Dak Prescott NFL Player Props, Odds for Thanksgiving: Predictions for Commanders vs. Cowboys
We’ve got you covered with our top Dak Prescott NFL player prop predictions for the Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys matchup in the NFL’s Thanksgiving Day tripleheader. Check out the best NFL odds for this game.
During Thursday’s Thanksgiving game, Dak Prescott, who is ranked ninth in the NFL for passing yards and tied for third in passing touchdowns, has thrown for over 300 yards in three out of his last four games. Furthermore, he has thrown at least two touchdown passes in his last four games in a row.
On Thanksgiving, he faces the third-worst pass defense in football, as the Commanders also give up the most points per game in the league at an average of 27.7.
Explore our NFL Thanksgiving and Commanders vs. Cowboys game predictions, as well as our top Dak Prescott player prop bets for the Thanksgiving matchup. Odds are provided by reputable NFL betting sites, with pick confidence rated on a 1-to-5-star scale.
Dak Prescott NFL player prop predictions for Thanksgiving
- Dak Prescott Over 275.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Dak Prescott Under 35.5 pass attempts (-106 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Dak Prescott 3+ passing touchdowns (+210 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
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Dak Prescott player props
Dak Prescott Over 275.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Prescott’s performance last week was a testament to the Cowboys’ ability to dominate their opponents even when he doesn’t have a standout game. Despite only throwing for 189 yards and his lowest yards per completion total of the season, the Cowboys still managed to win by 23 points.
However, prior to that performance, Prescott had achieved three consecutive games with 300 or more passing yards. In addition, he had thrown for at least 250 yards in all but one game where the Cowboys won by a margin of at least 20 points.
The Commanders were dominated by Tommy DeVito and the New York Giants last week. Even in the event that the Cowboys win by 20 or more points, Prescott is expected to surpass 200 yards by halftime and continue to perform well in the second half.
Out of our top sports betting apps, only FanDuel has a number listed lower than 278.5. With a price just slightly worse than the -110 offered by bet365 for 278.5, we suggest placing your bets at FanDuel.
In addition to other wagers, we also cover this topic in our Commanders vs. Cowboys NFL player props.
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Dak Prescott Under 35.5 pass attempts (-106 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
Prescott doesn’t have to throw a lot of passes to reach 300 yards in this game. In two out of the three games where he exceeded 300 yards this season, he threw fewer than 36 passes. On average, he attempts 33.8 passes per game, with three games having 30 or fewer passing attempts.
The Commanders have been giving up an average of 11.5 yards per completion this season. In their last game, they allowed 11.2 yards per completion to DeVito and the struggling Giants offense. With a weak pass rush, the Commanders are unlikely to pressure Prescott, allowing him to make big plays throughout the game. The Cowboys are expected to dominate this matchup, so Prescott may not need to throw as much, keeping his completion yardage under the average.
Before placing your bets, be sure to compare prices at our top sports betting sites. While the over/under number is consistent at 35.5 across all sportsbooks, the price for the under bet can vary significantly. DraftKings and BetMGM are offering odds of -130 for the under, while bet365 is offering -125. Caesars has odds of -109, but currently, FanDuel is offering the best price. Make sure to do your research and shop around to find the best value for your bets.
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Dak Prescott 3+ passing touchdowns (+210 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
The Commanders defense has been giving up an average of 2.7 touchdowns per game, with 2.2 of them coming from passing plays. It’s worth noting that these numbers account for every game played with Montez Sweat and Chase Young in the lineup. However, in their last two games without these key players, the Commanders have allowed five passing touchdowns.
Prescott has been on fire lately, throwing three or more touchdown passes in three of his last four games. This is a huge improvement from his first six games where he only managed two or fewer touchdowns. The Cowboys have been putting up big points as well, scoring at least 33 in three of their last four games. With this in mind, it’s likely they will score over 30 against the Commanders. The only thing that might prevent Prescott from hitting this milestone is if the Cowboys start using Tony Pollard more near the goal line. However, even if Pollard scores once, Prescott is still on track to meet his goal as the Cowboys have been averaging over three passing touchdowns in their recent games.
The cost of Prescott throwing two touchdowns is high at our top sportsbooks. The best deal currently available is -190. We suggest taking advantage of this alternative line at a great price in a game where the Cowboys are expected to score many points. bet365 has the best offer at the moment, while FanDuel is not far behind at +205.
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Player prop picks for Dak Prescott were made on November 22, 2026 at 12:48 p.m. Eastern Time.
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