Georgia vs. Alabama Prediction, Pick & Odds: SEC Championship
The upcoming SEC Championship game between Georgia and Alabama will showcase a rivalry between long-standing opponents. Stay informed with our top prediction for the game, using the most accurate college football odds from our recommended betting sites.
Georgia, the defending champion with a perfect 12-0 record in the SEC, made history in the last week of the college football regular season by defeating Georgia Tech 31-23, extending their winning streak to 29 games.
Alabama (11-1, 8-0 SEC) faces a formidable obstacle in their quest for a third consecutive national title. Their victory over Auburn, secured by a miraculous 4th-and-31 conversion, kept their College Football Playoff hopes alive. Despite this win, FanDuel gives them +265 odds to make the playoffs, putting them on the outside looking in.
In addition to our expert picks for college football and player props, we are excited to share our top prediction for the Georgia vs. Alabama game, along with player props for the matchup. Our confidence in these picks is rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars, with odds from the best college football betting sites.
Georgia vs. Alabama prediction: SEC Championship
Over 55.5 (-110 via Caesars, bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
In the last five meetings between Georgia and Alabama, the only game that ended with a total score lower than expected was the 2022 national championship game. In that match, the Bulldogs defeated the Crimson Tide 33-18, surpassing the projected total of 53.5 points.
On the other hand, Georgia’s offense has become more dynamic with Carson Beck leading the way instead of Stetson Bennett. Head coach Kirby Smart has skillfully adjusted the team’s offensive strategy to better utilize its strengths. Consequently, the Bulldogs have shifted away from their traditional ground-and-pound style that won them back-to-back national championships and now rely more heavily on passing the ball.
Terms and conditions apply.
Bulldogs quarterback Carson Beck had consistently thrown more than 25 passes in every game this season until last week’s matchup against Georgia Tech. The Bulldogs opted to run the ball 36 times, marking their sixth game with over 35 rushing attempts this season. However, we view this strategy as a deliberate move by Coach Smart, who is expected to unleash Beck’s passing abilities that have already resulted in over 254 yards in each of the first 11 games this season.
When facing the Crimson Tide, the best strategy is to focus on an aerial attack due to their defensive weaknesses. Despite being ranked ninth in rush defense, Alabama’s defense struggles, ranking 55th in line yards and 16th in pass defense. Their red-zone defense, once strong, has weakened and is now ranked 67th in finishing drives, giving opponents a chance to score within scoring range.
This game features a showdown between two of the top seven quarterbacks (Beck and Jalen Milroe) based on Total QBR this season. Milroe has maintained a QBR of 88.3 or higher in his last four games and has an impressive 8-1 TD-INT ratio. A major factor in his success has been the strong protection from the Crimson Tide offensive line. Despite being sacked 30 times in his first seven starts, Milroe has only been sacked four times in the last four games.
Milroe’s exceptional running ability has saved the offense numerous times when he has faced pressure, with seven rushing touchdowns and two games of over 106 rushing yards in the past four weeks. While Georgia only went up against one of the top 30 rushing quarterbacks in the SEC, Payton Thorne, he still managed to cause problems for the Bulldogs with 92 rushing yards and an average of 7.7 yards per carry.
This play earns four stars, with the Over hitting in five of Georgia’s last six neutral-site games since the beginning of last season. Additionally, the Over is 8-1-1 following an Alabama win this year.
This content is not meant for MAAffiliate Disclosure: Underscoreg Review may earn advertising commissions from visits to a sportsbook.
Head over to our Google News page and hit the “Follow” button (⭐) to stay updated on the newest odds, picks, and news!
Georgia vs. Alabama best odds
Caesars, bet365 (-110)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 56 | Over 56.5 | Over 55.5 | Over 55.5 | Over 55.5 |
| -110 | -105 | -115 | -110 | -110 |
As backers of the Over, we prefer to shop at either Caesars or bet365 because they are the only two top sportsbooks that offer standard -110 juice for betting on the Over of 55.5. Other college football betting sites we use have the total set a full point higher.
Despite a slow start, we anticipate an exciting finish as the Over has hit in 8 of Alabama’s last 9 games against SEC opponents at neutral venues.
Georgia vs. Alabama odds
Georgia vs. Alabama odds analysis
FanDuel opened with the highest total of any sportsbook at 57.5 on Saturday night, but it was quickly adjusted to 55.5. The total has since fluctuated between 55.5 and 56.5. Alabama has hit the Over in nine of their 11 games, while Georgia has a 6-6 Over/Under record.
Only FanDuel and BetMGM are currently offering a spread of Georgia -5.5, with all other competitors at -5. The line movement has been in Georgia’s favor, as BetMGM and Caesars opened at -4.5 and bet365 opened at -4. The Crimson Tide has a better ATS record this season, covering eight of 12 games, compared to the Bulldogs’ 5-7 ATS record.
Georgia vs. Alabama game info
- When: Saturday, Dec. 2 at 4 p.m. ET
- Where: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
- How to watch: CBS
- Weather: Indoors
Prediction for Georgia-Alabama made on November 27, 2023 at 3:57 p.m. Eastern Time.
College football betting odds pages
| CFP National Championship Odds | SEC Odds | Big 12 Odds |
| Heisman Trophy Odds | Big Ten Odds | Pac-12 Odds |
| College Football Playoff Odds | Mountain West Odds | ACC Odds |
Check out our best college football betting sites:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
Participants must be 21 years or older. For help with gambling addiction, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Bonuses are not available in Ontario.
Related pages
Top Sports Betting Sites with the Best Promotions (for U.S. customers only)
Related Articles
