Oscars Best Actor Predictions 2026: Cillian Murphy is Huge Favorite Following SAGs
Cillian Murphy is the clear favorite with overwhelmingly high odds at our top sportsbooks for the Oscars, thanks to his numerous wins at precursor events, including a recent victory at the SAGS.
Cillian Murphy is the overwhelming favorite to win the Best Actor Oscar, with the ceremony just days away.
A few weeks ago, Paul Giamatti’s odds were at +200, but now they have lengthened to +750. Bradley Cooper is currently in third place, but it is clear that the race is already decided.
These are our top predictions for the Best Actor category at the 2026 Oscars, according to the odds from our top sports betting apps.
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Best Lead Actor odds 2026
As of March 7th, the odds are…
| Actor (Film) | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cillian Murphy (Oppenheimer) | -1200 | -1600 ❄️ | -1200 | -1000 | -1000 |
| Paul Giamatti (The Holdovers) | +550 | +750 | +575 | +550 | +550 |
| Bradley Cooper (Maestro) | +1600 | +2300 | +1600 | +1800 | +1400 ❄️ |
| Jeffrey Wright (American Ficition) | +8000 | +6500 ❄️ | +6600 | +10000 | +8000 |
| Colman Domingo (Rustin) | +8000 | +6500 ❄️ | +6600 | +10000 | +8000 |
Best Actor predictions 2026
Cillian Murphy (-1000 via bet365)
As predicted, Murphy is a strong favorite with odds in the four-digit range at our top sports betting sites following his victory at the SAGs. If you were willing to accept the high odds on Murphy before his win, you may have a betting ticket on him with odds around -340.
That may be too expensive for you, especially if Giamatti wins at the SAGs and messes everything up. Murphy and Robert Downey Jr. are likely to win, securing “Oppenheimer” in multiple categories like Best Actor, Best Supporting Actor, Best Picture, and Best Director.
Oscars betting odds pages
| Oscars odds and predictions | Best Supporting Actor predictions | Best Original Score |
| Best Picture predictions | Best Supporting Actress predictions | Best Original Song |
| Best Director predictions | Best Original Screenplay | |
| Best Lead Actor predictions | Best Adapted Screenplay | |
| Best Lead Actress predictions | Best Animated Feature |
Here are our best sports betting apps:
- Caesars Promo Code: SBRBONUS1000 | Read our Caesars Review
- BetMGM Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetMGM Review
- bet365 Bonus Code: SBRBONUS | Read our bet365 Review
- BetRivers Promo Code: SBRBONUS | Read our BetRivers Review
- FanDuel Promo Code | Read our FanDuel Review
- DraftKings Promo Code | Read our DraftKings Review
If you are 21 or older and have a gambling problem, please call 1-800-GAMBLER. Please note that bonuses are not available in Ontario.
Related pages
- Best Online Underscoregs | Best Underscoreg Promos (U.S. only)
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