Michael Penix Jr. Player Props, Odds: Predictions for Washington vs. Michigan in National Championship

Michael Penix Jr. of the Washington Huskies throws a pass as we share our best Penix player props for the national championship game. — Michael Penix Jr. of the Washington Huskies throws a pass during the fourth quarter against the Texas Longhorns during the CFP Semifinal Allstate Sugar Bowl at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Photo by Chris Graythen/Getty Images via AFP.

In the upcoming national championship game, Washington’s quarterback Michael Penix Jr. will face off against Michigan’s strong defense. We analyze Penix Jr.’s chances of success and provide player props based on the top college football odds from leading betting sites.

Despite falling just short of winning the Heisman Trophy, Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. has outperformed nearly every other player in college football as he prepares to face Michigan in the national championship. With 4,648 passing yards and 35 touchdowns so far, the left-handed signal-caller has led the undefeated Huskies to the College Football Playoff final against the unbeaten Wolverines on Monday.

Penix is required to don his cape and fully embody the persona of Washington’s superhero in the upcoming final game, where the team is striving to secure their first national title since 1991. Will Penix be able to rise to the occasion against the formidable defense of college football’s top contenders?

In addition to our predictions for the Washington vs. Michigan game, player props for Washington vs. Michigan, and player props for J.J. McCarthy, we are also providing our top Michael Penix Jr. player props for Monday’s national championship game. These odds are sourced from our top college football betting sites, with pick confidence rated on a 1-to-5-star scale.

Michael Penix Jr. player props: National Championship

Michael Penix Jr. Under 297.5 passing yards (-115 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

This statement demonstrates that the Heisman runner-up, Penix, cannot be stopped; you can only try to limit his impact.

Despite facing his toughest test yet in Monday’s national championship game, Penix is close to reaching a passing yardage of 300. The Wolverines have been formidable on defense, allowing just 150 passing yards per game and ranking second in the nation in passing defense success rate.

I believe Penix will have success passing between the 20-yard lines, but Michigan’s ball-control offense will likely keep him under 300 yards for the game.

Our projection for Penix is around 270 passing yards, and it appears that most reputable sportsbooks are in alignment with this estimate, with Penix’s total passing yards trading below 290 across the board. This presents a great opportunity to take advantage of a bargain at BetMGM.

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Michael Penix Jr. longest completion Under 44.5 yards (-122 via ESPN BET) ⭐⭐⭐

The most frightening aspect of Washington’s offense is its capacity to make a big play and shift the momentum of the game. Penix, especially, excels at connecting on a deep pass to one of his skilled receivers who are poised for the NFL.

Penix has thrown for a completion of at least 45 yards in each of the postseason games so far, with a 77-yard pass in last week’s CFP semifinal win against Texas. He has achieved this feat in six of the 14 games played this season, including a season-high 92-yard completion against Stanford.

Penix may need to rely more on shorter throws against Michigan due to their strong pass rush. The Wolverines excel at creating pressure, so utilizing quick passes could be key. While Washington typically doesn’t rely heavily on run-pass options, we anticipate seeing plenty of short throws to the outside and intermediate connections on roll-out plays in this game.

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Michael Penix Jr. Under 0.5 interceptions (+180 via bet365) ⭐⭐

As noted in our player props for J.J. McCarthy, interceptions are unpredictable and challenging to anticipate. Penix serves as a prime example of this, having thrown nine interceptions this season and ending eight games with at least one interception.

Given Penix’s surface stats leading up to this game, it is no surprise that he is favored to throw an interception in the national title game with a price of -200 on our top sports betting apps. However, it is important to note that these numbers do not provide the full picture. Pro Football Focus has only documented nine turnover-worthy plays by Penix throughout the season, indicating that there may have been some unfortunate luck involved in his interceptions.

Penix managed to avoid throwing an interception in the last game against Texas, and we believe the chances of him repeating that feat are too good to ignore. With bet365 offering +180 odds compared to Caesars’ +165 odds for the same bet, the offer is particularly enticing.

The player props for Michael Penix Jr. were established on Sunday at 1:35 p.m. ET.

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Written By:
Scott Justin

After graduating with a journalism degree from the University of Kansas in 2017, Scott Justin covered college sports for a few years before moving to Las Vegas to pursue a career in sports betting. He created sports betting content for WynnBET and served as a sports gambling content director for Bet Chicago Sports. Shane’s favorite sports to watch and bet on are NFL, college football, college basketball, NBA, WNBA, and golf. Follow Shane on Twitter (@SJacksonBET) to get access to all of his betting analysis.