Jets vs. Browns Prediction, Pick & Odds Week 17: Thursday Night Football

Joe Flacco of the Cleveland Browns during warm up before the game against the Los Angeles Rams, and we offer our top Jets vs. Browns prediction based on the best NFL odds. — Joe Flacco of the Cleveland Browns during warm up before the game against the Los Angeles Rams. Photo by Harry How/Getty Images via AFP.

Our top Jets vs. Browns prediction for Week 17’s Thursday Night Football game is based on the best NFL odds as a surging Cleveland team hosts New York.

The New York Jets have experienced a series of disappointments in 2023, starting the season with optimism and a new quarterback but failing to secure consecutive wins since October.

With Aaron Rodgers officially out for the season and Zach Wilson sidelined with a concussion, Trevor Siemian takes over as quarterback for the Jets.

After almost squandering a 20-point lead in their Week 16 victory, New York now faces a tough challenge in Cleveland against a strong defense and a hot quarterback.

The Browns currently hold a one-game lead for the top wild-card spot in the AFC and there is still a possibility for them to overtake the Baltimore Rivans for the AFC North title.

The Cleveland Browns have won 8 out of their last 11 games, going 3-1 since veteran Joe Flacco took over as starting quarterback. A victory on Thursday would secure the Browns a spot in the playoffs.

Here are our top player props for the Jets vs. Browns game, along with our prediction for Thursday Night Football (odds from the top NFL betting sites; confidence rating on a 1-5 star scale).

Jets vs. Browns prediction: Thursday Night Football

Under 36.5 (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Kevin Stefanski, head coach of the Browns, is considered one of the favorites for NFL Coach of the Year due to his leadership in guiding the team to 10 wins with four different starting quarterbacks. Despite Joe Flacco’s impressive average of 326.8 passing yards per game in his four starts, he has struggled with turnovers, throwing at least one interception in each game (seven total).

Flacco will be up against his former team, the Jets, who have the second-best pass defense in the league, allowing only 168.6 yards per game. This could pose a problem for the Browns, as injuries to their offensive line have hurt their running game. Cleveland has only averaged 55 rushing yards per game in their last three games, with less than three yards per carry in each game.

The New York team has reached the 30-point mark in two games this season, both occurring in the past three weeks. However, the most recent instance was against the Commanders, who have been struggling with a losing streak and allowing an average of 34.7 points per game. It is unlikely that the Jets will be able to replicate this feat when they face the Browns, whose defense has held 11 opponents to under 300 total yards, the most since 1957.

In Week 15, Myles Garrett had the most pass rush wins of any player at home, and his 21 pass rush wins in Weeks 14-15 were the most he has had in a two-week period in his career.

The Browns currently hold the top spot in pass defense, with the Jets following closely behind in second place. This achievement is largely attributed to the exceptional performance of their three cornerbacks, Martin Emerson Jr., Denzel Ward, and Greg Newsome II, who all rank in the top 12 of the league in passer rating allowed when targeted.

This game is considered a four-star play due to Cleveland’s historic defense, only allowing 195 first downs through 14 games, the lowest since the 2000 Baltimore Ravens. Additionally, with rain projected in the forecast, we anticipate this game to be even more unattractive than usual.

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Jets vs. Browns bonus codes

Jets vs. Browns best odds

DraftKings (-110)

DraftKings	FanDuel	BetMGM	Caesars	bet365
Under 36.5	Under 35	Under 36.5	Under 36.5	Under 36.5
-110	-110	-110	-110	-110

Supporters can choose from four top sports betting apps for the most favorable odds, with FanDuel standing out for having an Over/Under line that is 1.5 points different from the rest.

FanDuel offers moneyline odds of -255, which are lower compared to bet365’s -320. Despite the Browns’ potential to secure a playoff spot, home teams have only won 31 out of 61 games on Thursday night since 2020. However, Stefanski’s teams have a strong record of 26 wins and 10 losses when favored.

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Jets vs. Browns odds for Thursday Night Football

Jets vs. Browns odds analysis

FanDuel has adjusted their total from 35.5 to 35, while Caesars saw the largest line movement from 34.5 to 36.5. Those considering betting on the first-half Under should note that they are 25-23-1 on Thursday Night Football since 2021.

The point spread for the Browns varies by one point across top sportsbooks, with FanDuel offering Browns -6, while BetMGM and bet365 both have it at -7. Bettors at bet365 have favored the Browns, causing the line to move from -6 to -7 within the first hour of its release on Sunday.

Thursday Night Football game info

When: Thursday, Dec. 28 at 8:15 p.m. ET
Where: Cleveland Browns Stadium, Cleveland, OH
How to watch: PRIME VIDEO
Weather: 43 degrees, 38% chance of precipitation, wind 11 mph W

Prediction for Jets vs. Browns made on Sunday at 8:49 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Allen Byron

Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he’s especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike’s a big advocate of “fading the public” and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that “there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas.” When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He’s tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”