Liberty vs. Oregon Prediction, Pick & Odds: Fiesta Bowl
On Monday, the Oregon Ducks will take on the Liberty Flames in the Fiesta Bowl. We have analyzed the top college football odds at leading betting sites to make our prediction for the Liberty vs. Oregon game.
The Liberty Flames dominated the regular season with a perfect 13-0 record, ultimately claiming the Conference USA championship. They secured double-digit wins in 11 of their 13 games, solidifying their place in a top-tier New Year’s Six bowl game.
The Oregon Ducks finished their season with an 11-2 record, with both losses coming against the Washington Huskies. Despite these setbacks, they won 10 of their games by a comfortable two-score margin, demonstrating their strength as the fourth-highest-scoring team in the country. Although they suffered two defeats, Oregon’s season showcased their dominance on the scoreboard in the majority of their games.
In our analysis of the New Year’s Six bowl games and college bowl game odds, we present our top prediction for the Liberty vs. Oregon matchup in the Fiesta Bowl on Monday. Our college football picks are based on odds from reputable betting sites and are rated on a 1-to-5-star scale for confidence.
Liberty vs. Oregon prediction: Fiesta Bowl
Oregon -16.5 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Motivation is a key factor in bowl games, potentially giving the underappreciated Flames an advantage. However, the presence of Bo Nix as the starting quarterback for the Ducks indicates the level of seriousness they are approaching this game with.
Nix had an impressive season, throwing for 4,145 yards, 40 touchdowns, and only three interceptions. He was a strong candidate for the Heisman Trophy until the Ducks’ season ended with a loss to Washington. Facing the 90th-ranked pass defense, he is looking to finish his college career on a positive note.
As of now, there are no props available for Nix. However, we anticipate that his passing yards and passing touchdowns props will be set at a high level, particularly given that Oregon Over 42.5 is currently priced at -110. Consequently, we suggest betting on the Ducks to cover the spread.
The Flames have been impressive with their high-scoring offense, averaging 40.8 points per game. However, they have yet to encounter a defense as formidable as Oregon’s. Despite some key players opting out, the Ducks are expected to overpower Liberty’s quarterback Kaidon Salter and secure a victory by nearly four touchdowns.
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Liberty vs. Oregon best odds
bet365 (-110)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oregon -16.5 | Oregon -16.5 | Oregon -16.5 | Oregon -16.5 | Oregon -16.5 |
| -115 | -110 | -115 | -110 | -110 |
The number of bettors backing the Ducks to cover is expected to increase before kickoff, with just under 70% currently supporting them. Oddsmakers are quickly adjusting the spread in response. To secure the best odds, place your wager now at FanDuel, Caesars, or bet365.
Nevertheless, it may be wise to hold off and observe how the spread progresses. Opting for a spread of -17 at odds of -105 or -17.5 at +100 could prove to be a valuable decision, as these spreads and prices are likely to become available in the near future.
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Liberty vs. Oregon odds
Liberty vs. Oregon odds analysis
The Ducks started as a 14-point favorite, and the spread quickly increased by almost a field goal. With Nix playing, it’s unlikely that the spread will stay below 17 before the game starts. About 70% of bettors are currently supporting the Ducks, so the spread could reach 18 or 18.5 by Monday.
It is expected to see a large number of bettors supporting the Over in a game featuring two top-five scoring teams in the nation. More than 75% of bettors are backing the Over, leading to the initial total of 66.5 rising to 67 or 67.5 at four out of five of our top sportsbooks. Despite the impressive performance of the Ducks’ defense this season, we anticipate that the total will not increase significantly from its current level, as bettors may shift towards favoring the under as the game approaches.
Fiesta Bowl game info
- When: Monday, Jan. 1 at 1 p.m. ET
- Where: State Farm Stadium, Glendale, AZ
- How to watch: ESPN
- Weather: Indoors
Prediction for Liberty vs. Oregon was made on Friday at 9:32 a.m. Eastern Time.
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