Super Bowl 1st Drive Props, Odds: Best Predictions for Early Wins

Check out our analysis of the Super Bowl’s first drive prop bets and odds for the Chiefs vs. 49ers matchup, which can give you a head start on winning in the Big Game with the latest NFL odds from top sportsbooks.

One of the highlights of betting on Super Bowl 2024 is the extensive selection of Super Bowl odds available for wagering. You can make money on your predictions well before the game ends on Feb. 11.

Our top Super Bowl betting sites are providing exclusive prop bets for the initial drive of the San Francisco 49ers and Kansas City Chiefs, including predictions on player involvement and the success of these opening plays.

These markets are based on football strategy and game planning, unlike many Super Bowl prop bet odds. However, there is still enough unpredictability to keep things exciting and potentially benefit those who take a chance on underdogs.

This makes it a popular choice for both seasoned bettors and newcomers looking to wager on the big game. While these bets may not pay out as quickly as bets on the Super Bowl coin toss odds, they can provide early satisfaction for those settling in to watch the Big Game.

In addition to our Super Bowl player props and our prediction for Chiefs vs. 49ers, we have compiled a list of the top Super Bowl 2024 1st drive props and other player firsts and quick hits utilizing odds from our top NFL prop betting sites.

How to bet on opening drive of Chiefs vs. 49ers

Placing a bet on the opening drive of Super Bowl 2024 offers a unique opportunity to add excitement to the Chiefs vs. 49ers matchup while potentially earning a profit by accurately predicting the early game flow.

Certainly, I intentionally choose to use that term. Renowned offensive strategists such as Andy Reid of the Chiefs and Kyle Shanahan of the 49ers meticulously plan and organize the initial 15-25 plays for their offense at the start of the game. This scripted approach allows them to kick off the game on a high note and strategically position themselves for pivotal plays later on.

This suggests that betting on the outcome of the game’s opening drive is not a random guess, but rather a prediction based on the strategic game plan that the coaches have already established before you can even place a bet on the Super Bowl national anthem odds.

Predicting the early game script for each team is definitely easier said than done, but the odds are certainly intriguing if you can do so accurately.

We will be providing predictions for these prop bets as we approach kickoff, but we have gathered the top odds for these special markets along with our initial impressions on each one. Make sure to visit this site frequently for the top quick prop bets for Super Bowl 2024, as they are some of my preferred wagers for the event.

This content is not meant for use in MAAffiliate Disclosure: Underscoreg Review may earn advertising commissions from visits to a sportsbook.

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Super Bowl 1st drive odds, prop bets for Chiefs vs. 49ers

Here is a summary of top markets offered by our best sports betting sites for the opening drive of Super Bowl 58. We have also provided the implied probability for the best odds in each market using our odds converter, a valuable tool for the Super Bowl season.

Keep in mind that the total implied probability will typically be higher than 100%, with the exception of the even odds given by certain bookmakers for the Super Bowl coin toss. This is because sportsbooks always have a margin built in to ensure they make a profit. It is beneficial to compare different options and shop around for the best odds when there are multiple choices available.

1st offensive play of Super Bowl 2024

Apart from wagering on the Super Bowl opening kickoff odds, which is one of my preferred betting markets, this is the fastest way to capitalize on the on-field outcomes of Super Bowl 2024. It is also a compelling challenge to predict and analyze.

The 49ers have rushed the ball on 63.2% of their opening plays this season, including in both playoff games, while the Chiefs have rushed it 60% of the time and only once this postseason. The odds for rushing (-150 via DraftKings) suggest a 60% likelihood, which aligns closely with historical data.

You have the option to place bets on the first play for both the Chiefs and 49ers at comparable odds, but by comparing different sportsbooks, we can find better odds for the overall game result.

Total net yards gained on 1st offensive play

Here is another quick cash bet that seems like a great value opportunity leading up to Super Bowl 58.

The 49ers have been consistently gaining an average of 9.2 yards on their first play in games leading up to Sunday, starting off with at least a four-yard gain in 14 out of 19 games (73.7%). On the other hand, the Chiefs have a more modest average of 5.1 yards on their first play, but have still managed to exceed four yards in 12 out of 20 games (60%), which is higher than the -115 odds predicted by DraftKings.

Total yards on opening drive of Super Bowl 2024

This amazing market should be available on all of our top NFL betting sites, but for now we will have to make do with the prices from DraftKings, which are still worth betting on.

This season, these teams have consistently gained an average of 45.1 yards on their opening drives, successfully surpassing this mark in 30 out of 39 attempts. While it may not seem like the most exciting bet, the odds of -135 indicate there is strong value in wagering on this outcome.

Number of plays in opening drive of Super Bowl 2024

As previously stated, these teams are averaging close to 50 yards per drive at the beginning of each game, and have only punted 12 times out of 39 opening drives. Some of these drives have also lasted longer than just a few plays.

I prefer to wager on the total yardage of the first drive, especially with the favorable odds from bet365 on the Over. However, I don’t want to stress about the Under option.

Offensive score on 1st drive of Super Bowl 2024

This bet has relatively simple odds in both directions, but I’m hesitant to wager on either side.

Although the teams have gained significant yardage on their initial drives, they have only scored points on 22 out of 39 attempts (56.4%). On the other hand, the defenses have only allowed points on the first drive 15 times out of 39 (38.5%).

Another option for betting is to wager on whether either team will score a touchdown on their first drive, with odds of +128 available on FanDuel. This has occurred 15 times out of 39 opening drives between the two teams. If you believe that both teams will score on their initial possession, you can take advantage of +650 odds on DraftKings.

To delve deeper into each team’s first drive, you can place bets on the team markets listed below.

Chiefs 1st drive result in Super Bowl 2024

These team-specific wagers are some of the most popular bets available in this general market, with four out of our top five sports betting apps offering odds on them.

Although the Chiefs have favored an early punt, it has only occurred in 40% of their opening drives this season. Conversely, 49ers opponents have only punted at the start of the game 36.8% of the time. This indicates that there may be a betting opportunity beyond just predicting a punt, as it currently holds nearly 50% of the market value.

Although the +260 odds for a touchdown on FanDuel may be tempting, I believe the smarter bet is on a field-goal attempt. This team has opened 30% of its drives with a field goal this season, which is significantly higher than the 20.41% implied probability for the +390 odds on FanDuel.

At DraftKings, you have the option to place bets on two-way “grouped results” (score or no score) or more specific “granular results” (such as passing touchdowns or fumbles). The latter market carries a higher risk, and I typically prefer to minimize variables when trying to profit from an early game script.

Additionally, at DraftKings, you have the option to place bets on various scenarios such as whether the Chiefs’ opening drive will cross the 50-yard line (-155), the 35-yard line (+100), or the 20-yard line (+150), as well as if it will include a play of at least 20 yards (+140), and more.

49ers 1st drive result in Super Bowl 2024

The 49ers have scored a touchdown on 52.6% of their opening drives, but I doubt they will be able to do so against the elite Chiefs defense, which has forced a punt on 60% of opposing drives to start the game. I see value in betting on a +130 odds for an opening-drive punt for Brock Purdy and the 49ers.

If you have a different opinion than mine (and that’s okay), you have the option to wager on various niche markets offered by DraftKings, such as San Francisco’s offense reaching the 50-yard line (-190), 35-yard line (-125), or 20-yard line (+130), or making a 20-yard play (+140) on their opening drive.

Chiefs 1st drive TD scorer in Super Bowl 2024

This market requires special focus on detail, as it only results in a payout if the player scores on the Chiefs’ opening drive. This sets it apart from the Super Bowl anytime touchdown scorer odds offered by our major books, which include the overall first touchdown scorer.

I tend to steer clear of markets with extra stipulations like this one, but having two sportsbooks to choose from can be helpful. Additionally, at bet365, you can place bets on some long-shot options such as Kadarius Toney (+3300), Justin Watson (+4000), Mecole Hardman (+6000), and Noah Gray (+6000).

This is another option for betting against a touchdown on the Chiefs’ first drive, but the high price of -290 will probably prevent most people from taking that risk.

49ers 1st drive TD scorer in Super Bowl 2024

As previously stated regarding the Chiefs’ side of this market, it’s important to note that this bet will only pay out if the 49ers score a touchdown on the first drive. Considering my doubts about the likelihood of that happening, I am not particularly interested in this market.

My one condition is this: if San Francisco successfully advances down the field on their first possession, Christian McCaffrey may end up with an increased workload during a potential 75-yard drive. Is it possible that Elijah Mitchell could be given an opportunity in the red zone to allow McCaffrey to rest? And with odds of 50/1, wouldn’t it be worth a shot?

Player to catch a pass on 1st drive of Super Bowl 2024

This market combines elements of both a “first drive” prop and a “player first” prop, making it the perfect transition between the two. It is one of the most entertaining props to bet on in any Super Bowl market.

When dealing with a market that doesn’t offer a “no” option, proceed cautiously. However, this is an ideal opportunity to capitalize on accurate game script predictions, and we offer two books with competitive odds for both teams’ key players. I am particularly interested in the discrepancies in prices for Brandon Aiyuk (+120) and Elijah Mitchell (+1100), as their odds are much lower at DraftKings.

At bet365, you can bet on which team will have the first successful drive, regardless of who gets the ball first. This market is split by team, so you can potentially make a profit if either team starts with a strong drive.

Super Bowl player firsts odds, prop bets for Chiefs vs. 49ers

These bets, focused on player accomplishments, are similar to the above props but extend beyond just the first drive of the game. While many of these bets could be won on the opening drive or even the first play of Super Bowl 2024.

The uncertainty adds excitement to watching these prop bets, making them one of my preferred ways to get through the first quarter. Check out the top player-focused prop bets with the best odds from DraftKings and FanDuel, along with the implied probability using our odds converter.

Yards gained on 1st reception

This market is challenging to accurately predict. A player’s average may be influenced by their longest catches, and their median may not accurately reflect short-yardage situations.

It is expected to see 49ers wide receiver Brandon Aiyuk with one of the highest totals, considering he ranked second in the NFL for yards per reception at 17.9. His total at FanDuel is lower compared to DraftKings, indicating value on one of the two numbers. Personally, I would prefer to bet on Over 13.5 rather than Under 14.5.

I am focusing on the two starting running backs in this market, as they have the potential to make significant gains on third down during the game’s opening drive, surpassing their current lower totals.

Yards gained on 1st rush attempt

All four players in this market have identified the Under as the favorite, but I am hesitant to follow that trend in this market.

McCaffrey, with his 5.4 yards per attempt, is set to take on a struggling Chiefs defense that has trouble defending power run plays, making it a perfect matchup for him. Pacheco, who averaged 4.6 yards per attempt, will also have a favorable matchup against the 49ers’ defensive front, which is not the toughest challenge he could face.

The quarterbacks present a more intriguing dilemma. Purdy’s regular season average of 3.7 yards per carry has improved to 5.6 yards per tote during the postseason. Mahomes, on the other hand, has been rushing for 5.4 yards in the playoffs, with his first scramble in the AFC Championship going for 11 yards.

Yards gained on 1st completion

Although Mahomes is known for his strong arm, Purdy topped the league in yards per completion (13.9) and consistently gained 11-plus yards in each of his two postseason starts. However, facing the NFL’s top pass defense will pose a significant challenge for Purdy.

In the AFC Championship, Mahomes intentionally gained four yards on his first play against the Baltimore Ravens defense, which focused on preventing deep shots. This was a departure from his previous playoff starts where his first throws went for 10-plus yards, and in the previous year’s Super Bowl where he opened with a 20-yard strike.

Player to complete 1st pass attempt

Both DraftKings and bet365 offer this market, with bet365 also providing prop bets on the number of completions each quarterback will make on the opening drive.

Another option is to bet on both teams to complete their first pass at -108 odds through FanDuel. However, I prefer to wager on each team individually to achieve their goal. Purdy had the second-highest completion rate among full-time starters at 69.4%, but I have greater confidence in Mahomes (67.2%) completing his first pass against a weaker pass defense.

Super Bowl quick hits odds, prop bets for Chiefs vs. 49ers

The prop bets in this section, found under “quick hits” at DraftKings and “Super Bowl specials” at bet365, offer greater odds and a higher level of unpredictability. These bets are likely to be resolved by the end of the first quarter, if not during the first drive of the game.

This may seem similar to the other props mentioned in the article, but these ones are slightly more uncertain. While I wouldn’t advise placing bets on these markets expecting to win big, there could still be some valuable opportunities to explore on the betting board.

Below are the top quick hits prop bets available at DraftKings, along with their implied probabilities calculated using our odds converter.

Result of 1st play of Super Bowl 2024

Although it may seem more fitting to be categorized under the first drive odds, DraftKings has placed this niche market in the “quick hits” section, indicating the potential risks involved in this one-way market. Typically, if the “yes” odds were offered at a fair price, you would expect a corresponding “no” option as well.

The opening play of Super Bowl 53 resulted in a first down, but the last four Super Bowls, including the 2020 matchup between these teams, have all started with plays under 10 yards that were not among the options provided.

While a safety did occur on the first play of Super Bowl 48, it’s not worth pursuing 200/1 odds based on such a rare outcome. This betting market is better suited for entertainment rather than seeking value.

Player to record 1st reception of Super Bowl 2024

I usually don’t recommend betting on prop bets that involve players from both teams in one combined market like this, as the team that starts with the ball usually has a significant advantage. If you’re looking for a 50/50 bet to follow closely, you can always wager on the outcome of the coin toss.

Instead, I prefer to focus on team-specific markets when placing prop bets such as first touchdown scorer, unless the overall game market provides significantly better odds. In this particular case, players like Travis Kelce (+425), Deebo Samuel (+700), and Isiah Pacheco (+850) are offering much more favorable odds in the team-specific markets compared to the options listed below.

Chiefs 1st reception in Super Bowl 2024

DraftKings only provides a market for the first reception, but bet365 allows us to bet on each team’s first pass-catcher, creating valuable opportunities, particularly for lower-ranked players.

Kelce is the standout player with the most first catches for Kansas City in 30% of their games. His odds for the first catch of the game (+425 via DraftKings) offer better value compared to his odds for the Chiefs’ first reception.

In this market, I am keeping a close watch on Noah Gray (+1400) and Marquez Valdes-Scantling (+1600), both of whom have been the first to catch a ball for Kansas City in several games this season. Gray has achieved this feat twice in the past seven weeks and received a season-high five targets in the AFC Championship game.

49ers 1st reception in Super Bowl 2024

The 49ers boast a plethora of skilled playmakers, resulting in their top four weapons all having odds of +350 or shorter at bet365. Additionally, these four players have accounted for the first catch in every one of the team’s 19 games this season.

However, Aiyuk has made six receptions, more than McCaffrey (five), Samuel (five), or Kittle (three). It is puzzling to see him listed as the third choice at +325 odds. Aiyuk caught Brock Purdy’s first completion in the NFC Championship and would be our top pick among the top four options to do the same in Super Bowl 58.

I am also interested in Kyle Juszczyk, who had the first target in the NFC title game but was unable to make the catch. He has odds of +3000 at DraftKings to make the first catch of the game, so that would be the first bet I would place before revisiting this one.

Player to record first 1st down of Super Bowl 2024

This DraftKings market is unpredictable, with several players having odds longer than 20/1, such as Brock Purdy (+2500), Noah Gray (+2500), and Kyle Juszczyk (+3500), all of whom I believe are worth considering at those odds.

If I had to choose a more traditional option in this market, I would go with one of the two starting running backs. However, I prefer to target a long shot in this type of prop bet due to the volatility of the outcome, making it more appealing than playing it safe with short odds.

Team to score 1st in Super Bowl 2024

This prop bet is only marginally more practical than the coin toss because the outcome of the coin toss ultimately decides which team gets possession first.

Having said that, I believe the Chiefs, with their more experienced players, have a higher chance of scoring on their first drive compared to the 49ers. However, I wouldn’t personally place a bet on this, but that’s just my perspective on the situation.

1st team to reach red zone in Super Bowl 2024

I don’t feel confident betting in this market or the one above it because they seem too correlated with the opening coin toss.

However, I anticipate the Chiefs will have more success on offense in the early stages of the game compared to the 49ers. This doesn’t guarantee they will reach the red zone. I am more inclined to wager on the Chiefs crossing the 20-yard line on their first drive (+150 on DraftKings), but both bets seem risky.

Time of 1st score of Super Bowl 2024

A few sportsbooks are currently offering prop bets like this one at different times and odds. The market has the same odds for both directions, but the total should likely be adjusted to favor the Over.

Last year’s Super Bowl started off with a bang, as two opening-drive touchdowns were scored. However, historically, the big game has usually had a slow beginning. Prior to last year, six consecutive Super Bowls went the first six minutes without a score, with two of them even having a scoreless first quarter.

In the Chiefs’ last nine games, only one featured a score within the first six minutes, while the 49ers had just one early score in their last four games. It took over seven minutes for these teams to score in their Super Bowl matchup in 2020, so it wouldn’t be surprising to see a similar slow start in their upcoming game.

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