Cowboys vs. Chargers Prediction, Picks & Odds Week 6: Expect Fireworks on Monday Night Football
Our top prediction for the Dallas Cowboys vs. Los Angeles Chargers game on Monday Night Football is that Dallas will bounce back and secure a win. We are looking to take advantage of the best NFL odds available on our top sports betting apps.
The Dallas Cowboys suffered their most lopsided defeat since 2013 in a 42-10 loss to the San Francisco 49ers on Sunday Night Football. Their struggles continued as they had a minus-three turnover margin in the game, leading to their second loss of the season in which they lost the turnover battle.
After defeating the Las Vegas Raiders 24-17 in Week 4 on the road, the Los Angeles Chargers are looking to capitalize on their bye week and the extra rest it provides. Each of the Chargers’ four games this season have been close, with all being decided by seven or fewer points. Running back Austin Ekeler is set to make his return after recovering from a high-ankle sprain suffered in Week 1, which should significantly bolster the team’s backfield.
Here is our top prediction for the Cowboys vs. Chargers Monday Night Football game, featuring player props for Dak Prescott vs. Justin Herbert. Be sure to check out our NFL player props for the Cowboys-Chargers matchup, with odds from our recommended NFL betting sites and pick confidence rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars.
Cowboys vs. Chargers prediction: Monday Night Football
Cowboys ML (-130 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
The Cowboys have fallen out of the top four in ESPN analytics’ NFC win probability rankings, and it’s not hard to see why. Dallas has consistently shown that they are not on the same level as teams like San Francisco, as demonstrated by their Week 5 defeat and consecutive playoff exits at the hands of conference opponents.
Nonetheless, quarterback Dak Prescott has shown success against non-elite teams in the NFL, making Dallas a strong team overall.
In games against first-place teams, Prescott has a career record of 8-13 with a .381 winning percentage, a 1.2 TD-INT ratio, and Dallas averages 21.5 points per game. On the other hand, when facing teams in second to fourth place in their divisions, Prescott boasts a 56-25 record as a starter with a .691 winning percentage, a 3.2 TD-INT ratio, and leads the Cowboys to 27.9 points per game.
SoFi Stadium may not present the toughest road environment in the league, as Chargers fans are frequently outnumbered by visiting fans. The Cowboys have had great success playing on turf, boasting a 14-1 record since last season (including playoffs), compared to their 2-7 record on grass.
Dallas had only eight first downs against San Francisco, which tied for the fourth-lowest in franchise history. However, the 49ers’ defense is on a completely different level compared to the Chargers’.
Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert had his worst game in terms of passing yards (167) and completion percentage (54.2%) since 2021 against a Raiders team that is not known for its defense. While there is a chance that the team will have running back Ekeler back, it is unrealistic to expect him to perform at the same level as last season when he had over 1,500 scrimmage yards, especially since this will be his first game back since Week 1.
Lopez Julia is aiming for a high-scoring game with his Cowboys vs. Chargers parlay for Monday Night Football.
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Cowboys vs. Chargers best odds
bet365 (-130)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cowboys ML | Cowboys ML | Cowboys ML | Cowboys ML | Cowboys ML |
| -130 | -132 | -130 | -130 | -130 |
Supporters of the Cowboys moneyline have a variety of sports betting apps to choose from, with FanDuel being the only one offering a different price of -130 compared to its competitors.
There is a strong case for taking Dallas with a low -2 spread at -110 odds for financial reasons. However, the Chargers consistently play close games, so to avoid the risk of losing our bet if Dallas wins by one point or pushing if they win by two points, we should consider other options.
Cowboys vs. Chargers odds for Monday Night Football
Cowboys vs. Chargers odds analysis
FanDuel is the sole sportsbook offering the Cowboys at -2.5, while all other competitors are at -2. DraftKings, Caesars, and bet365 briefly had the spread at -2.5 on Monday afternoon/night, but it was pushed back down after Chargers fans placed their bets.
Therefore, based on the movement of the line, it seems unlikely that the spread will ever reach -3 before the game starts. Dallas has a 4-1 record against the spread in its last five Monday Night Football games.
Caesars and bet365 have a total of 51, while all other sportsbooks offer an O/U of 50.5. FanDuel and Caesars reached a high of 51.5 on Tuesday, but Under backers pushed the total back down.
Despite four of Dallas’s last five games in California staying Under the projected total, sixty-two percent of the early wagers have backed the Over.
Monday Night Football game info
- When: Monday, Oct. 16 at 8:15 p.m. ET
- Where: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood, CA
- How to watch: ABC/ESPN
- Weather: Indoors
Prediction for Cowboys vs Chargers on 10/11/2023 at 4:11 p.m. ET.
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