest starting Mahomes in order to reach 300 or more passing yards. He has accomplished this three times this season and has come within 30 yards of 300 on two additional occasions.
The Dolphins defense is giving up an average of 221.5 passing yards per game, although they have faced some weaker offenses. Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts both had success throwing for over 300 and 279 yards respectively against Miami. Considering the way the Chiefs’ offense is operated and Patrick Mahomes’ impressive performances this season, this alternative line offers significant value.
Selections chosen by Phil Wood can be found in our Tua Tagovailoa vs. Patrick Mahomes NFL player props and Tyreek Hill NFL player props.
Adam Thielen and Jonathan Taylor to combine for 180+ rush & rec yards (+300 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✖️
This season, the Carolina Panthers have relied heavily on wide receiver Adam Thielen to support their rookie quarterback. Since joining the team from Minnesota, Thielen has been averaging 81 receiving yards per game, leading the Panthers in targets (70), receptions (57), and yards. He has recorded three games with over 100 receiving yards so far this year.
Carolina will face a Colts defense that has allowed the eighth-highest number of passing yards per game this season. In Week 8, New Orleans wide receiver Rashid Shaheed had a standout performance against them, racking up 153 yards.
In the four games since his return from injury, Colts running back Jonathan Taylor has accumulated 316 all-purpose yards. His production has notably increased in the last two weeks, with Taylor rushing for 75 yards and gaining 45 receiving yards against Cleveland, and then running for 95 yards while adding 2 receiving yards against the Saints last week.
The Panthers are giving up the fourth-highest number of rushing yards per game in the league this season, with an average of 139.4 yards. Carolina has allowed four different opposing running backs to rush for at least 90 yards against them.
Check out Sanchez Rhea’s player props for the Colts vs. Panthers NFL game.
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Jordan Love Under 220.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐ ✖️
In his last three games, Packers quarterback Jordan Love has struggled to generate offense through the air. He has failed to surpass 200 yards passing in two of those games, one of which was against the Denver Broncos, who have the sixth-worst pass defense in the league.
In the past three games where he has surpassed 200 yards, the majority of his yardage has been gained while Green Bay was trailing by a significant margin. For example, in the recent game against the Minnesota Vikings, his team was behind 24-3 in the fourth quarter before he orchestrated a 14-play, 81-yard touchdown drive.
The Rams have had difficulty establishing a comfortable lead against opponents this season. If Stafford is unable to play, they may struggle to take the lead in this game. This could pose a challenge for Love, as he will be facing a tough Los Angeles defense that is only allowing an average of 218.5 passing yards per game.
Phil Wood created NFL player props for the Rams vs. Packers game.
Mike Evans anytime touchdown scorer (+170 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✖️
Mike Evans has found the endzone in all but two games for the Buccaneers this season, with four of his touchdowns coming against press coverage, the second-highest in the league. While the line for Evans’s receiving yards in this game is 53.5, the Texans have one of the top ten pass defenses in the league, allowing only 236.1 passing yards per game. Although Evans has surpassed that total four times this season, I would recommend betting on Baker Mayfield’s top target to score a touchdown rather than betting on Evans’s receiving yards against this tough defense.
Young Quigley has created NFL player props for the Buccaneers vs. Texans game.
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Josh Allen Over 0.5 interceptions (-130 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐ ✔️
This is an easy one. The Bengals are leading the league in interceptions per game for the 2023 season. Additionally, Allen has thrown at least one interception in each of his last four games.
The play falls short of a five-star rating due to the potential for the Bills to exploit the Bengals’ vulnerable run defense. This could result in fewer opportunities for Allen to throw interceptions.
DraftKings stands out as the top choice with prices lower than -140, while other sports betting sites have prices as high as -155.
Phil Wood has created NFL player props for the matchup between Josh Allen and Joe Burrow.
NFL player props for Week 9: Thursday
George Pickens Over 52.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐ ✖️
The total has increased since Thursday, so my confidence in this bet has decreased compared to when it was at 48.5.
I predict Pickens will have 59.1 receiving yards and would recommend taking the Over 52.5 at -134 odds. The 9% positive expected value between my projection and the -110 bet365 odds is promising.
The Titans defense is vulnerable due to their weak secondary, as evidenced by allowing two Atlanta wide receivers to surpass their total in Week 8. Adding to their concerns, Tennessee traded their top defensive back, Kevin Byard, to the Philadelphia Eagles on Oct. 23. The team currently ranks 25th in pass defense DVOA, 26th in dropback EPA allowed, and 27th in dropback success rate.
I am also pleased that Pittsburgh quarterback Kenny Pickett has been confirmed as the Week 9 starter.
NFL betting odds pages
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Related pages
- Best Sports Betting Sites | Best Underscoreg Promos (U.S. only)
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