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Josh Allen vs. Joe Burrow Player Prop Picks, Predictions: 3 Picks for Monday Night Football

Green Finnian

Updated on January 2, 2026 at 11:16 AM EST • Read time: 2 minutes and 47 seconds. Links to Twitter and Google News.

Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills celebrates a touchdown against the Chicago Bears.
Josh Allen of the Buffalo Bills celebrates a touchdown against the Chicago Bears. Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images/AFP.

The Buffalo Bills and Cincinnati Bengals are set to face off in a game with significant playoff implications. Keep reading for our Josh Allen-Joe Burrow NFL prop picks, taking into account the best odds available.

Joe Burrow and Josh Allen are ranked second and third in the NFL for the most passing touchdowns entering Monday night’s game. Additionally, both quarterbacks are also among the top 10 in passing yardage.

Both quarterbacks will have challenging matchups in Week 17, with the Bills ranked second in the league for fewest points allowed and the Bengals ranked eighth.

Below are our player prop picks for Josh Allen and Joe Burrow in their Week 17 Monday Night Football game (odds from DraftKings; Confidence level rated on a 1-5 star scale).

Take a look at our Bills-Bengals Same Game Parlay, Monday Night Football proposition picks, and predictions for the Bills-Bengals game.

Josh Allen vs. Joe Burrow Monday Night Football Prop Picks

  • Allen and Joe Burrow Under 556.5 passing yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Burrow -0.5 touchdown passes (+105) ⭐⭐⭐
  • Allen and Joe Burrow Over 1.5 interceptions (+120) ⭐⭐⭐

Bills vs. Bengals Odds

Josh Allen vs. Joe Burrow Monday Night Football Prop Predictions

Allen and Burrow Under 556.5 Passing Yards (-120) ⭐⭐⭐

Gamblers anticipate a high-scoring game on Monday night, with over 75% of the cash and tickets favoring the Over. While more points typically result in more passing yards, this hasn’t been the trend for Burrow and Allen in the 2026-23 season.

The Bengals have scored 20 or more points in seven straight games, but Burrow has only thrown for over 300 yards twice during that time. He has thrown for less than 250 yards in three of those games.

Allen’s performance has been notably erratic, with an equal number of games above and below 200 yards passing in his last six games. Despite the Bills winning each game and scoring at least 20 points in each, Allen’s inconsistency has been a concern.

Both pass defenses are not exceptional, but they are sufficient to limit both quarterbacks from exceeding this number.

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Burrow -0.5 Touchdown Passes (+105) ⭐⭐⭐

Burrow and Allen are neck and neck in touchdown passes this season. Burrow has thrown two more touchdowns than Allen, with 16 in his last six games compared to Allen’s 12. Burrow has had 11 games with multiple touchdown passes in the 2026-23 season, while Allen has had 10.

Despite the close statistics, the Bengals have an advantage in this pick due to their home field advantage. The Cincinnati defense has been strong at home, allowing only 1.2 passing touchdowns per game in the 2026-23 season, compared to the Bills who allow 1.4 per game on the road. Burrow has been impressive at home, throwing 12 touchdown passes in six games without being shut out. Meanwhile, Allen has thrown 15 touchdown passes in eight road games, only being shut out once. While the numbers are similar, the slight edge goes to Burrow playing at home.

Allen and Burrow Over 1.5 interceptions (+120) ⭐⭐⭐

Both quarterbacks had two interceptions in Week 16. Burrow has thrown an interception in each of his last three games and will now go up against a defense that has forced interceptions in more than half of the Bills’ games this season. The Bills are averaging 0.9 interceptions per game.

The Bengals are averaging 0.7 interceptions per game, ranking 19th in the league. Despite this, Allen has had trouble protecting the ball in tight contests, throwing four interceptions during the Bills’ recent losses to the New York Jets and Minnesota Vikings. In games decided by three points or fewer, Allen has thrown interceptions in four out of six matchups.

It would be unexpected to see the Bills dominate the Bengals. The Bengals will have many chances to make an interception, and the Bills’ defense is ready to capitalize on at least one.

Allen-Burrow’s player prop selections were made on January 2, 2026 at 8:11 a.m. Eastern Time.

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Written By:
Green Finnian
Phil is a Sports Betting Analyst for Underscoreg Review and BettingPros.com, specializing in NFL and college football. He previously covered college football and college basketball for CanesInsight.com, where he also hosted the College Football Pick ‘Em podcast. Phil is always looking for value, especially on lines that just seem too good to be true. His belief is if a line doesn’t make sense, just assume that Vegas knows something you don’t. An alumnus of The U, Phil always holds out hope that the next head coach will be the one who turns the football program around. Some would call him a frontrunner for his love of the Yankees and the Celtics, but he’s also a diehard Detroit Lions fan and will never forgive the refs for the blown pass interference call against the Cowboys in 2015.