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C.J. Stroud of the Houston Texans throws a pass as we analyze the NFL most passing yards odds.
C.J. Stroud of the Houston Texans throws a pass during the preseason game against the Miami Dolphins at NRG Stadium. Photo by Wesley Hitt/Getty Images via AFP.

The highly anticipated 2023 NFL preseason matchup between the Houston Texans and the New Orleans Saints is the highlight of the week. Let’s take a closer look at our predictions for the Texans-Saints game on Sunday Night Football, using the most favorable NFL odds available.

We are just one preseason game away from the start of meaningful football. However, it’s important not to overlook this final opportunity to fine-tune. Preseason betting can hold valuable insights.

The Houston Texans have not yet announced their starting quarterback for the regular season, but they plan to give No. 2 overall draft pick C.J. Stroud one final opportunity to take control. The starters will play for about two series before making way for younger players.

The New Orleans Saints have been firing on all cylinders in preseason games. On Friday, they revealed that Jameis Winston will start at quarterback, with rookie Jake Haener rotating in afterward.

This is our top prediction for the Texans vs. Saints matchup on Sunday Night Football, based on odds from the top NFL betting sites. Our confidence level is rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.

Texans vs. Saints prediction: Sunday Night Football

Over 37.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐

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The Texans will only play their starters for a couple of series, while Derek Carr will not be playing for the Saints. The majority of playing time in Sunday’s game will go to younger players and those on the roster bubble as roster cutdown day approaches. With players eager to secure jobs and move up the depth chart, I’m betting on the Over 37.5 points at BetMGM, as most top sportsbooks are setting the line at 38 points.

It is recommended that backup quarterback Davis Mills take the majority of playing time in the game, as veteran Case Keenum has nothing left to prove and was held out of the Week 2 contest. Similarly, on the Saints sideline, Winston is expected to play most of the first quarter, but fans should anticipate seeing Haener for a significant portion of the game.

What impact will this have on the scoreboard? Winston and Haener have spearheaded nearly every drive for the Saints in the preseason, resulting in wins of 26-24 and 22-17. Winston is on the cusp of being a starting quarterback in the NFL, while Haener has shown himself to be a reliable backup.

After starting as the Texans’ quarterback in 2022, Mills has benefited greatly from that experience during this preseason.

I anticipate seeing higher scores achieved on the indoor track at the Caesars Superdome.

Texans vs. Saints best odds

BetMGM (-110)

DraftKingsFanDuelBetMGMCaesarsbet365
Over 38Over 38Over 37.5Over 38Over 38
-110-110-110-110-110

Out of all the top sports betting sites, only BetMGM offers the total under 38 points. We’re happy to take advantage of the extra half point without any additional cost.

Take advantage of our exclusive BetMGM bonus code, SBRBONUS, to secure the top odds for the Texans vs. Saints game.

Texans vs. Saints odds

Texans vs. Saints odds analysis

The Saints were initially a strong -185 favorite, but after it was announced that Stroud would start and Carr would not, the odds have decreased to the -135 to -160 range. The point spread originally opened at -3.5, but most books are currently offering -3.

There has been little change in the total, as it started at 38 and there are only a few 37.5s available at various sportsbooks.

Sunday Night Football game info

  • Date: Sunday, Aug. 27, 8 p.m. ET
  • TV: FOX
  • Location: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
  • Weather: Indoors

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Over 37.5