2026 Memorial Tournament Expert Picks, Odds & Favorites: Scheffler Leads Field to Muirfield Village
In one week, the third major of 2026 will take place. Our expert picks for the Memorial Tournament are influenced by the PGA Tour odds from top golf betting sites, as we aim to increase our bankrolls.
The Memorial Tournament this week has a compact field of 73 players at Jack Nicklaus’ Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio. Scottie Scheffler, who is already a top contender for next week’s U.S. Open, leads the oddsboard this week ahead of Rory McIlroy, Xander Schauffele, and defending champion Viktor Hovland.
McIlroy finished T-4 in the previous week’s RBC Canadian Open, Schauffele is making his first appearance since winning the PGA Championship, and Hovland is aiming to get back to winning after a strong third-place finish in this year’s second major.
The upcoming U.S. Open at Pinehurst Resort & Country Club is just around the corner, and the outcomes of this week’s events will significantly influence the odds and our selection for the tournament.
Memorial Tournament picks
The odds available on our top sports betting sites
- First click: Russell Henley to win (+5500 via DraftKings)
- Lee Hodges to finish top 20 (+330 via DraftKings)
- Wyndham Clark to finish top 10 (+360 via Caesars)
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Memorial Tournament odds 2026
As of Wednesday at 2:50 p.m. ET, here are the odds for the Memorial Tournament.
| Name | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Scheffler | +360 | +360 | +400 | +360 | +375 |
| Rory McIlroy (NI) | +900 | +900 | +1000 | +900 | +900 |
| Xander Schauffele | +900 | +900 | +900 | +900 | +900 |
| Collin Morikawa | +1400 | +1400 | +1400 | +1200 ❄️ | +1400 |
| Viktor Hovland | +1600 | +1800 | +1600 | +1200 ❄️ | +1600 |
| Ludvig Aberg | +2500 | +2500 | +2200 ❄️ | +2800 | +2500 |
| Patrick Cantlay | +2500 | +2500 | +2800 | +2500 | +2500 |
| Tommy Fleetwood | +2800 | +3500 | +4000 | +3500 | +2800 |
| Justin Thomas | +3000 | +3000 | +2800 ❄️ | +3000 | +3000 |
| Max Homa | +4000 | +4500 | +4500 | +3500 ❄️ | +4000 |
Memorial Tournament picks
Lee Hodges to finish top 20
Hodges is on track to secure his second PGA Tour win. The 2026 3M Open champion achieved a 12th place finish in both the PGA Championship and the Charles Schwab Challenge. He also placed 12th in last year’s Memorial Tournament during his professional debut at Muirfield Village.
Hodges, an exceptional ball striker, has been consistently averaging 0.87 strokes gained: approach and 0.70 SG: tee-to-green over his last 19 rounds. These were key strengths for him in last year’s tournament, however, he struggled with a final round of plus-4 on Sunday. Despite this setback, he went on to secure his first PGA Tour victory a month later.
Even though BetMGM has a strong track record and current trends in its favor, its odds for this pick are surprisingly low at +275. This translates to a 20.00% win probability. By placing the same wager with DraftKings, we can potentially earn an additional $4.50 in profit on a $10 winning ticket.
DraftKings offers the best odds at +330.
Terms and conditions apply.
Wyndham Clark to finish top 10
Clark has experienced a strange few months since reaching a career-high position of third in the Official World Golf Ranking (OWGR) after finishing in a tie for third place at the RBC Heritage.
Clark had a successful start to the season, winning the weather-shortened AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am and placing second in the Arnold Palmer Invitational and The Players Championship. However, he struggled in the Masters and the PGA Championship, missing the cut in both tournaments. His defense of the Wells Fargo Championship ended with a disappointing T-47 finish.
Despite his recent inconsistent tournament finishes, the fourth-ranked golfer in the OWGR still has the opportunity to surpass his career-best T-12 finish at Muirfield Village from last year. Clark ranks as the third-longest hitter in the field based on everyone’s last 20 rounds. He is currently eighth on Tour in birdie-or-better percentage from distances of 200-plus yards, and he is showing improvements in all key metrics.
Clark has outperformed most golfers in Signature Events this season, second only to Scottie Scheffler. His outright odds, which can go as high as +5000 on FanDuel, are a good bet. However, my top play of the week is a modest top 10 finish, which would result in a $36 profit on a $10 bet.
Top chances: +360 at Caesars
Terms and conditions apply.
My first click: Russell Henley to win
The pick was made on Monday at 8 a.m. ET. By Tuesday, the best odds have decreased to +5000 on FanDuel.
Despite only having two PGA Tour wins in the last ten years, Henley’s most recent victory was in the fall of 2026. He has climbed back up to No. 16 in the Official World Golf Ranking after a successful stretch that included a T-10 in the Wells Fargo Championship and a T-23 in the PGA Championship.
Henley has consistently been a top-tier ball-striker, with an average of 1.03 strokes gained: approach per round in his last 20 rounds. Additionally, he has recorded 0.57 strokes gained: around-the-green and 1.77 strokes gained: tee-to-green. His accuracy off the tee has also been impressive, making him one of the most precise drivers in the field over the past 20 rounds.
In previous events, Henley has struggled due to the short distance, but he did well last year with a T-16 finish at Muirfield Village GC. Take advantage of the great odds on DraftKings, as BetMGM is offering the lowest price of +4000 for Henley to win this week.
Bet365 is offering an enticing +375 ticket for a top 5 finish as a less bold alternative to an outright win.
Greatest chance of winning: +5500 at DraftKings
Memorial Tournament favorite
Scottie Scheffler
Quick, act surprised.
Despite his continued dominance in the Official World Golf Ranking, Scheffler remains the top choice among bettors this week, a trend that has persisted throughout the year. However, he has fallen short of a win in his last two events and finished five strokes behind Davis Riley in the Charles Schwab Challenge.
These +375 odds indicate a 21.05% implied win probability, which is cause for concern. A successful $10 bet would only yield a profit of $37.50 in a tournament with one of the strongest non-major fields of the year.
This venue, along with its tournament conditions, is also an excellent preparation for the U.S. Open. The dense rough and speedy, firm greens introduce elements of unpredictability that can quickly shake up the leaderboard.
Scheffler has consistently placed third in this event in 2021 and the previous year, yet he is overlooked in the outright market. Bettors are advised to explore alternative ways to wager on the tournament favorite.
Greatest chance of winning: +400 on BetMGM
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Memorial Tournament info
- Where: Muirfield Village Golf Club, Dublin, Ohio
- When: Thursday, June 6 – Sunday, June 9
- Field: 73
- Favorite: Scottie Scheffler (+400 via BetMGM)
- 2026 champion: Viktor Hovland
- Purse: $20 million
- FedEx Cup points: 700
Muirfield Village Golf Club course info
- Par: 72
- Length: 7,569 yards
- Greens: Bentgrass
- Architect: Jack Nicklaus
The Memorial Tournament serves as an ideal preparation for the U.S. Open. Nicklaus adjusts the course to mimic the challenging conditions of the third major of the year, including thick rough and fast greens.
Competitors must excel in their iron play and avoid trouble areas to succeed. The 7,569-yard, par-72 course poses challenges that require golfers to hit the ball far and accurately off the tee in order to play effectively.
Memorial Tournament recent winners
| Year | Winner | Pre-tournament odds | Score to par |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | Viktor Hovland | +2000 | -7 (playoff) |
| 2026 | Billy Horschel | +6000 | -13 |
| 2021 | Patrick Cantlay | +2000 | -13 (playoff) |
| 2020 | Jon Rahm | +2000 | -9 |
| 2019 | Patrick Cantlay | +1400 | -19 |
| 2018 | Bryson DeChambeau | +4000 | -15 (playoff) |
| 2017 | Jason Dufner | +6000 | -13 |
| 2016 | William McGirt | Field (+350) | -15 (playoff) |
| 2015 | David Lingmerth | Field (+300) | -15 (playoff) |
| 2014 | Hideki Matsuyama | +5000 | -13 (playoff) |
Historical odds via golfodds.com
How to bet on golf
In order to succeed in golf betting, it is important to have a good understanding of the different types of bets that are available and how to accurately evaluate player performance. Start by familiarizing yourself with common bet types including outright winners, each-way bets (which cover both winning and top finishes), head-to-head matchups, and proposition bets that are specific to certain tournament events such as hole-in-one predictions or player performances on specific holes.
After deciding on your favorite types of bets, make sure to thoroughly research players, course conditions, recent performance, and other key factors that could impact results. Dive into player stats, recent tournament results, course history, and any injuries or changes in form that could affect a player’s chances of winning. With this knowledge, you can make informed betting choices and improve your chances of success in golf betting.
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