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Sterling vs. O’Malley Odds, Picks, Predictions: The King Keeps Crown at UFC 292

Ramirez Madeline

Updated on August 19, 2023 at 3:37 PM EDT • Read time: 2 minutes and 21 seconds. Find more information on Twitter and Google News.

Aljamain Sterling wears the title belt and is a big favorite in the Sterling vs. O'Malley odds.
Aljamain Sterling wears the title belt after defeating TJ Dillashaw in the bantamweight championship at the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) event at the Etihad Arena in Abu Dhabi on October 22,2022.

Aljamain Sterling, the reigning UFC bantamweight champion, looks to extend his winning streak to 10 matches, but he will face a tough challenge from second-ranked contender Sean O’Malley. Check out our predictions for the Sterling vs. O’Malley UFC fight based on the latest odds from top sportsbooks.

O’Malley, a skilled striker known for his slick combinations, secured a title shot by narrowly defeating Petr Yan in a split decision at UFC 280. Yan was previously seen as the top contender in the 135-pound division, making O’Malley’s victory a significant achievement.

In the meantime, Sterling has had an exceptional campaign in the 135-pound division. A master on the mat, Sterling secured his position as the top contender with a split-decision victory over former double-champion Henry Cejudo. Along with Cejudo, Sterling has defeated Pedro Munhoz, Jimmy Rivera, Cory Sandhagen, T.J. Dillashaw, and Yan.

As the bantamweight title is up for grabs, here is our top pick for the Sterling vs. O’Malley fight at UFC 292 (odds from our recommended sports betting apps; confidence rating on a scale of 1 to 5 stars).

Sterling vs. O’Malley pick 

Aljamain Sterling to win (-233 via PointsBet) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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O’Malley may find Sterling to be a challenge too great to overcome.

According to most statistics, O’Malley is expected to have a clear advantage in striking. The challenger is known for being more precise and landing more strikes. However, it is important to consider that these numbers may be slightly inflated due to O’Malley’s weaker opponents compared to Sterling’s. Nevertheless, as a product of the MMA Lab, O’Malley should be able to establish dominance with his striking abilities.

However, I anticipate Sterling will eventually take control of the fight by bringing it to the ground. O’Malley has shown vulnerability to takedowns in the past, being taken down six times in his previous bout. With Sterling averaging over two takedowns per 15 minutes, he is likely to secure at least one takedown. Once on the ground, Sterling will showcase his dominance by relentlessly pursuing submissions and favorable positions.

If you find Sterling’s odds of -233 too risky due to lack of meat on the bones, you can opt for a double chance bet over at PointsBet. Out of Sterling’s 23 career victories, 19 have been by submission or decision. You can bet on him winning by either method (submission or on points) at -165.

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Sterling vs. O’Malley best odds

PointsBet (-233)

DraftKingsFanDuelbet365CaesarsPointsBet
-258-260-250-250-233

Sterling’s initial odds as a favorite were -220, but they have since increased to as high as -260 depending on the sportsbook. The best odds for backing the champ straight up can be found at PointsBet, where they are currently at -233.

If you’re looking to increase your potential winnings while still supporting Sterling, consider placing a bet on him to win by submission at +195 odds on PointsBet. Sterling, also known as “The Funkmaster,” has a significant advantage over O’Malley in grappling and has secured eight submission victories throughout his career.

Sterling vs. O’Malley fight info

  • Date: Saturday, Aug. 19, 2023
  • TV: PPV, ESPN +
  • Location: TD Garden, Boston, MA

The Sterling-O’Malley selection was made on August 18, 2023, at 8 a.m. Eastern Time.

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Written By:
Ramirez Madeline
A sportswriter for more than a decade, Ramirez Madeline was once voted “World’s 78th Greatest Lover” by ‘Relatively Attractive People Magazine’.* After covering nearly every sport under the sun for theScore, Smith settled in as head MMA writer where he helped shape the company’s coverage and establish its combat sports identity. Since then, he’s dipped his toes (cannonballed) into the world of betting, where he specializes in the UFC and NHL. Constantly chasing that gigantic Parlay Dragon, Smith was devastated when a Leon Edwards head kick completely obliterated a recent five-leg parlay. You can read his rantings and ravings on Twitter @Heldrificus. *Not a real publication.