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Travis Kelce #87 of the Kansas City Chiefs signals for a first down as we look at our best Travis Kelce NFL player props
Travis Kelce #87 of the Kansas City Chiefs signals for a first down during the third quarter against the Minnesota Vikings at U.S. Bank Stadium on October 08, 2023 in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Photo by David Berding/Getty Images via AFP.

Once again, the spotlight is on the Kansas City Chiefs this Thursday as Travis Kelce’s NFL player prop predictions, backed by the top NFL odds, provide even more incentive to tune in.

The Kansas City Chiefs are back in the primetime spotlight as they face off against their AFC West rivals. Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce is generating even more buzz than usual, with attention from Aaron Rodgers and Taylor Swift adding to the hype.

Kelce has accumulated 101 receptions for 1,290 yards and 6 touchdowns in his 17 matchups against the Denver Broncos. Despite suffering an ankle sprain last week, he is anticipated to take the field for Thursday Night Football.

Here are our top predictions for Travis Kelce player props in the Broncos vs. Chiefs matchup, along with our player prop picks for the game (odds sourced from top NFL betting sites and confidence level rated on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Travis Kelce NFL player prop predictions for Week 6

Travis Kelce player props

Travis Kelce Over 6.5 receptions (+110 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Kelce continues to lead the team with 37 targets, even while dealing with injuries. His 27 receptions also top all Kansas City pass catchers. This season, he has exceeded this number twice, most recently with 10 catches against the Minnesota Vikings. Kelce has caught at least seven passes in seven career games against the Broncos, including their last meeting at the end of last season.

The Broncos defense has proven to be strong against opposing tight ends this season, allowing an average of only 5.2 receptions per game to the position. Cole Kmet is the only tight end to exceed this mark, catching seven passes in their game. The Washington Commanders and New York Jets also had seven combined receptions from their tight ends when facing the Broncos.

Nevertheless, Evans Santiago is considering one of Kelce’s substitutes for his predictions on anytime and first touchdown scorers for TNF.

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Travis Kelce longest reception Under 19.5 yards (-105 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Kelce has only recorded one reception of 20 yards or more in his four games this season. He is currently averaging just 8.2 yards per catch, which is below his career average of 12.6 yards per reception.

Kelce caught passes in 10 games last season, surpassing this total. However, if he is still affected by his recent injury, his ability to gain yards after the catch may be limited, making it challenging to reach 20 yards.

Denver has consistently allowed tight ends to make long receptions of at least 20 yards against all but one team this season. Therefore, Kansas City may want to limit Kelce’s downfield opportunities in this game to prevent any potential injuries.

Phil Wood’s props for the NFL player Patrick Mahomes on Thursday Night Football were also related to this aspect.

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Travis Kelce first reception Over 9.5 yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Even though Kelce’s yards per play haven’t been significant this season, he has managed to start three out of four games with a catch of at least 10 yards. Last week was the first time this year that he didn’t reach this mark on his first catch. Kelce has also finished two games this season with an average of more than 10 yards per catch.

Opposing tight ends are averaging 12.15 yards per reception against the Broncos. In four out of five games this season, Denver has allowed at least one tight end to gain 10 yards on their first catch, with two of those receptions being the only catch of the game.

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Travis Kelce’s player prop selections were made on October 12, 2023, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time.

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