Falcons vs. Lions Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 3: Robinson Set for Career Game
As the Atlanta Falcons head to Ford Field to take on the Detroit Lions, we are focusing on our top predictions for the Falcons vs. Lions game using the NFL odds provided on our top sports betting apps.
After a thrilling Week 1 victory over the Kansas City Chiefs, the Detroit Lions suffered a disappointing home defeat to the Seattle Seahawks. Geno Smith threw for 328 yards against Detroit, leading the Seahawks to score 37 points.
The Atlanta Falcons improved to a 2-0 record with a narrow victory against the Green Bay Packers. Despite not having a flashy passing game, the Falcons have dominated defenses, averaging 170.5 yards per game. Head coach Arthur Smith has been gaining momentum in the Coach of the Year rankings since the summer.
Below is our top prediction for the Falcons vs. Lions game, along with our NFL picks (odds sourced from our preferred NFL betting sites; confidence level rated on a 1-5 star scale).
Falcons vs. Lions prediction
Bijan Robinson Over 24.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Garner-Johnson and running back David Montgomery will be absent this week, and Amon-Ra St. Brown is struggling with a toe injury, making it difficult to have faith in the Lions. On the other hand, the Falcons’ offense may struggle to capitalize on the Lions’ defensive woes. While the Lions’ defense has performed well statistically, they have yet to face a formidable offense.
If there isn’t a clear choice on the spread or total, our focus should be on Bijan Robinson. The Lions have a strong rush defense, limiting opponents to just 86 yards per game. Although the Falcons are adept at gaining yards on the ground, they may need to adjust their game plan to keep pace with the Lions’ high-scoring offense.
This is why we are steering clear of Robinson’s rushing statistics and focusing on his receiving yards instead. Robinson has caught 10 passes from Desmond Ridder out of his 34 completions so far this season. He recorded 48 yards in Week 2 and 27 yards in Week 1.
The Lions’ aggressive defensive line pressures quarterbacks to release the ball quickly. In Week 2, Smith effectively took advantage of this strategy, even though his passes were not directed towards his running backs. In the previous week, Isaiah Pacheco caught four passes for 31 yards.
Ridder enjoys passing the ball to his running backs, and in this game, Robinson has the potential to achieve personal bests in both receiving yards and receptions.
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Falcons vs. Lions best odds
bet365 (-110)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
| Over 24.5 | N/A | Over 24.5 | Over 24.5 | Over 24.5 |
| -115 | N/A | -115 | -115 | -110 |
Among the top sports betting apps, only FanDuel does not have a line listed for Robinson. Bet365 stands out by offering a price of -110, which is better than the -115 offered by other sportsbooks.
Every sportsbook has the total set at 24.5 yards right now, so when FanDuel releases their line, it will likely be the same. It’s best not to wait for this.
Place your bet at bet365 for the most competitive price.
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Falcons vs. Lions odds
Falcons vs. Lions odds analysis
The Lions began as 4.5-point favorites, but due to numerous injuries last week, the spread has decreased to as low as 3 at top sports betting sites. Despite this, 70% of bets are supporting the Lions to cover. It remains to be seen if oddsmakers will stick with their initial predictions or adjust the spread to account for the absent players.
The total opened at 46.5 and has remained unchanged despite 76% of bettors favoring the Over. Previous games involving these teams have shown final scores that do not accurately reflect the gameplay. Considering this, we believe the total could decrease, despite the strong backing for the Over.
Falcons vs. Lions game info
- When: Sunday, Sept. 24, 1 p.m. ET
- Where: Ford Field, Detroit, MI
- How to watch: FOX
- Weather: Indoors
Prediction for Falcons vs. Lions game on 9/21/2026 at 1:22 p.m. ET
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