C.J. Stroud NFL Player Props, Odds Week 13: Predictions for Broncos vs. Texans
In Week 13, Houston Texans quarterback C.J. Stroud aims to build on his impressive rookie season as he faces the Denver Broncos. Check out our top C.J. Stroud NFL player prop predictions, based on the NFL odds from our top sportsbooks.
C.J. Stroud, the Houston Texans quarterback, has dominated the first 12 weeks of the season, making a strong argument for both the NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year award and the NFL MVP title.
The rookie quarterback will aim to continue his success against the Denver Broncos, who have improved defensively in recent weeks after a rough start to the season. Can the Broncos contain Stroud, or will the rookie quarterback once again shine against their secondary?
A victory for Stroud and the Texans would greatly enhance Houston’s playoff chances and further solidify the rookie’s impressive award-worthy season.
Here are our top C.J. Stroud NFL player prop predictions for the Broncos vs. Texans Week 13 game, in addition to our predictions and player props. Odds are from our top NFL betting sites, with pick confidence rated on a 1-to-5-star scale.
C.J. Stroud NFL player prop predictions for Week 13
- C.J. Stroud longest completion Over 37.5 yards (-115 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
- C.J. Stroud to throw an interception (+120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- C.J. Stroud Over 33.5 passing attempts (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
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C.J. Stroud player props
C.J. Stroud longest completion Over 37.5 yards (-115 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
In his analysis of NFL Week 13 player props and best bets, Allen Byron highlighted the significant improvement in the Broncos’ pass defense in recent weeks. Since their Week 3 loss to the Miami Dolphins, the Broncos have consistently ranked near the top of the league in various defensive metrics.
One ongoing concern is the prevalence of explosive plays.
As of Week 13, Denver is ranked 30th in allowing explosive plays and 18th in allowing explosive pass plays. They are also ranked 25th in opponent yards per attempt, giving up an average of 7.0 yards. The Broncos have the third-worst success rate in the NFL at 43.1%, which has increased to 45.2% since Week 6, despite some other metrics showing improvement.
The Texans’ offense has the second highest rate of explosive pass plays, with Stroud ranking second in yards per attempt (8.4) and yards per completion (13.1). He has completed a pass of 34-plus yards in four consecutive games and seven out of his 11 starts, not counting the impressive moonshot from last week.
The prop total is slightly above that number, but Stroud has exceeded it twice in the past four weeks and has a favorable matchup this week. Anticipate at least one deep pass from the young quarterback this Sunday.
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C.J. Stroud to throw an interception (+120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
This is not so much about Stroud as it is a recognition of the impressive performance of the Denver defense, which has been generating turnovers at an unprecedented pace in the last two months.
In the first five weeks of the season, the Broncos only managed to force a total of five turnovers from their opponents. However, in the following six weeks, they were able to generate 14 takeaways, including an impressive three-week period where they recorded 12 takeaways. This marked the highest number of takeaways by any team in a three-game stretch since 1997.
Denver has been able to force turnovers on an impressive 25% of their opponents’ drives since Week 6, and they have intercepted at least one pass in seven out of the last eight weeks. It is worth mentioning that both Patrick Mahomes and Josh Allen threw multiple interceptions against Denver’s defense during this time period.
Stroud had a near-perfect record in his first eight starts, but has thrown four interceptions in the past three weeks. He now faces one of his toughest challenges yet against a strong and opportunistic defense.
This prop bet is offering favorable odds on our top sports betting apps, with the best price of +120 available on DraftKings. Additionally, you can place bets on Stroud throwing two INTs (+600) or three INTs (+1650) on bet365, both of which are worth a small wager.
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C.J. Stroud Over 33.5 passing attempts (-105 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
This is a simple numbers game focused on Stroud, who has thrown at least 36 passes in his last four games and has surpassed this betting line in seven out of his 11 starts this season.
I’m not sure why this prop bet is so low, considering Stroud has been getting a lot of action in the past month. The Broncos may prefer a ball-control strategy, but they have still faced opponents attempting 35 or more passes in four of the last eight weeks, with the Browns attempting a huge 42 passes just last week.
The Texans ought to focus on running the ball more against a shaky Broncos rush defense. However, it wouldn’t be shocking to see Stroud play a prominent role in a crucial game for Houston’s playoff hopes in the AFC.
The pricing at other top sportsbooks suggests that there is value here as well. The Over is being offered at -125 at DraftKings, -127 at Caesars, and -130 at FanDuel, making the -105 price at BetMGM seem like an exceptional deal.
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C.J. Stroud’s player prop selections were made on December 1, 2023 at 7:45 p.m. Eastern Time.
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