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Travis Kelce of the Kansas City Chiefs carries the ball as we share our favorite Travis Kelce player props.
Travis Kelce of the Kansas City Chiefs carries the ball against the Denver Broncos during the second quarter at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images via AFP.

We are making our top Travis Kelce NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds as the Kansas City Chiefs welcome the Philadelphia Eagles to town.

Although Travis Kelce leads the Kansas City Chiefs in receiving yards this season, he has only had two 100-yard games so far. In his most recent game, he caught just three passes for 14 yards and failed to score a touchdown for the second week in a row.

Kelce has been consistently catching at least six passes in six recent games, but has struggled to surpass 100 yards in those outings. In fact, he has fallen short of reaching even 70 yards in all six games, showing a trend of difficulty in achieving higher yardage totals despite his consistent reception rate.

For the top predictions and player prop bets for the Eagles vs. Chiefs game on Monday Night Football, be sure to review our expert picks on Jalen Hurts, A.J. Brown, and Patrick Mahomes. Don’t forget to also check out our Eagles vs. Chiefs parlay before the game begins.

These are our top NFL player prop predictions for Travis Kelce in the Week 11 matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and Kansas City Chiefs (odds sourced from leading NFL betting sites; confidence level rated on a scale of 1 to 5 stars).

Travis Kelce NFL player prop predictions for Week 11

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Travis Kelce player props

Travis Kelce Over 74.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

The Eagles are giving up an average of almost 49 yards per game to tight ends, which ranks as the 13th worst in the NFL. Despite not having his best season, Kelce remains the top receiver for the Chiefs in catches, receiving yards, and targets. With an expected high passing volume in the upcoming game, Kelce is primed to have a strong performance and post impressive stats.

Kelce’s average of 10.5 yards per completion means he’ll probably need to make seven catches to surpass the Over in this game. He has caught that many passes in four out of his eight games this year. The Eagles have been giving up an average of 257 passing yards per game this season. With no standout receivers on the Chiefs, Kelce is expected to take advantage of the Eagles’ vulnerability tonight.

FanDuel offers this prop at 76.5, but our other top sports betting apps have it at 74.5. It’s a clear choice to place this bet at bet365 for the best price.

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Travis Kelce Over 7.5 receptions (+118 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

Oddsmakers are presenting a challenge with this prop bet. Kelce has been averaging about seven receptions per game, but he has fallen short of seven catches in consecutive games. Despite his recent struggles, many major sportsbooks are still setting the line high for Over 6.5 receptions.

Kelce has caught more than seven passes in only three games this season, which is less than half of his total games. This may raise some concerns about taking his over, but his overall season performance is already included in the price. In games where Patrick Mahomes throws close to 40 times, Kelce has been targeted at least nine times in all but one game.

Caesars is currently offering the best price for this prop, but the difference is minimal. It is important to compare prices from other major sportsbooks, as they all have the prop listed at least at +112. The line may shift slightly, potentially making another sportsbook a more favorable place to bet. Be sure to shop around before placing your wager.

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Travis Kelce most receiving yards (+155 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

It may be tempting to bet on Kelce to score a touchdown, but with his inconsistent performance this season, a price of -120 or lower is not a good value. Instead, we suggest placing a bet on Kelce to have the most receiving yards in the game.

The Eagles boast a strong offense, but the Chiefs’ secondary has been exceptional in containing opposing wide receivers. AJ Brown, who has recorded six 100-yard games, will face a tough challenge as the Chiefs have only permitted two receivers to surpass the 100-yard mark this season.

Kelce is the top target for the Chiefs, and if he performs as expected tonight, he should be able to outshine the Eagles’ defense. Currently, only DraftKings is offering this prop bet. Although you could hold off to see if other platforms offer it later, we believe the current price is worth betting on now.

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Player prop picks for Travis Kelce were made on November 20, 2023 at 9:59 a.m. Eastern Time.

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