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Rams vs. Bengals 2026 Super Bowl Picks: All Picks You Need for the Big Game

Lopez Julia

Updated as of February 13, 2026 at 11:54 AM EST. Read time: 10 minutes and 57 seconds. Find more information on Twitter and Google News.

Cooper Kupp of the Los Angeles Rams catches a touchdown pass against the San Francisco 49ers.
Cooper Kupp of the Los Angeles Rams catches a touchdown pass against the San Francisco 49ers. Harry How/Getty Images/AFP

The Los Angeles Rams have no choice but to win the Super Bowl in their own stadium, while the Cincinnati Bengals are playing with nothing to lose, despite QB Joe Burrow’s perspective. See who we are favoring in our Rams vs Bengals predictions for the 2026 Super Bowl.

The Rams possess the stadium, quarterback Matthew Stafford, and receiver Cooper Kupp, the AP Offensive Player of the Year. As they head into Sunday’s Super Bowl, it seems like they have everything they need. The time to take advantage of this momentum is quickly approaching. Are the Rams prepared for what lies ahead?

Have you reconsidered labeling Burrow and the Bengals as underdogs? The Bengals quarterback expressed his frustration with the underdog narrative after his team’s upset victory over the top-seeded Tennessee Titans in the Divisional Round.

Check out: Super Bowl promotions from leading underscoregs.

The Kansas City Chiefs learned their lesson the hard way, and now the Rams are determined to not make the same mistake against the determined Cincinnati team that has been underestimated throughout the NFL Playoffs.

Below are my predictions for the 2026 Super Bowl matchup between the Rams and Bengals, including my picks and confidence levels based on a 1 to 5 star scale (odds sourced from DraftKings unless otherwise stated).

Check out the 2026 Super Bowl Betting Guide for more information.

Rams vs. Bengals Game Info

The event is scheduled for Sunday, February 13 at 6:30 p.m. ET and will be televised on NBC. It will take place at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, CA, with the weather being indoors.

Rams vs. Bengals Odds Analysis

The Rams were initially favored by 4 points in the Super Bowl at major U.S. sportsbooks. The line has since fluctuated between -4 and -4.5 over the past two weeks, but as of Friday, Feb. 11, most places have settled back to the original -4, including DraftKings and FanDuel. However, Caesars dropped the line to 3.5 on Thursday.

At the start, the Bengals were the popular choice for ticket buyers, but the Rams took the lead in money wagered. Despite early betting favoring the Rams from sharp bettors, the Bengals have gained more attention in the second week. Cincinnati now has the majority of the money at 56% with a ticket count advantage of 63%.

One major factor driving the trend towards Cincinnati is the consistent influx of money from customers whenever the Bengals are given a +4.5 point spread in betting lines. In this scenario, the Bengals have attracted 65% of the total cash and 67% of the tickets, indicating strong support for the underdog team.

The total opened at 49, dropped to 48, then rose to 48.5 at most books. It has stayed at 48.5 for several days, with both DraftKings and FanDuel offering -110 odds on either side of the total. The Over has seen an increase in bets as game day approaches, with 64% of tickets and 59% of cash placed on the Over.

Check out the Super Bowl Market Report for more information.

Rams Betting Preview

Summary: With a record of 15-5 straight up, 10-10 against the spread, and 10-9-1 over/under, key players for this team include WR Cooper Kupp, QB Matthew Stafford, DT Aaron Donald, and CB Jalen Ramsey. A notable trend is that they are 7-10 against the spread when favored this season.

The Rams successfully mortgaged NFL draft capital to go all-in for a Super Bowl played in their own stadium. Los Angeles traded for star players and signed receiver Odell Beckham Jr. despite concerns about his attitude, but he has seamlessly integrated into the offense.

Stafford finally found his ideal partner in McVay after years of hard work in Detroit. The Rams are now the frontrunners to win the Super Bowl in Stafford’s debut season with the team. With a strong three-headed backfield featuring Akers, Michel, and Henderson Jr., the Rams are on the brink of seeing their bold roster moves pay off in a big way.

Bengals Betting Preview

Summary: With a record of 13-7 straight up and against the spread, and 8-12 over/under, key players like QB Joe Burrow, WR Ja’Marr Chase, RB Joe Mixon, DE Trey Hendrickson, and LB Logan Wilson have contributed to the team’s success. A notable trend for the team is their 6-1 ATS record as road underdogs this season, winning five of those games outright.

Burrow is determined to shed the underdog label from the Bengals, yet heading into the clash with the Rams, that’s exactly how Cincy is perceived. However, with just one more win in these unlikely circumstances, Burrow will only be known as a Super Bowl Champion.

Even though the Bengals will technically be the home team in the Super Bowl, their performance on the road this season is still a significant factor to consider. It’s strange to think of the home team as being like the road team in this situation.

At this point, the Bengals have demonstrated that they are unfazed by the location of a game or by halftime deficits. Rookie kicker Evan McPherson has been flawless, making all 12 of his postseason kicks, with two of them being game-winning field goals in the last two weeks.

Cincinnati’s offensive line is the main concern, consistently putting Burrow at risk during the playoffs. Despite numerous flaws and inconsistencies, the Bengals have remained composed and are now on the verge of reaching the Super Bowl, a feat that seemed unlikely earlier in the season.

Rams vs. Bengals Picks

Rams are favored by 4 points with an over/under of 48.5 points. The Rams moneyline is -198 on FanDuel. Cooper Kupp is +500 to score the first touchdown and +600 to win Super Bowl MVP. A same-game parlay of Rams moneyline, Joe Burrow with 225+ passing yards, Matt Stafford with 250+ passing yards, Odell Beckham with 50+ receiving yards, Kupp with over 90+ receiving yards, and Kupp to score a touchdown anytime is +535 on FanDuel.

Explore our list of highly-rated sportsbooks here

Check out: Rams vs. Bengals Player Props

Rams vs. Bengals Predictions

Rams -4 (-110)

Throughout the week, the Rams’ point spread has been wavering between -4 and -4.5 at major U.S. sportsbooks. As of Friday morning, both DraftKings and FanDuel are listing the Rams at -4, with slightly better odds of -112 on FanDuel. Personally, I prefer the Rams at -4 rather than -4.5, so if you’re concerned about the line potentially moving back up, now might be a good time to place your bet on the Rams for the Super Bowl. However, it’s important to note that this pick is not a guaranteed win.

Although Los Angeles seemed like the more likely team to reach this point, the Rams have not been dominant this season. They have struggled to cover the spread, posting a 10-10 record.

I am hesitant to make this a high-confidence pick because it feels like another field-goal game, similar to the Rams’ previous playoff wins. However, I am still leaning towards the road team, playing in their home stadium, for two main reasons: Cooper Kupp and Aaron Donald.

Kupp and Donald drive Rams to victory

Kupp is the driving force behind the Rams’ offense, consistently outwitting defenses and forming a strong connection with Stafford. His ability to turn the tide of a game in an instant makes him a constant threat, even when the team is struggling. All it takes is one mistake by the defense for Kupp to make a game-changing play. The chemistry between Kupp and Stafford shows no signs of slowing down.

Donald is the only player on the Rams’ team who has the potential to influence the game more than Kupp. The Bengals have struggled with their offensive line, which surprises me that they have made it this far. Despite having many talented players, Cincinnati may be a year ahead of their Super Bowl window as they are consistently outmatched in the trenches.

There is no way Burrow will be able to pull off a victory with Donald constantly pressuring him. Burrow’s impressive escape from Chiefs’ lineman Chris Jones in the fourth quarter was a defining moment in Cincinnati’s AFC Championship triumph. Donald won’t let Burrow or the Super Bowl slip away like Jones did.

Check out: Kupp Super Bowl Prop Bets

Over 48.5 (-110)

The Bengals have won three playoff games, all of which have gone under the total points line. Cincinnati’s defense has been surprisingly successful at bending but not breaking, giving up yards but not allowing opponents to score easily.

The theory will be tested against the Rams, who have a high-scoring offense. I believe the Rams have a good chance of reaching 30 points in this game. To defeat the Bengals, it is important to maintain offensive pressure even when ahead. The Chiefs failed to do so, but the Rams should know better than to relax with a lead in the second half.

If they don’t, I find it difficult to believe that the Bengals’ explosive weapons would not be able to score some points of their own based on that scenario. Possible outcomes for this game could be scores of 27-23, 30-23, or 31-20, in my opinion.

Even though the Over has been the popular choice so far, with 59% of bets favoring that side, I still believe there is value in the current line of 48.5. The line has been fluctuating between 48 and 49 points since it opened last Sunday. If it starts inching closer to 50, I may be less inclined to bet on it as the game day approaches. While being under the 49 mark may not make a significant difference in many potential final scores, it’s still favorable to predict a score like 28-21 with this Rams-Bengals matchup.

Rams ML (-190)

I believe the Rams are a strong two-star bet against the spread in the Super Bowl against the Bengals. Additionally, I want to emphasize my confidence in Los Angeles when it comes to the moneyline.

Burrow is an impressive player and the Bengals have a lot of talent. However, they may be a year ahead of schedule and still need to work on improving their offensive line. The hope was to gain some playoff experience, potentially win a home game, and then gracefully exit to make way for more experienced teams.

Check out: Tips for Winning Your Super Bowl Prop Pool

They were not expected to make it to the Super Bowl this year, but it seems like they did not receive the memo. Despite being considered the third or fourth best team in their conference, they will be heading to SoFi Stadium to represent the AFC.

The Rams have been meticulously crafted and prepared for this moment, sacrificing first-round draft picks for the past five years to secure the opportunity to play a Super Bowl in their new home stadium. As a former diehard Rams fan from St. Louis, it is hard for me to see a scenario where the Bengals’ Cinderella story doesn’t come to an end against the Rams’ formidable defense.

I will definitely not be turning off the television before Stan Kroenke raises the Lombardi trophy – count me out for that!

Kupp first TD (+500)

This bet was a winner at odds of +550 for the NFC Championship, and I believe it is just as strong for the Super Bowl with our Rams vs Bengals picks.

The Rams heavily rely on Kupp for their offensive plays, especially in scoring range. He is often the primary target for touchdowns or serves as a distraction for other players to score. Despite the decreased odds after Kupp’s early success in the NFC Championship game, betting on him as the Rams’ top offensive weapon seems like a smart choice for a game they are expected to win.

Check out: Cooper Kupp Super Bowl Prop Bets

Kupp has caught a touchdown in every game since December 5th, except for one. It would be fitting for him to cap off his incredible season by catching a touchdown to kick off the Super Bowl.

Same-game parlay: Rams ML, Burrow 225+ yards, Stafford 250+ yards, Beckham 50+ yards, Kupp 90+ yards, Kupp anytime TD (+535)

I predict the Rams will win this game due to their dominant defensive front putting pressure on Burrow. However, Burrow’s impressive plays will show why he has a promising future in the league. He should have no trouble surpassing the low-yardage total, as he has only failed to reach 230 passing yards in one game since December.

The same mentality applies to Stafford, who threw for 337 yards in the NFC Championship game. Despite struggling in the second half of the AFC title game, Mahomes still put up 275 passing yards against the Bengals last week. His lower yardage total was more a result of his own mistakes in that game rather than any particular successes for Cincinnati’s defense.

Check out these additional Super Bowl 56 Prop Bets

Both Beckham and Kupp exceeded 100 yards in the victory against the 49ers. Their low yardage totals should not be a concern in this upcoming game, as the Rams are likely to have success passing against the Bengals defense. Only six NFL teams gave up more passing yards than Cincinnati this season. Beckham and Kupp are expected to have successful performances. Betting on Kupp to perform well is practically a sure thing at this point.

To increase your potential winnings with our Rams-Bengals same-game parlay selections, consider adding Tee Higgins scoring a touchdown at any time to the existing parlay for odds of +1100. While Higgins has been inconsistent for Cincinnati, he has become more of a threat as defenses focus on containing Chase. Originally, I recommended placing this parlay at DraftKings, but the better value can now be found at FanDuel.

Rams-Bengals Picks: Super Bowl MVP Bet

Kupp Super Bowl MVP (+600)

Stafford winning his first Super Bowl after 13 years in the league without receiving the MVP award would be highly unlikely. This is why the quarterback of the favored team is currently the top candidate for the award according to the odds. However, if Stafford’s success in the game is largely due to his favorite target, could it be Kupp who ultimately receives the MVP honors?

Check out: Predictions for the 2026 Super Bowl MVP

Donald is a dark horse MVP candidate known for his defensive impact on the game. As a long-time fan of Donald since his days in St. Louis, it would be bittersweet to see him lead Los Angeles to their first Super Bowl victory. However, for a defensive tackle to be in the running for MVP, he would need to deliver an exceptional performance, surpassing even his own impressive standards.

Kupp’s consistent and impressive performance each week might be all he needs to garner MVP consideration. A prime example is Julian Edelman, who won a Super Bowl MVP with 10 catches and 141 yards without scoring a touchdown. Kupp has been on fire in his last two playoff games, with 20 catches, 325 yards, and three touchdowns.

I mean… If he does that in the Super Bowl, that’s definitely MVP-worthy, don’t you think?

RELATED: Bettors are showing their love for overs on Kupp

If Stafford’s value is determined by his statistics, it’s likely due to Kupp’s influence. While politics may affect the outcome, I’m taking a chance on the Rams’ top offensive weapon at +600 in our Super Bowl picks between the Rams and Bengals.

Where to Bet on Super Bowl Picks

These are our highest-rated sportsbooks for placing bets on the 2026 Super Bowl:

FanDuel UnderscoregCaesarsDraftKings UnderscoregPointsbetBetMGM

Check out UnderscoregReview.com’s community forums and betting tools for additional picks and odds.

Picks for Rams vs. Bengals game were made on 2/11/2026 at 2:50 a.m. ET.

Written By:
Lopez Julia
Since graduating from the University of Missouri in 2016, Lopez Julia has covered the St. Louis Cardinals and Blues hockey as a writer for KMOV in St. Louis. He also co-hosts ‘The Big Show’ on KTGR radio in Columbia, Missouri. The show airs in afternoon drive, weekdays from 4-6 p.m. Brenden has contributed to SBR since 2021, providing insights on NFL, NCAAF, NCAAB, and the NBA. You can download his daily baseball podcast, B-Schaeff Daily, on Spotify or Apple podcasts, and you can find Brenden across social media @bschaeffer12.