NFL Player Props Week 2: Predictions, Picks for Monday
The top NFL player props for Week 2 of the NFL season, as shared by Underscoreg Review’s betting analysts Perry Odelia and Stewart Serena, are based on the NFL odds from our recommended NFL prop betting sites.
There are 15 games left in Week 2 and we have compiled a list of NFL player props for bettors to consider.
We are closely monitoring two Tampa Bay Buccaneers players who are poised to capitalize on their home game against the Chicago Bears.
In Week 1, Tampa Bay Buccaneers quarterback Baker Mayfield orchestrated a thrilling comeback victory against the Minnesota Vikings. Now, as the first-year pirate prepares to face the Bears, we expect him to continue his success by showcasing his skills in the passing game.
We have also added Buccaneers running back Rachaad White to our Week 2 lineup, expecting him to take advantage of the Chicago defense with his ground game.
Our top NFL player props for Sunday perfectly complement our Week 2 best bets, including our NFL upset picks. Odds are sourced from our top NFL betting sites and pick confidence is rated on a 1-to-5-star scale.
NFL player props for Week 2
- Bryce Young Over 189.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Calvin Ridley Over 5.5 receptions (-128 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Rhamondre Stevenson Over 50.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Baker Mayfield Over 221.5 passing yards (-115 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐
- Rachaad White Over 53.5 rushing yards (-101 via Caesars) ⭐⭐
- Christian McCaffrey Over 28.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Michael Gallup Over 34.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐
- Kirk Cousins Under 263.5 passing yards (-113 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Dallas Goedert Over 42.5 receiving yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
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NFL player props for Monday Week 2
Bryce Young Over 189.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The top pick in the 2023 NFL Draft is making his home debut on Monday Night Football for the Carolina Panthers against the New Orleans Saints. Despite only throwing for 146 yards on 38 attempts in Week 1 against the Atlanta Falcons, Young’s high number of passing attempts is a sign that the Panthers have confidence in him. I am hoping they continue to let Young throw, both for my prop bet and my prediction on the Panthers covering the +3.5 spread.
Young started with a passing yards total of 195.5 at our top sports betting sites, but it has since increased to 196.5. Pinnacle has been the most aggressive in raising it to 198.5. FanDuel, however, is offering a total that is nine yards lower than Pinnacle and seven yards lower than most of our best sports betting apps. This difference is concerning and indicates a potential pricing error. It’s a warning sign for bettors to proceed with caution.
Young is expected to have 207 passing yards in the upcoming game against the Saints on Monday Night Football. While this may not seem like a high projection, it is worth noting that the Over is trading at 189.5 (-114) on FanDuel. With this projection, Young’s odds to go Over the total are calculated at -171, indicating a positive expected value of 18% for this bet.
If you were to place a bet on the Over for 196.5 (-115) through DraftKings, your expected value would decrease from 18% to 6%. This is why it is important to make use of all the top NFL betting sites available and compare the odds.
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Selection made by Perry Odelia (SBR | Twitter/X)
NFL player props for Sunday Week 2
Calvin Ridley Over 5.5 receptions (-128 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
Trevor Lawrence has found a new go-to receiver in Jacksonville this season, and that player is Calvin Ridley. In his first game with the Jaguars against the Indianapolis Colts, Ridley made an immediate impact with eight catches for 101 yards and a touchdown. With Ridley’s suspension for gambling on sports, it makes sense to focus on his player props.
Ridley’s receiving stats have been improving in Week 2. His receiving yards have increased from 69.5 to 73.5, and some top sports betting sites have raised the odds on him getting over 5.5 receptions, with the exception of FanDuel. That’s why I’m paying more attention to Ridley’s reception prop than his total receiving yards.
Ridley is expected to make 6.4 receptions against the Chiefs, leading us to favor the Over 5.5 receptions at -160 odds. BetRivers has set its juice at -159 for the Over 5.5 receptions for Ridley, while FanDuel is offering -128. Given the favorable odds at FanDuel, I am choosing to bet on the Over for this prop.
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Perry Odelia’s pick was chosen.
Baker Mayfield Over 221.5 passing yards (-115 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐
Stewart Serena seems to have already made a bet on the Rachaad White rushing yards prop for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers game. You could also consider betting on the Mayfield Over for passing yards to possibly create a same-game parlay for the Buccaneers and Chicago Bears matchup in Week 2.
In Week 1, the Bears gave up 245 passing yards to Jordan Love, which helped Packers fans overlook Aaron Rodgers’ absence. Perhaps this week they can assist Buccaneers fans in forgetting about Tom Brady’s performance.
The passing yards prop for Mayfield opened at 219.5 yards and is now moving towards the Over. BetRivers has been the slowest to adjust its total among our top sportsbooks, making it an opportunity to capitalize on. Mayfield’s passing yards total has increased to 228.5 at FanDuel, with the Over being offered at -114. FanDuel’s total is seven yards higher with nearly the same odds for the Over.
Looking at the projections, it’s evident why the Over is becoming more popular for this prop bet. Mayfield is expected to pass for 235.4 yards, which allows us to set the Over for 221.5 passing yards at -141.
Perry Odelia made the pick.
Rachaad White Over 53.5 rushing yards (-101 via Caesars) ⭐⭐
There has been much talk about White’s inefficiency in the Buccaneers’ backfield, but little mention of his diminishing role. Despite this, he played 79% of offensive snaps in Week 1 against the Vikings and will face another favorable matchup against the Bears in Week 2.
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Despite consuming copious amounts of Benadryl, the Bears were unable to overcome their allergy issues in 2022. Their rush defense was ranked as the worst in the league by Pro Football Focus, and they suffered a humiliating loss at Soldier Field in front of their loyal fans during Week 1.
Based on my projections, I anticipate White to rush for 58.6 yards. I would consider pricing this Over at -126. This represents an 11% positive expected value compared to the -101 odds offered by Caesars.
Stewart Serena (SBR | Twitter/X) made the pick.
Christian McCaffrey Over 28.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
Last season, McCaffrey averaged 42.2 receiving yards per game with the San Francisco 49ers. I expect him to exceed last week’s total of 17 yards.
I predict McCaffrey will have 35.7 receiving yards and would consider betting the Over at -155 for a 16% positive expected value, which is better than the -110 odds offered by bet365.
The Los Angeles Rams may be in for a disappointing performance following their victory on the road against the Seattle Seahawks. Additionally, I have high expectations for the San Francisco 49ers in my Week 2 survivor picks and have included them in my Week 2 teaser picks.
Stewart Serena made the pick.
Michael Gallup Over 34.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐
After learning that Dallas Cowboys wide receiver Brandin Cooks (knee) will likely be out against the New York Jets, I have increased my projections for Gallup. I am now expecting the sixth-year Cowboy to have 39.6 receiving yards.
Therefore, we anticipate a favorable expected value of 11% on the -110 bet365 odds since my projection values the Over at -138.
Furthermore, it wouldn’t be unexpected to witness Gallup’s receiving yards increase, along with the vig, as bettors reassess the Dallas passing game in the absence of Cooks.
Stewart Serena made the selection.
Rhamondre Stevenson Over 50.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
I expect Rhamondre Stevenson to have a breakout performance against the Miami Dolphins, as he saw significant playing time in Week 1 for the New England Patriots, with 74% of offensive snaps and 12 out of 20 carries.
Last week, the Miami Dolphins faced the San Diego Chargers and struggled to stop their rushing attack. The Chargers were able to accumulate 233 rushing yards at an average of 5.8 yards per carry. Miami’s defense allowed the most EPA per rush (0.322), had the highest rushing success rate (66.7%), and was graded as the sixth-worst run defense by Pro Football Focus.
I predict that Stevenson will rush for 60.1 yards, and I would value this prop at -153. This represents a positive expected value of 16% compared to the -110 odds offered by bet365.
Stewart Serena made the pick.
NFL player props for Thursday Week 2
Kirk Cousins Under 263.5 passing yards (-113 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Get ready, everyone! Kirk Cousins is playing in a Thursday Night Football primetime game. In a previous matchup against the Eagles on Monday Night Football, Cousins had a tough time against their secondary and threw three interceptions. Instead of looking at his interception prop, we’re honing in on his passing yards prop, as we’ve found an advantageous edge in these numbers with BetRivers.
This season, Cousins is projected to rack up impressive passing yard numbers. The era of Dalvin Cook’s dominance in Minnesota is a thing of the past, as the Vikings are now relying heavily on their passing game, led by Justin Jefferson and Jordan Addison.
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During his recent game against the Buccaneers, Cousins surpassed his passing yards total of 271.5 by throwing for 344 yards. Despite this significant increase, the following week’s total has been set lower by most sports betting apps, with only BetRivers deviating from this trend. Despite the slight adjustment downwards, the total still remains higher than expected.
Cousins is expected to throw for 250.9 yards against the Eagles, indicating that the Under of 263.5 passing yards can be bet at -174 odds. However, BetRivers is offering it at -113, providing a better opportunity for bettors. It is recommended to place your bet on this prop at BetRivers to maximize your potential winnings. While other top sportsbooks are offering the Under on Cousins’ passing yards at 260.5 with similar odds, choosing BetRivers would result in a higher expected value.
The selection was made by Perry Odelia.
Dallas Goedert Over 42.5 receiving yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
Upon reviewing the notes, Dallas Goedert did not record any receiving yards in Week 1. While this may initially suggest a potential Under bet, a closer look at the statistics reveals more insight.
Quotes from interviews with key figures such as Johnson, quarterback Jalen Hurts, and head coach Nick Sirianni have highlighted Goedert’s limited targets against the Patriots. Johnson emphasized that the ball should have been thrown Goedert’s way at least four to five times, indicating the need to increase his involvement in the offense.
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The Eagles tight end confidently announced that he plans to start himself on his fantasy football team this week. After reviewing the game plan for the upcoming matchup against the Vikings, he emphasized the importance of not wanting to lose to friends in fantasy football.
Goedert is projected to have 51.3 receiving yards, indicating that it may be a good opportunity to buy low on him. The betting market also seems to be in agreement, as his initial total of 38.5 receiving yards has increased to 46.5 at FanDuel. With this projection in mind, we can set the odds for Goedert to surpass 42.5 receiving yards at -125.
Perry Odelia made the pick.
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