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Justin Fields NFL Player Props, Odds Week 12: Predictions for Bears vs. Vikings

Allen Byron

Updated on November 27, 2023 at 7:26 PM EST • Read time: 3 minutes and 56 seconds. Find more information on Twitter and Google News.

Justin Fields of the Chicago Bears celebrates a touchdown against the San Francisco 49ers at Soldier Field, and we offer our top Justin Fields player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.
Justin Fields of the Chicago Bears celebrates a touchdown against the San Francisco 49ers at Soldier Field. Photo by Michael Reaves/Getty Images via AFP.

For the last game of Week 12, the Minnesota Vikings will be hosting their rival Chicago Bears on Monday Night Football. This will be quarterback Justin Fields’ second start back from injury, and we are capitalizing on this opportunity by making Justin Fields player prop predictions using the top NFL odds available.

As we approach Week 12, the Chicago Bears (3-8) are struggling with a 12-game losing streak in divisional matchups under head coach Matt Eberflus. They have not managed to secure a victory against any NFC North opponent in nine attempts. Despite QB Justin Fields returning last week, the team’s record dropped to 1-6 in his seven starts. Their latest defeat came after squandering a 26-14 lead in the fourth quarter against the Detroit Lions, a division rival.

The Minnesota Vikings (6-5) had their five-game winning streak come to an end last week with a 21-20 loss to the Denver Broncos on Sunday Night Football. The Vikings have won their last five matchups against the Bears and have the opportunity to extend this streak to six consecutive wins on Monday night, which would be the second-longest streak in franchise history.

In addition to our Josh Dobbs player prop selections, Bears-Vikings prop picks, and Bears-Vikings forecast, we present our top Justin Fields NFL player prop projections for the Week 12 matchup between the Bears and Vikings (odds sourced from our preferred NFL betting platforms; pick confidence rated on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Justin Fields NFL player prop predictions for Week 12

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Justin Fields player props

Justin Fields Under 17.5 completions (-118 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐

Despite having a record of 3-8, the Chicago Bears have not let their trailing time affect their running game. They outpace their opponents by almost 60 rushing yards per game, making them second in the NFL for this statistic.

In the Week 6 loss to the Vikings, Justin Fields struggled with his passing game, completing only 6 out of 10 passes for an average of 5.8 yards per attempt. He had a QBR of 12.7, which was his lowest of the season.

Last season, Minnesota’s defense gave up an average of 25.1 points, 123.1 rushing yards, and 265.5 passing yards per game while blitzing 25% of the time. This year, the Vikings are allowing 20.9 points, 94.0 rushing yards, and 226.6 passing yards per game, with a league-leading blitz rate of 47.2%.

Therefore, it is anticipated that the Bears will rely heavily on the running game to counter Minnesota’s aggressive defense. With the Vikings only favored by a moderate 3.5 points, it is unlikely that the game script will force Fields to pass more than usual.

Earlier in the week, BetMGM and DraftKings were offering +105 odds to bet on the Under of 16.5 completions. However, they have now adjusted their odds to align with other top sports betting apps. Currently, BetRivers is the only shop offering odds lower than -120 to bet on the Under of 17.5 completions.

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Justin Fields Over 52.5 rushing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Fields has ranked among the top 10 quarterbacks for fantasy football in his last three complete starts, throwing four touchdowns in two of those games. His fantasy stats are primarily boosted by his strong rushing performance, with over 53 yards gained in two out of his last three full starts.

Fields had a strong start to his rushing game against Minnesota, gaining 46 yards on eight carries before getting injured early in the second half. The Vikings struggle against quarterback runs, ranking sixth-worst in success rate. Their frequent blitzing leaves them vulnerable to running lanes, with fewer defenders available to tackle the quarterback once he evades the initial rush.

FanDuel has a slightly higher over/under of 53.5 yards, compared to the other top sports betting sites which have odds of -120 or higher for the over of 52.5 rushing yards. Therefore, we choose to place our bet with bet365.

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Justin Fields longest completion Over 33.5 yards (-115 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

We are fond of this bet once more due to Minnesota’s frequent blitzing, combined with Fields’ impressive stats of 7.9 yards per pass attempt and a 7.0% touchdown rate when facing the blitz this season, according to Sharp Football Analysis.

Last week, Fields completed a 39-yard pass to DJ Moore against the tough Lions defense. This marked his third consecutive game with a completion of 39 yards or more, with one of his six completions in Week 6 against the Vikings being a 39-yard pass to Darnell Mooney.

We anticipate that Chicago will use their running game to tire out the Vikings’ defense and then capitalize on at least one big pass play, despite their lower passing frequency. Furthermore, Minnesota has given up 100-yard receiving games to four different players this season, indicating a potential weakness in their pass defense.

DraftKings offers a less favorable price at -120, so we are opting to place this bet at bet365 instead.

Justin Fields’ player prop selections were made on 11/27/2023 at 6:11 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Allen Byron
Mike started in the sports writing industry in July 2019, and gained a lot of followers in his first year after finishing with the No. 2 overall record in an annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an Over/Under and moneyline perspective. Mike is an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, tennis, and all college sports. In his opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and he’s especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. Mike’s a big advocate of “fading the public” and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that “there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas.” When making wagers, Mike always scours the best odds at all of the major sports betting sites, where he mostly sifts through DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, and bet365. He’s tried several others and is of the firm belief that bettors should not just stick to one sportsbook, as there is always likely better value to be had with the same wager. In addition, while Mike received his undergraduate degree from Villanova University, he has no issue betting against the Wildcats when it comes to college basketball wagering, and suggests other bettors should always put their “head” before their “hearts.”