Josh Dobbs NFL Player Props, Odds Week 12: Predictions for Bears vs. Vikings on MNF
In the last game of NFL Week 12, the Minnesota Vikings will face off against the Chicago Bears in a division rivalry on Monday Night Football. We are focusing on our top predictions for NFL player props for Josh Dobbs using the most favorable NFL odds available on our preferred sports betting apps.
In the three games since he joined the Minnesota Vikings in Week 9, Josh Dobbs has thrown for over 200 yards in two games and has a touchdown-to-interception ratio of 4:1. He has completed at least 20 passes in each game, contributing to the Vikings’ 2-1 record during that span.
Furthermore, Dobbs has gained 131 yards and scored three touchdowns rushing since joining the Minnesota team. How will he fare against the Bears on Monday?
Here are our top Josh Dobbs NFL player prop predictions for the Bears-Vikings matchup in Week 12, in addition to our Bears-Vikings and Justin Fields prop picks. These predictions are based on odds from our recommended NFL betting sites and are rated on a 1-to-5-star scale for confidence.
Josh Dobbs NFL player prop predictions for Week 12
- Josh Dobbs Under 236.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Josh Dobbs Over 6.5 rushing attempts (+102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
- Josh Dobbs anytime touchdown scorer (+200 via bet365) ⭐⭐
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Josh Dobbs player props
Josh Dobbs Under 236.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
The Bears have one of the weakest pass defenses in the NFL, but they have shown improvement in recent weeks. They are only giving up an average of 202 passing yards per game during this period, highlighted by limiting Jared Goff to just 236 yards in Week 11.
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Dobbs has only exceeded this total once since coming to Minnesota and has thrown for more than 236 yards only twice all season. The Bears’ defense has not been strong, but it’s unrealistic to expect Dobbs to exceed his season average by 35 yards.
Our top sportsbooks are divided on the total for this prop bet. FanDuel has it at 227.5, bet365 at 228.5, and DraftKings and Caesars both at 231.5, with each predicting the Under.
BetMGM is currently standing out from the crowd, as it is not showing a strong bias towards the Under. We suggest taking advantage of this opportunity.
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Josh Dobbs Over 6.5 rushing attempts (+102 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐
FanDuel is one of the top live betting sites that offers this prop, so there’s no need to wait for odds from another sportsbook. Dobbs has rushed the ball at least seven times in all three of his games with the Vikings and has had seven or more carries in six of his eight games since Week 4, with only one exception where he ran six times.
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The Bears have the best rush defense in the league, but whether Dobbs surpasses this Over is more dependent on their pass defense. In 2023, the Bears have allowed a high number of passing yards per game (245.9), ranking 25th in the league. While most people would point fingers at the secondary, the real problem lies within the defensive line.
The group is recording just 1.4 sacks per game, the lowest in the NFL. As a result, Dobbs will have ample time to assess the field on Monday. If he believes the coverage is too tight, the athletic quarterback will opt to scramble and run.
He has consistently done that in nearly every game throughout 2023, and there is no indication that Dobbs will cease on Monday.
Josh Dobbs anytime touchdown scorer (+200 via bet365) ⭐⭐
It may seem unusual for Dobbs to score a rushing touchdown given the odds at our top sports betting sites, but he has actually scored in five straight games. Despite only having one rushing touchdown before this streak, getting +200 odds for him to continue his streak to six games is a great value.
In 2023, the Bears are only giving up 0.5 rushing touchdowns per game, but those stats may not hold up against mobile quarterbacks. Despite ranking 27th in rushing yards in the NFL this season, the Vikings lack a significant rushing threat aside from Dobbs. Therefore, Dobbs is the top choice for Minnesota regardless of field position.
The price of this prop fluctuates significantly. BetMGM has it listed at +120, which is too low to consider playing. On the other hand, Caesars is offering +140 odds, which is more appealing. However, it would be wiser to go for the much higher odds at bet365.
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Player prop picks by Josh Dobbs were made on November 27, 2023 at 9:24 a.m. Eastern Time.
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