Broncos vs. Dolphins Predictions, Picks & Odds Week 3: Broncos Could Surprise the Injury-Riddled Dolphins
The Miami Dolphins will face off against the Denver Broncos in their first home game of the season at Hard Rock Stadium. Here are our top predictions for the Broncos-Dolphins matchup based on the latest NFL odds from our top sports betting apps.
The Miami Dolphins have secured two significant away victories in the AFC at the beginning of the season, and they are now aiming to achieve a 3-0 record by defeating the Denver Broncos at home. The Dolphins’ offense is averaging 465 yards and 30 points per game, and quarterback Tua Tagovailoa is currently leading the NFL MVP odds.
In Year 2 of the Russell Wilson experiment in Denver, the results are starting to resemble those of the first year. However, the Broncos managed to score 33 points in Week 2, their highest total since Wilson’s arrival.
Below is our top prediction for the Broncos-Dolphins game and our picks for other NFL matchups. Odds were obtained from our preferred NFL betting sites and confidence in each pick is rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.
Broncos vs. Dolphins prediction
Broncos +6.5 (-108 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This prediction for Week 3 in the NFL is one of the shadiest we’ve seen all week.
The Dolphins offense has been outstanding in the first two weeks of the season, leading the team to victory in two challenging road games. The defense has also stepped up and made crucial stops to give Miami a chance to win in the closing moments. Despite their strong performance, the Dolphins are only favored by 6.5 points at home against the winless Broncos.
As you delve further into the analysis, it becomes evident that choosing the Broncos as the better option is the right decision. The Dolphins are facing injuries, with key players like Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle being questionable for the upcoming game. While Hill is expected to play, Waddle’s status remains uncertain. Together, they have accounted for a significant portion of Tua Tagovailoa’s passing yards this season. If either one is unable to play, it would greatly impact the team’s offense. If both are sidelined, the Dolphins could be in serious trouble.
There is an 80% chance of rain and thunderstorms on Sunday, which may impact the game. The Dolphins may lose some of their speed and agility on a wet field.
In 11 out of the 14 losses the Broncos have faced since Wilson joined the team, the margin of defeat has been seven points or fewer. Due to the Dolphins’ injuries and weak defense, the Broncos are expected to remain competitive until the very end of the game. Despite the Dolphins’ strong performance, both of their previous games have been close contests decided by a single score.
Kelly Gage, a member of our team, is supporting the Broncos in his Week 3 NFL upset picks.
Editor’s note: Jaylen Waddle, Miami wide receiver, will not be playing in Sunday’s game against Denver due to a concussion, according to NFL Network’s Ian Rapoport.
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Broncos vs. Dolphins best odds
DraftKings (-108)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
| +6.5 | +6.5 | +6.5 | +6.5 | +6.5 |
| -108 | -110 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
Out of our top five sportsbooks, four have the same spread at the same price. While the variation is minimal, DraftKings is offering a slightly better price compared to the other top sports betting sites.
We believe the line will not continue to favor the Broncos. If you want to wait and potentially get a better price, feel free to do so.
Broncos vs. Dolphins odds
Broncos vs. Dolphins odds analysis
The Dolphins were originally favored by 7 points, but the line has since decreased to 6.5 on all of our top live betting platforms. Despite 58% of bets supporting the Dolphins, oddsmakers have adjusted the spread in favor of the Broncos. It is possible that the line may return to the key number before the game starts, but currently, oddsmakers appear content to let bettors take the bait.
The total number opened at 48 and has since remained at 47.5 or dropped at each of the five major sportsbooks. Despite 53% of wagers backing the Over, the number could continue to decrease due to the Dolphins’ struggling offense.
Broncos vs. Dolphins game info
- When: Sunday, Sept. 24 at 1 p.m. ET
- Where: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL
- How to watch: CBS
- Weather: 85 degrees, 7-mph winds, 80% chance of precipitation
Prediction for Broncos vs. Dolphins game on September 21, 2026, at 3:54 p.m. ET.
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